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As sequential neural architectures become deeper and more complex, uncertainty estimation is more and more challenging. Efforts in quantifying uncertainty often rely on specific training procedures, and bear additional computational costs…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-07-06 Max Cohen , Maurice Charbit , Sylvain Le Corff

Estimating how uncertain an AI system is in its predictions is important to improve the safety of such systems. Uncertainty in predictive can result from uncertainty in model parameters, irreducible data uncertainty and uncertainty due to…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-12-03 Andrey Malinin , Mark Gales

Probabilistic (or Bayesian) modeling and learning offers interesting possibilities for systematic representation of uncertainty using probability theory. However, probabilistic learning often leads to computationally challenging problems.…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-03-14 Andreas Svensson , Thomas B. Schön , Fredrik Lindsten

We introduce an efficient neural network (NN) architecture for classifying wave functions in terms of their localization. Our approach integrates a versatile quantum phase space parametrization leading to a custom 'quantum' NN, with the…

Uncertainty quantification for Particle Image Velocimetry (PIV) is critical for comparing flow fields with Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) results, and model design and validation. However, PIV features a complex measurement chain with…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2021-07-07 Lalit K. Rajendran , Sayantan Bhattacharya , Sally P. M. Bane , Pavlos P. Vlachos

The Monte Carlo (MC) method is the most common technique used for uncertainty quantification, due to its simplicity and good statistical results. However, its computational cost is extremely high, and, in many cases, prohibitive.…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-05-21 A. Cunha , R. Nasser , R. Sampaio , H. Lopes , K. Breitman

Visualizing the uncertainty of ensemble simulations is challenging due to the large size and multivariate and temporal features of ensemble data sets. One popular approach to studying the uncertainty of ensembles is analyzing the positional…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-10-25 Mengjiao Han , Tushar M. Athawale , David Pugmire , Chris R. Johnson

For the temperature field reconstruction (TFR), a complex image-to-image regression problem, the convolutional neural network (CNN) is a powerful surrogate model due to the convolutional layer's good image feature extraction ability.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-15 Xiaohu Zheng , Wen Yao , Zhiqiang Gong , Yunyang Zhang , Xiaoyu Zhao , Tingsong Jiang

Uncertainty quantification in Artificial Intelligence (AI)-based predictions of material properties is of immense importance for the success and reliability of AI applications in material science. While confidence intervals are commonly…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-01-16 Francesca Tavazza , Brian De Cost , Kamal Choudhary

Neural Linear Models (NLM) are deep Bayesian models that produce predictive uncertainty by learning features from the data and then performing Bayesian linear regression over these features. Despite their popularity, few works have focused…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-06-25 Cooper Lorsung

Quantization, a commonly used technique to reduce the memory footprint of a neural network for edge computing, entails reducing the precision of the floating-point representation used for the parameters of the network. The impact of such…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-03-27 Abhishek Murthy , Himel Das , Md Ariful Islam

As modern neural networks get more complex, specifying a model with high predictive performance and sound uncertainty quantification becomes a more challenging task. Despite some promising theoretical results on the true posterior…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-18 Alisa Sheinkman , Sara Wade

Uncertainty quantification of deep neural networks has become an active field of research and plays a crucial role in various downstream tasks such as active learning. Recent advances in evidential deep learning shed light on the direct…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-21 Ruxiao Duan , Brian Caffo , Harrison X. Bai , Haris I. Sair , Craig Jones

Reliable predictive uncertainty estimation plays an important role in enabling the deployment of neural networks to safety-critical settings. A popular approach for estimating the predictive uncertainty of neural networks is to define a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-12-29 Tim G. J. Rudner , Zonghao Chen , Yee Whye Teh , Yarin Gal

When the cost of misclassifying a sample is high, it is useful to have an accurate estimate of uncertainty in the prediction for that sample. There are also multiple types of uncertainty which are best estimated in different ways, for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-03-18 Richard Harang , Ethan M. Rudd

Searches for new particles often span a wide range of mass scales, where the shape of potential signals and the SM background varies significantly. We make use of a multivariate method that fully exploits the correlation between signal and…

高能物理 - 唯象学 · 物理学 2026-01-22 J. A. Aguilar-Saavedra , S. Rodríguez-Benítez

Compressing large Neural Networks (NN) by quantizing the parameters, while maintaining the performance is highly desirable due to reduced memory and time complexity. In this work, we cast NN quantization as a discrete labelling problem, and…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2019-08-21 Thalaiyasingam Ajanthan , Puneet K. Dokania , Richard Hartley , Philip H. S. Torr

Pruning neural networks has proven to be a successful approach to increase the efficiency and reduce the memory storage of deep learning models without compromising performance. Previous literature has shown that it is possible to achieve a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-12 Joaquin Alvarez

With the widespread success of deep neural networks in science and technology, it is becoming increasingly important to quantify the uncertainty of the predictions produced by deep learning. In this paper, we introduce a new method that…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-08-15 Qingyang Wu , He Li , Lexin Li , Zhou Yu

Precise estimation of predictive uncertainty in deep neural networks is a critical requirement for reliable decision-making in machine learning and statistical modeling, particularly in the context of medical AI. Conformal Prediction (CP)…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-05 Hamed Karimi , Reza Samavi