中文
相关论文

相关论文: Handling Concept Drift in Global Time Series Forec…

200 篇论文

Rainfall-induced landslides pose a growing risk worldwide as climate change intensifies extreme rainfall events. To provide sufficient evacuation time, landslide early warning systems (LEWS) for real-time disaster monitoring must estimate…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-19 Ren Ozeki , Hamada Rizk , Hirozumi Yamaguchi

Generative modeling can be formulated as learning a mapping f such that its pushforward distribution matches the data distribution. The pushforward behavior can be carried out iteratively at inference time, for example in diffusion and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-09 Mingyang Deng , He Li , Tianhong Li , Yilun Du , Kaiming He

Data drift is the change in model input data that is one of the key factors leading to machine learning models performance degradation over time. Monitoring drift helps detecting these issues and preventing their harmful consequences.…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2023-05-30 Ella Rabinovich , Matan Vetzler , Samuel Ackerman , Ateret Anaby-Tavor

Training deep neural networks remains computationally intensive due to the itera2 tive nature of gradient-based optimization. We propose Gradient Flow Matching (GFM), a continuous-time modeling framework that treats neural network training…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-27 Xiao Shou , Yanna Ding , Jianxi Gao

Detecting drift in performance of Machine Learning (ML) models is an acknowledged challenge. For ML models to become an integral part of business applications it is essential to detect when an ML model drifts away from acceptable operation.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-08-12 Samuel Ackerman , Parijat Dube , Eitan Farchi , Orna Raz , Marcel Zalmanovici

Machine learning and statistical methods can improve conventional motor protection systems, providing early warning and detection of emerging failures. Data-driven methods rely on historical data to learn how the system is expected to…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-01-29 Martin Tveten , Morten Stakkeland

Weighted empirical risk minimization is a common approach to prediction under distribution drift. This article studies its out-of-sample prediction error under nonstationarity. We provide a general decomposition of the excess risk into a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-19 Tobias Brock , Thomas Nagler

Nowadays with a growing number of online controlling systems in the organization and also a high demand of monitoring and stats facilities that uses data streams to log and control their subsystems, data stream mining becomes more and more…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-02-12 Radin Hamidi Rad , Maryam Amir Haeri

Existing precipitation nowcasting methods typically adopt an autoregressive formulation, where future states are predicted from previous outputs. However, such an approach accumulates errors over long rollouts, causing forecasts to drift…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-14 Penghui Wen , Yu Luo , Lintao Wang , Mengwei He , Patrick Filippi , Thomas Francis Bishop , Zhiyong Wang

Time series data is a prevalent form of data found in various fields. It consists of a series of measurements taken over time. Forecasting is a crucial application of time series models, where future values are predicted based on historical…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-23 Sahar Koohfar , Wubeshet Woldemariam

Real-world datasets frequently exhibit evolving data distributions, reflecting temporal variations and underlying shifts. Overlooking this phenomenon, known as concept drift, can substantially degrade the predictive performance of the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-16 Mohammad Abu-Shaira , Weishi Shi

Weather extremes are a major societal and economic hazard, claiming thousands of lives and causing billions of dollars in damage every year. Under climate change, their impact and intensity are expected to worsen significantly.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-10-24 Antoine Blanchard , Nishant Parashar , Boyko Dodov , Christian Lessig , Themistoklis Sapsis

Time series prediction is often complicated by distribution shift which demands adaptive models to accommodate time-varying distributions. We frame time series prediction under distribution shift as a weighted empirical risk minimisation…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-07-26 Stefanos Bennett , Jase Clarkson

Addressing sensor drift is essential in industrial measurement systems, where precise data output is necessary for maintaining accuracy and reliability in monitoring processes, as it progressively degrades the performance of machine…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-27 Melanie Schaller , Mathis Kruse , Antonio Ortega , Marius Lindauer , Bodo Rosenhahn

World models enable planning in imagined future predicted space, offering a promising framework for embodied navigation. However, existing navigation world models often lack action-conditioned consistency, so visually plausible predictions…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-03-10 Han Yan , Zishang Xiang , Zeyu Zhang , Hao Tang

Outlier detection and concept drift detection represent two challenges in data analysis. Most studies address these issues separately. However, joint detection mechanisms in regression remain underexplored, where the continuous nature of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-16 Bingbing Wang , Shengyan Sun , Jiaqi Wang , Yu Tang

Iterative generative models such as Flow Matching and Diffusion models have demonstrated strong test-time scaling behavior, where additional inference computation can improve generation quality. In contrast, Drift Models offer efficient…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-19 Chenrui Ma , Xi Xiao , Lin Zhao , Tianyang Wang , Ferdinando Fioretto , Yanning Shen

Large Language Models (LLMs) excel at single-turn tasks such as instruction following and summarization, yet real-world deployments require sustained multi-turn interactions where user goals and conversational context persist and evolve. A…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2025-11-25 Vardhan Dongre , Ryan A. Rossi , Viet Dac Lai , David Seunghyun Yoon , Dilek Hakkani-Tür , Trung Bui

Mid-term electricity load forecasting (LF) plays a critical role in power system planning and operation. To address the issue of error accumulation and transfer during the operation of existing LF models, a novel model called error…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-21 Liping Zhang , Di Wu , Xin Luo

Concept drift in learning and classification occurs when the statistical properties of either the data features or target change over time; evidence of drift has appeared in search data, medical research, malware, web data, and video. Drift…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-10-03 Abhijit Suprem