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The configuration space of causal sets is vast. It is a critical goal to map out this space. Here, we take a practical step towards this goal. We investigate nine classes of causal sets, most of them not studied before. These include…

广义相对论与量子宇宙学 · 物理学 2026-05-28 Astrid Eichhorn , Harald Mack , Kim Tuyen Le , Fabian Wagner

Scientists have developed hundreds of techniques to measure the interactions between pairs of processes in complex systems. But these computational methods, from correlation coefficients to causal inference, rely on distinct quantitative…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2023-06-27 Oliver M. Cliff , Annie G. Bryant , Joseph T. Lizier , Naotsugu Tsuchiya , Ben D. Fulcher

We present an overview of the decision-theoretic framework of statistical causality, which is well-suited for formulating and solving problems of determining the effects of applied causes. The approach is described in detail, and is related…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-04-28 A. Philip Dawid

Estimating causal interactions in complex dynamical systems is an important problem encountered in many fields of current science. While a theoretical solution for detecting the causal interactions has been previously formulated in the…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2020-01-20 Jakub Kořenek , Jaroslav Hlinka

Probability trees are one of the simplest models of causal generative processes. They possess clean semantics and -- unlike causal Bayesian networks -- they can represent context-specific causal dependencies, which are necessary for e.g.…

We develop a framework for causal inference with continuous spatiotemporal point-process outcomes under cell-level interventions and outcome spillover. Potential outcomes are indexed by full treatment allocations, and the observed…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-15 Conor Kresin , Duncan A. Clark , Louis Davis , Martin Hazelton

Data-driven societal event forecasting methods exploit relevant historical information to predict future events. These methods rely on historical labeled data and cannot accurately predict events when data are limited or of poor quality.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-12-13 Songgaojun Deng , Huzefa Rangwala , Yue Ning

Causal inference is central to statistics and scientific discovery, enabling researchers to identify cause-and-effect relationships beyond associations. While traditionally studied within Euclidean spaces, contemporary applications…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-01 Satarupa Bhattacharjee , Bing Li , Xiao Wu , Lingzhou Xue

We introduce computational causal inference as an interdisciplinary field across causal inference, algorithms design and numerical computing. The field aims to develop software specializing in causal inference that can analyze massive…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-07-22 Jeffrey C. Wong

Causal discovery algorithms aim at untangling complex causal relationships from data. Here, we study causal discovery and inference methods based on staged tree models, which can represent complex and asymmetric causal relationships between…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-03-02 Manuele Leonelli , Gherardo Varando

To make effective decisions, it is important to have a thorough understanding of the causal relationships among actions, environments, and outcomes. This review aims to surface three crucial aspects of decision-making through a causal lens:…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-04-22 Lin Ge , Hengrui Cai , Runzhe Wan , Yang Xu , Rui Song

This survey paper covers the breadth and depth of time-series and spatiotemporal causality methods, and their applications in Earth Science. More specifically, the paper presents an overview of causal discovery and causal inference,…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2024-09-04 Sahara Ali , Uzma Hasan , Xingyan Li , Omar Faruque , Akila Sampath , Yiyi Huang , Md Osman Gani , Jianwu Wang

Causal inference is a central goal across many scientific disciplines. Over the past several decades, three major frameworks have emerged to formalize causal questions and guide their analysis: the potential outcomes framework, structural…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-02-12 Linbo Wang , Thomas Richardson , James Robins

The paper describes the work that has been submitted to the 5th workshop on Challenges and Applications of Automated Extraction of socio-political events from text (CASE 2022). The work is associated with Subtask 1 of Shared Task 3 that…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2022-12-02 Quynh Anh Nguyen , Arka Mitra

To solve the path integral for quantum gravity, one needs to regularise the space-times that are summed over. This regularisation usually is a discretisation, which makes it necessary to give up some paradigms or symmetries of continuum…

广义相对论与量子宇宙学 · 物理学 2014-09-30 Lisa Glaser

Computational analysis of time-course data with an underlying causal structure is needed in a variety of domains, including neural spike trains, stock price movements, and gene expression levels. However, it can be challenging to determine…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2012-05-14 Samantha Kleinberg , Bud Mishra

Making sense of familiar yet new situations typically involves making generalizations about causal schemas, stories that help humans reason about event sequences. Reasoning about events includes identifying cause and effect relations shared…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2023-03-28 Michael Regan , Jena D. Hwang , Keisuke Sakaguchi , James Pustejovsky

We provide a scheme for inferring causal relations from uncontrolled statistical data based on tools from computational algebraic geometry, in particular, the computation of Groebner bases. We focus on causal structures containing just two…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-10-18 Ciarán M. Lee , Robert W. Spekkens

Integrating data from multiple heterogeneous sources has become increasingly popular to achieve a large sample size and diverse study population. This paper reviews development in causal inference methods that combines multiple datasets…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-10-05 Xu Shi , Ziyang Pan , Wang Miao

We develop relativistic causality theory in the setting of point-free topology by introducing a notion of causal coverage in ordered locales, generalising their canonical coverage relation to incorporate causal structure. This improves…

数学物理 · 物理学 2025-10-21 Chris Heunen , Nesta van der Schaaf