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Forecasting is an indispensable element of operational research (OR) and an important aid to planning. The accurate estimation of the forecast uncertainty facilitates several operations management activities, predominantly in supporting…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-11-18 Xiaoqian Wang , Yanfei Kang , Fotios Petropoulos , Feng Li

Time series analysis is the process of building a model using statistical techniques to represent characteristics of time series data. Processing and forecasting huge time series data is a challenging task. This paper presents Approximation…

In recent years, deep or reinforcement learning approaches have been applied to optimise investment portfolios through learning the spatial and temporal information under the dynamic financial market. Yet in most cases, the existing…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2024-04-16 Zhenglong Li , Vincent Tam

The growing volume of data usually creates an interesting challenge for the need of data analysis tools that discover regularities in these data. Data mining has emerged as disciplines that contribute tools for data analysis, discovery of…

数据库 · 计算机科学 2011-08-30 Abhishek Taneja , R. K. Chauhan

Attention-based models have been widely used in many areas, such as computer vision and natural language processing. However, relevant applications in time series classification (TSC) have not been explored deeply yet, causing a significant…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-07-18 Bowen Zhao , Huanlai Xing , Xinhan Wang , Fuhong Song , Zhiwen Xiao

We compare traditional approach of computing logarithmic returns with the fractional differencing method and its tempered extension as methods of data preparation before their usage in advanced machine learning models. Differencing…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2025-05-27 Dominik Stempień , Janusz Gajda

Accurate forecasting in the e-commerce finance domain is particularly challenging due to irregular invoice schedules, payment deferrals, and user-specific behavioral variability. These factors, combined with sparse datasets and short…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-25 Abhishek Sharma , Anat Parush , Sumit Wadhwa , Amihai Savir , Anne Guinard , Prateek Srivastava

Financial Distress Prediction plays a crucial role in the economy by accurately forecasting the number and probability of failing structures, providing insight into the growth and stability of a country's economy. However, predicting…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-24 Yuan Gao , Biao Jiang , Jietong Zhou

Financial time series forecasting is both highly significant and challenging. Previous approaches typically standardized time series data before feeding it into forecasting models, but this encoding process inherently leads to a loss of…

There are inefficiencies in financial markets, with unexploited patterns in price, volume, and cross-sectional relationships. While many approaches use large-scale transformers, we take a domain-focused path: feed-forward and recurrent…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2025-10-15 Sid Ghatak , Arman Khaledian , Navid Parvini , Nariman Khaledian

One of the challenging questions in time series forecasting is how to find the best algorithm. In recent years, a recommender system scheme has been developed for time series analysis using a meta-learning approach. This system selects the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-08-23 Sasan Barak , Mahdi Nasiri , Mehrdad Rostamzadeh

This article is an introduction to machine learning for financial forecasting, planning and analysis (FP\&A). Machine learning appears well suited to support FP\&A with the highly automated extraction of information from large amounts of…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2021-07-13 Helmut Wasserbacher , Martin Spindler

In this review, we provide practical guidance on some of the main machine learning tools used in portfolio weight formation. This is not an exhaustive list, but a fraction of the ones used and have some statistical analysis behind it. All…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2025-10-01 Mehmet Caner Qingliang Fan

High-dimensional measurements are often correlated which motivates their approximation by factor models. This holds also true when features are engineered via low-dimensional interactions or kernel tricks. This often results in over…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-09-03 Xiaonan Zhu , Bingyan Wang , Jianqing Fan

Feature selection is an essential process in machine learning, especially when dealing with high-dimensional datasets. It helps reduce the complexity of machine learning models, improve performance, mitigate overfitting, and decrease…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-10 Egor Kraev , Baran Koseoglu , Luca Traverso , Mohammed Topiwalla

Application of neural network architectures for financial prediction has been actively studied in recent years. This paper presents a comparative study that investigates and compares feed-forward neural network (FNN) and adaptive neural…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2019-06-14 Yuxuan Huang , Luiz Fernando Capretz , Danny Ho

Time series forecasting has gained lots of attention recently; this is because many real-world phenomena can be modeled as time series. The massive volume of data and recent advancements in the processing power of the computers enable…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-04-01 Manie Tadayon , Yumi Iwashita

This study presents an autonomous experimental machine learning protocol for high-frequency trading (HFT) stock price forecasting that involves a dual competitive feature importance mechanism and clustering via shallow neural network…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2024-12-30 Adamantios Ntakaris , Gbenga Ibikunle

This paper presents price prediction models using Machine Learning algorithms augmented with Superforecasters predictions, aimed at enhancing investment decisions. Five Machine Learning models are built, including Bidirectional LSTM, ARIMA,…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2024-07-03 Anishka Chauhan , Pratham Mayur , Yeshwanth Sai Gokarakonda , Pooriya Jamie , Naman Mehrotra

We aim to develop a time series modeling methodology tailored to high-dimensional environments, addressing two critical challenges: variable selection from a large pool of candidates, and the detection of structural break points, where the…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-04-15 Angelo Milfont , Alvaro Veiga