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In causal inference, treatment effects are typically estimated under the ignorability, or unconfoundedness, assumption, which is often unrealistic in observational data. By relaxing this assumption and conducting a sensitivity analysis, we…

This paper concerns outcome missingness in principal stratification analysis. We revisit a common assumption known as latent ignorability or latent missing-at-random (LMAR), often considered a relaxation of missing-at-random (MAR). LMAR…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-07-22 Trang Quynh Nguyen

Two key identifying assumptions used to justify difference-in-differences are parallel trends and no anticipation, yet both may fail in practice. I propose a class of assumptions on anticipation and derive closed-form, sharp bounds on the…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-03-03 Gianna Fenaroli

A fundamental challenge in observational causal inference is that assumptions about unconfoundedness are not testable from data. Assessing sensitivity to such assumptions is therefore important in practice. Unfortunately, some existing…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-01-15 Alexander Franks , Alexander D'Amour , Avi Feller

Instrumental variables are a popular study design for the estimation of treatment effects in the presence of unobserved confounders. In the canonical instrumental variables design, the instrument is a binary variable. In many settings,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-10-10 Prabrisha Rakshit , Alexander Levis , Luke Keele

Causal inference with interference is a rapidly growing area. The literature has begun to relax the "no-interference" assumption that the treatment received by one individual does not affect the outcomes of other individuals. In this paper…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-03-06 Tyler J. VanderWeele , Eric J. Tchetgen Tchetgen , M. Elizabeth Halloran

While regression models capture the relationship between predictors and the response variable, they often lack intuitive accompanying methods to understand the influence of predictors on the outcome. To address this, we introduce an…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-06 Jihao You , Dan Tulpan , Jiaojiao Diao , Jennifer L. Ellis

One of the most fundamental problems in causal inference is the estimation of a causal effect when variables are confounded. This is difficult in an observational study, because one has no direct evidence that all confounders have been…

机器学习 · 统计学 2014-11-03 Ricardo Silva , Robin Evans

Propensity score trimming, which discards subjects with propensity scores below a threshold, is a common way to address positivity violations that complicate causal effect estimation. However, most works on trimming assume treatment is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-07-31 Zach Branson , Edward H. Kennedy , Sivaraman Balakrishnan , Larry Wasserman

We extend Fisher's randomization test (FRT) to test conditional independence between observed outcomes and treatments given covariates in both randomized experiments and observational studies, with no restriction on the variable type of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-12 Zhen Zhong

The paper presents some models for the propensity score. Considerable attention is given to a recently popular, but relatively under-explored setting in causal inference where the no-interference assumption does not hold. We lay out some…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-08-16 Hyunseung Kang , Chan Park , Ralph Trane

The research in this paper gives a systematic investigation on the asymptotic behaviours of four inverse probability weighting (IPW)-based estimators for conditional average treatment effect, with nonparametrically, semiparametrically,…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-09-24 Niwen Zhou , Lixing Zhu

Estimating average causal effect (ACE) is useful whenever we want to know the effect of an intervention on a given outcome. In the absence of a randomized experiment, many methods such as stratification and inverse propensity weighting have…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-07-11 Rathin Desai , Amit Sharma

We consider the problem of constructing bounds on the average treatment effect (ATE) when unmeasured confounders exist but have bounded influence. Specifically, we assume that omitted confounders could not change the odds of treatment for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-07-25 Jacob Dorn , Kevin Guo , Nathan Kallus

Assessing causal effects in the presence of unmeasured confounding is challenging. Although auxiliary variables, such as instrumental variables, are commonly used to identify causal effects, they are often unavailable in practice due to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-31 Kang Shuai , Shanshan Luo , Yue Zhang , Feng Xie , Yangbo He

Covariate adjustment can improve precision in analyzing randomized experiments. With fully observed data, regression adjustment and propensity score weighting are asymptotically equivalent in improving efficiency over unadjusted analysis.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-03-06 Anqi Zhao , Peng Ding , Fan Li

Experimental research on behavior and cognition frequently rests on stimulus or subject selection where not all characteristics can be fully controlled, even when attempting strict matching. For example, when contrasting patients to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-08-29 Jona Sassenhagen , Phillip M. Alday

Attention mechanisms are dominating the explainability of deep models. They produce probability distributions over the input, which are widely deemed as feature-importance indicators. However, in this paper, we find one critical limitation…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-07-06 Yibing Liu , Haoliang Li , Yangyang Guo , Chenqi Kong , Jing Li , Shiqi Wang

This paper develops an empirical balancing approach for the estimation of treatment effects under two-sided noncompliance using a binary conditionally independent instrumental variable. The method weighs both treatment and outcome…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2020-07-10 Phillip Heiler

Sensitivity analysis is widely used to assess the robustness of causal conclusions in observational studies, yet its interaction with the structure of measured covariates is often overlooked. When latent confounders cannot be directly…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-17 Abhinandan Dalal , Iris Horng , Yang Feng , Dylan S. Small