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Regularization improves generalization of supervised models to out-of-sample data. Prior works have shown that prediction in the causal direction (effect from cause) results in lower testing error than the anti-causal direction. However,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-09-29 Trent Kyono , Yao Zhang , Mihaela van der Schaar

Structural causal models postulate noisy functional relations among a set of interacting variables. The causal structure underlying each such model is naturally represented by a directed graph whose edges indicate for each variable which…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-03-15 David Strieder , Tobias Freidling , Stefan Haffner , Mathias Drton

Traffic forecasting is an important application of spatiotemporal series prediction. Among different methods, graph neural networks have achieved so far the most promising results, learning relations between graph nodes then becomes a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-09-05 Ting Gao , Rodrigo Kappes Marques , Lei Yu

Monitoring machine learning (ML) systems is hard, with standard practice focusing on detecting distribution shifts rather than their causes. Root-cause analysis often relies on manual tracing to determine whether a shift is caused by…

软件工程 · 计算机科学 2025-10-28 Joran Leest , Ilias Gerostathopoulos , Patricia Lago , Claudia Raibulet

Most existing causal structure learning methods assume data collected from one environment and independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.). In some cases, data are collected from different subjects from multiple environments, which…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-07 Wei Chen , Yunjin Wu , Ruichu Cai , Yueguo Chen , Zhifeng Hao

Learning about cause and effect is arguably the main goal in applied econometrics. In practice, the validity of these causal inferences is contingent on a number of critical assumptions regarding the type of data that has been collected and…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-03-03 Paul Hünermund , Elias Bareinboim

Learning the dynamic causal structure of time series is a challenging problem. Most existing approaches rely on distributional or structural invariance to uncover underlying causal dynamics, assuming stationary or partially stationary…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-27 Dezhi Yang , Qiaoyu Tan , Carlotta Domeniconi , Jun Wang , Lizhen Cui , Guoxian Yu

Discovering the causality from observational data is a crucial task in various scientific domains. With increasing awareness of privacy, data are not allowed to be exposed, and it is very hard to learn causal graphs from dispersed data,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-12 Dezhi Yang , Xintong He , Jun Wang , Guoxian Yu , Carlotta Domeniconi , Jinglin Zhang

Understanding the relation of events plays an important role in different domains, such as identifying the reasons for users' certain actions from application logs as well as explaining sports players' behaviors according to historical…

人机交互 · 计算机科学 2020-08-28 Xiao Xie , Moqi He , Yingcai Wu

Causal analysis helps us understand variables that are responsible for system failures. This improves fault detection and makes system more reliable. In this work, we present a new method that combines causal inference with machine learning…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-08-05 Karthik Peddi , Sai Ram Aditya Parisineni , Hemanth Macharla , Mayukha Pal

To uncover the city's fundamental functioning mechanisms, it is important to acquire a deep understanding of complicated relationships among citizens, location, and mobility behaviors. Previous research studies have applied direct…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-03-11 Tao Feng , Yunke Zhang , Xiaochen Fan , Huandong Wang , Yong Li

Causal discovery, the task of automatically constructing a causal model from data, is of major significance across the sciences. Evaluating the performance of causal discovery algorithms should ideally involve comparing the inferred models…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2021-08-26 Maxime Peyrard , Robert West

GraphRAG-Causal introduces an innovative framework that combines graph-based retrieval with large language models to enhance causal reasoning in news analysis. Traditional NLP approaches often struggle with identifying complex, implicit…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2025-06-16 Abdul Haque , Umm e Hani , Ahmad Din , Muhammad Babar , Ali Abbas , Insaf Ullah

We present a structural clustering algorithm for large-scale datasets of small labeled graphs, utilizing a frequent subgraph sampling strategy. A set of representatives provides an intuitive description of each cluster, supports the…

数据库 · 计算机科学 2016-10-03 Till Schäfer , Petra Mutzel

Causal discovery is challenging in general dynamical systems because, without strong structural assumptions, the underlying causal graph may not be identifiable even from interventional data. However, many real-world systems exhibit…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-07 Panayiotis Panayiotou , Özgür Şimşek

Real-world problems, for example in climate applications, often require causal reasoning on spatially gridded time series data or data with comparable structure. While the underlying system is often believed to behave similarly at different…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-16 Martin Rabel , Jakob Runge

This paper addresses the problem of estimating causal directed acyclic graphs in linear non-Gaussian acyclic models with latent confounders (LvLiNGAM). Existing methods assume mutually independent latent confounders or cannot properly…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-17 Ming Cai , Penggang Gao , Hisayuki Hara

Causal learning tackles the computationally demanding task of estimating causal graphs. This paper introduces a new divide-and-conquer approach for causal graph learning, called DCILP. In the divide phase, the Markov blanket MB($X_i$) of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-01 Shuyu Dong , Michèle Sebag , Kento Uemura , Akito Fujii , Shuang Chang , Yusuke Koyanagi , Koji Maruhashi

Causal graph discovery for space-time systems is challenging in high-dimensional gridded data, which often has many more grid cells than temporal observations per cell. The Causal Space-Time Stencil Learning (CaStLe) meta-algorithm was…

In this paper, we analyze the applicability of the Causal Identification algorithm to causal time series graphs with latent confounders. Since these graphs extend over infinitely many time steps, deciding whether causal effects across…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-30 Erik Jahn , Karthik Karnik , Leonard J. Schulman