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In many environmental applications involving spatially-referenced data, limitations on the number and locations of observations motivate the need for practical and efficient models for spatial interpolation, or kriging. A key component of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-09-15 Mark D. Risser , Catherine A. Calder

Decision Trees and Random Forests are among the most widely used machine learning models, and often achieve state-of-the-art performance in tabular, domain-agnostic datasets. Nonetheless, being primarily discriminative models they lack…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-07-14 Alvaro H. C. Correia , Robert Peharz , Cassio de Campos

Missing data are common in data analyses in biomedical fields, and imputation methods based on random forests (RF) have become widely accepted, as the RF algorithm can achieve high accuracy without the need for specification of data…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-05-01 Shangzhi Hong , Yuqi Sun , Hanying Li , Henry S. Lynn

Many real-world regression problems demand a measure of the uncertainty associated with each prediction. Standard decision forests deliver efficient state-of-the-art predictive performance, but high-quality uncertainty estimates are…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-05-30 Balaji Lakshminarayanan , Daniel M. Roy , Yee Whye Teh

Gaussian processes (GPs) are commonplace in spatial statistics. Although many non-stationary models have been developed, there is arguably a lack of flexibility compared to equipping each location with its own parameters. However, the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-07-19 Leo L. Duan , Xia Wang , Rhonda D. Szczesniak

Public health data are often spatially dependent, but standard spatial regression methods can suffer from bias and invalid inference when the independent variable is associated with spatially-correlated residuals. This could occur if, for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-10 Nate Wiecha , Jane A. Hoppin , Brian J. Reich

Tree-based ensemble methods, as Random Forests and Gradient Boosted Trees, have been successfully used for regression in many applications and research studies. Furthermore, these methods have been extended in order to deal with uncertainty…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-11-20 Myriam Tami , Marianne Clausel , Emilie Devijver , Adrien Dulac , Eric Gaussier , Stefan Janaqi , Meriam Chebre

The behavior of a GP regression depends on the choice of covariance function. Stationary covariance functions are preferred in machine learning applications. However, (non-periodic) stationary covariance functions are always mean reverting…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-05-16 Luca Ambrogioni

The Global Ecosystem Dynamics Investigation (GEDI) is a spaceborne lidar instrument that collects near-global measurements of forest structure. While expansive in scope, GEDI samples are spatially sparse and cover a small fraction of the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-01-04 Paul B. May , Andrew O. Finley , Ralph O. Dubayah

The random forest (RF) algorithm has become a very popular prediction method for its great flexibility and promising accuracy. In RF, it is conventional to put equal weights on all the base learners (trees) to aggregate their predictions.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-05-18 Xinyu Chen , Dalei Yu , Xinyu Zhang

In this paper, we deduce a new multivariate regression model designed to fit correlated binary data. The multivariate distribution is derived from a Bernoulli mixed model with a nonnormal random intercept on the marginal approach. The…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-06-10 Lizandra C. Fabio , Vanessa Barros , Cristian Villegas , Jalmar M. F. Carrasco

This paper promotes the use of random forests as versatile tools for estimating spatially disaggregated indicators in the presence of small area-specific sample sizes. Small area estimators are predominantly conceptualized within the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-19 Patrick Krennmair , Timo Schmid

Lossy data transformations by definition lose information. Yet, in modern machine learning, methods like data pruning and lossy data augmentation can help improve generalization performance. We study this paradox using a solvable model of…

统计力学 · 物理学 2025-09-19 Alex Nguyen , David J. Schwab , Vudtiwat Ngampruetikorn

This paper studies the binary classification of unbounded data from ${\mathbb R}^d$ generated under Gaussian Mixture Models (GMMs) using deep ReLU neural networks. We obtain $\unicode{x2013}$ for the first time $\unicode{x2013}$…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-08-17 Tian-Yi Zhou , Xiaoming Huo

The perspective of developing trustworthy AI for critical applications in science and engineering requires machine learning techniques that are capable of estimating their own uncertainty. In the context of regression, instead of estimating…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-14 Quentin Duchemin , Guillaume Obozinski

Gaussian processes (GPs) provide flexible distributions over functions, with inductive biases controlled by a kernel. However, in many applications Gaussian processes can struggle with even moderate input dimensionality. Learning a low…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-01-01 Ian A. Delbridge , David S. Bindel , Andrew Gordon Wilson

A non-Bayesian, regression-based or generalized least squares (GLS)-based approach is formally proposed to estimate a class of time-varying AR parameter models. This approach has partly been used by Ito et al. (2014, 2016a,b), and is proven…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-12-22 Mikio Ito , Akihiko Noda , Tatsuma Wada

Random forests are an ensemble method relevant for many problems, such as regression or classification. They are popular due to their good predictive performance (compared to, e.g., decision trees) requiring only minimal tuning of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-10-20 Nikolaus Umlauf , Nadja Klein

Many applications of generalised linear models (GLMs) can be improved by applying constraints that impose assumptions on the associations or improve consistency of the estimators. Yet, there are still barriers to the implementation and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-19 Pierre Masselot , Devon Nenon , Jacopo Vanoli , Zaid Chalabi , Antonio Gasparrini

Regression trees are a popular machine learning algorithm that fit piecewise constant models by recursively partitioning the predictor space. This paper focuses on statistical inference for a data-dependent model obtained from a fitted…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-17 Soham Bakshi , Yiling Huang , Snigdha Panigrahi , Walter Dempsey