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A common explanation for the failure of deep networks to generalize out-of-distribution is that they fail to recover the "correct" features. We challenge this notion with a simple experiment which suggests that ERM already learns sufficient…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-10-31 Elan Rosenfeld , Pradeep Ravikumar , Andrej Risteski

Deep neural networks (NNs) are powerful black box predictors that have recently achieved impressive performance on a wide spectrum of tasks. Quantifying predictive uncertainty in NNs is a challenging and yet unsolved problem. Bayesian NNs,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-11-07 Balaji Lakshminarayanan , Alexander Pritzel , Charles Blundell

Classical problems in computational physics such as data-driven forecasting and signal reconstruction from sparse sensors have recently seen an explosion in deep neural network (DNN) based algorithmic approaches. However, most DNN models do…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-21 Romit Maulik , Romain Egele , Krishnan Raghavan , Prasanna Balaprakash

Deep neural networks are often ignorant about what they do not know and overconfident when they make uninformed predictions. Some recent approaches quantify classification uncertainty directly by training the model to output high…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-06-09 Murat Sensoy , Lance Kaplan , Federico Cerutti , Maryam Saleki

This paper deals with uncertainty quantification and out-of-distribution detection in deep learning using Bayesian and ensemble methods. It proposes a practical solution to the lack of prediction diversity observed recently for standard…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-03 Antoine de Mathelin , François Deheeger , Mathilde Mougeot , Nicolas Vayatis

Deep Ensembles (DE) are a prominent approach for achieving excellent performance on key metrics such as accuracy, calibration, uncertainty estimation, and out-of-distribution detection. However, hardware limitations of real-world systems…

The dynamic ensemble selection of classifiers is an effective approach for processing label-imbalanced data classifications. However, such a technique is prone to overfitting, owing to the lack of regularization methods and the dependence…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-11-09 Chen Wang , Chengyuan Deng , Zhoulu Yu , Dafeng Hui , Xiaofeng Gong , Ruisen Luo

Ensembles over neural network weights trained from different random initialization, known as deep ensembles, achieve state-of-the-art accuracy and calibration. The recently introduced batch ensembles provide a drop-in replacement that is…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-01-11 Florian Wenzel , Jasper Snoek , Dustin Tran , Rodolphe Jenatton

Uncertainty quantification in automated image analysis is highly desired in many applications. Typically, machine learning models in classification or segmentation are only developed to provide binary answers; however, quantifying the…

Calibration and uncertainty estimation are crucial topics in high-risk environments. We introduce a new diversity regularizer for classification tasks that uses out-of-distribution samples and increases the overall accuracy, calibration and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-10-21 Hendrik Alexander Mehrtens , Camila González , Anirban Mukhopadhyay

Image classification with neural networks (NNs) is widely used in industrial processes, situations where the model likely encounters unknown objects during deployment, i.e., out-of-distribution (OOD) data. Worryingly, NNs tend to make…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-14 Arthur Thuy , Dries F. Benoit

Estimating uncertainty in deep learning models is critical for reliable decision-making in high-stakes applications such as medical imaging. Prior research has established that the difference between an input sample and its reconstructed…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-28 Xinran Xu , Li Rong Wang , Xiuyi Fan

The quantification of uncertainty is important for the adoption of machine learning, especially to reject out-of-distribution (OOD) data back to human experts for review. Yet progress has been slow, as a balance must be struck between…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-09-12 Derek Everett , Andre T. Nguyen , Luke E. Richards , Edward Raff

Deep neural networks are in the limelight of machine learning with their excellent performance in many data-driven applications. However, they can lead to inaccurate predictions when queried in out-of-distribution data points, which can…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-03-01 Yana Stoyanova , Soroush Ghandi , Maryam Tavakol

It is impossible today to pretend that the practice of machine learning is always compatible with the idea that training and testing data follow the same distribution. Several authors have recently used ensemble techniques to show how…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-03 Jianyu Zhang , Léon Bottou

Current deep neural networks suffer from two problems; first, they are hard to interpret, and second, they suffer from overfitting. There have been many attempts to define interpretability in neural networks, but they typically lack…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-08-15 Sean Tao

Data imbalance is ubiquitous when applying machine learning to real-world problems, particularly regression problems. If training data are imbalanced, the learning is dominated by the densely covered regions of the target distribution and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-29 Yuchang Jiang , Vivien Sainte Fare Garnot , Konrad Schindler , Jan Dirk Wegner

Ensemble learning is a standard approach to building machine learning systems that capture complex phenomena in real-world data. An important aspect of these systems is the complete and valid quantification of model uncertainty. We…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-11-12 Jeremiah Zhe Liu , John Paisley , Marianthi-Anna Kioumourtzoglou , Brent Coull

Deep Ensemble (DE) is an effective alternative to Bayesian neural networks for uncertainty quantification in deep learning. The uncertainty of DE is usually conveyed by the functional inconsistency among the ensemble members, say, the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-05-03 Zhijie Deng , Feng Zhou , Jianfei Chen , Guoqiang Wu , Jun Zhu

Deep neural networks have achieved significant success in the last decades, but they are not well-calibrated and often produce unreliable predictions. A large number of literature relies on uncertainty quantification to evaluate the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-13 Russell Alan Hart , Linlin Yu , Yifei Lou , Feng Chen
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