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We investigate the maximum caliber variational principle as an inference algorithm used to predict dynamical properties of complex nonequilibrium, stationary, statistical systems in the presence of incomplete information. Specifically, we…

统计力学 · 物理学 2016-12-28 Carlo Cafaro , Sean Alan Ali

Predictive statistical mechanics is a form of inference from available data, without additional assumptions, for predicting reproducible phenomena. By applying it to systems with Hamiltonian dynamics, a problem of predicting the macroscopic…

统计力学 · 物理学 2015-09-22 Domagoj Kuic

Maximum entropy principle identifies forces conjugated to observables and the thermodynamic relations between them, independent upon their underlying mechanistic details. For data about state distributions or transition statistics, the…

统计力学 · 物理学 2023-12-08 Ying-Jen Yang , Hong Qian

Model Predictive Control is an extremely effective control method for systems with input and state constraints. Model Predictive Control performance heavily depends on the accuracy of the open-loop prediction. For systems with uncertainty…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2022-07-27 Francesco Micheli , John Lygeros

We present a stochastic constrained output-feedback data-driven predictive control scheme for linear time-invariant systems subject to bounded additive disturbances. The approach uses data-driven predictors based on an extension of Willems'…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-10-07 Johannes Teutsch , Sebastian Kerz , Dirk Wollherr , Marion Leibold

Model Predictive Control (MPC) is among the most widely adopted and reliable methods for robot control, relying critically on an accurate dynamics model. However, existing dynamics models used in the gradient-based MPC are limited by…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2025-08-11 Jan Węgrzynowski , Piotr Kicki , Grzegorz Czechmanowski , Maciej Krupka , Krzysztof Walas

Many chemical processes exhibit diverse timescale dynamics with a strong coupling between timescale sensitive variables. Model predictive control with a non-uniformly spaced optimisation horizon is an effective approach to multi-timescale…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-05-11 Ryan McCloy , Lai Wei , Jie Bao

Complex systems are characterized by a huge number of degrees of freedom often interacting in a non-linear manner. In many cases macroscopic states, however, can be characterized by a small number of order parameters that obey stochastic…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2012-02-20 David Kleinhans

There has been interest in finding a general variational principle for non-equilibrium statistical mechanics. We give evidence that Maximum Caliber (Max Cal) is such a principle. Max Cal, a variant of Maximum Entropy, predicts dynamical…

统计力学 · 物理学 2015-09-02 Michael J. Hazoglou , Valentin Walther , Purushottam D. Dixit , Ken A. Dill

The foundations of Statistical Mechanics can be recovered almost in their entirety from the Principle of Maximum Entropy. In this work we show that its non-equilibrium generalization, the Principle of Maximum Caliber (Jaynes, 1980), when…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2016-08-01 Diego González , Sergio Davis , Gonzalo Gutiérrez

The maximum entropy principle (MEP) apparently allows us to derive, or justify, fundamental results of equilibrium statistical mechanics. Because of this, a school of thought considers the MEP as a powerful and elegant way to make…

统计力学 · 物理学 2015-12-09 Gennaro Auletta , Lamberto Rondoni , Angelo Vulpiani

Markov models are widely used to describe processes of stochastic dynamics. Here, we show that Markov models are a natural consequence of the dynamical principle of Maximum Caliber. First, we show that when there are different possible…

统计力学 · 物理学 2015-05-28 Hao Ge , Steve Presse , Kingshuk Ghosh , Ken Dill

A new theoretical approach to non-equilibrium statistical systems has recently been proposed by the author, a co-author and others. It is based on a variational principle which is associated with the discrepancy of a path through…

统计力学 · 物理学 2019-08-06 Richard Kleeman

A major challenge for community ecology is using spatio-temporal data to infer parameters of dynamical models without conducting laborious experiments. We present a novel framework from statistical physics -- Maximum Caliber -- to…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2025-11-07 Zachary Jackson , Mathew A. Leibold , Robert D. Holt , BingKan Xue

In the previous papers (Kui\'{c} et al. in Found Phys 42:319-339, 2012; Kui\'{c} in arXiv:1506.02622, 2015), it was demonstrated that applying the principle of maximum information entropy by maximizing the conditional information entropy,…

统计力学 · 物理学 2016-06-14 Domagoj Kuic

We propose a new approach concerning the introduction of time-irreversibility in statistical mechanics. It is based on a transition function defined in terms of path integral and verifying a time-irreversible equation. We show first how…

统计力学 · 物理学 2015-03-02 J. P. Badiali

Complex and nonlinear dynamical systems often involve parameters that change with time, accurate tracking of which is essential to tasks such as state estimation, prediction, and control. Existing machine-learning methods require full state…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-16 Zheng-Meng Zhai , Mohammadamin Moradi , Bryan Glaz , Mulugeta Haile , Ying-Cheng Lai

Probabilistic model checking for systems with large or unbounded state space is a challenging computational problem in formal modelling and its applications. Numerical algorithms require an explicit representation of the state space, while…

计算机科学中的逻辑 · 计算机科学 2018-06-12 Dimitrios Milios , Guido Sanguinetti , David Schnoerr

Statistical physics aims to describe properties of macroscale systems in terms of distributions of their microscale agents. Its central tool is the maximization of entropy, a variational principle. We review the history of this principle,…

统计力学 · 物理学 2023-10-11 Jonathan Asher Pachter , Ying-Jen Yang , Ken A. Dill

In this paper we propose a data-driven distributionally robust Model Predictive Control framework for constrained stochastic systems with unbounded additive disturbances. Recursive feasibility is ensured by optimizing over an linearly…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-03-07 Christoph Mark , Steven Liu
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