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相关论文: Causal quartets: Different ways to attain the same…

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We are interested in estimating the effect of a treatment applied to individuals at multiple sites, where data is stored locally for each site. Due to privacy constraints, individual-level data cannot be shared across sites; the sites may…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-04-04 Ruoxuan Xiong , Allison Koenecke , Michael Powell , Zhu Shen , Joshua T. Vogelstein , Susan Athey

Causal abstractions allow us to relate causal models on different levels of granularity. To ensure that the models agree on cause and effect, frameworks for causal abstractions define notions of consistency. Two distinct methods for causal…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-03-17 Willem Schooltink , Fabio Massimo Zennaro

We study variants of the average treatment effect on the treated with population parameters replaced by their sample counterparts. For each estimand, we derive the limiting distribution with respect to a semiparametric efficient estimator…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-02-12 Andrew Yiu

Recent work has shown promising results in causal discovery by leveraging interventional data with gradient-based methods, even when the intervened variables are unknown. However, previous work assumes that the correspondence between…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-07-12 Gonçalo R. A. Faria , André F. T. Martins , Mário A. T. Figueiredo

This paper presents a randomization-based framework for estimating causal effects under interference between units, motivated by challenges that arise in analyzing experiments on social networks. The framework integrates three components:…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-06-21 Peter M. Aronow , Cyrus Samii

As is well known, a graph is a mathematical object modeling the existence of a certain relation between pairs of elements of a given set. Therefore, it is not surprising that many of the first results concerning graphs made reference to…

历史与综述 · 数学 2019-02-28 C. Dalfó , M. A. Fiol

Causal processes in biomedicine may contain cycles, evolve over time or differ between populations. However, many graphical models cannot accommodate these conditions. We propose to model causation using a mixture of directed cyclic graphs…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-09-08 Eric V. Strobl

Instrumental variables (IVs) are often continuous, arising in diverse fields such as economics, epidemiology, and the social sciences. Existing approaches for continuous IVs typically impose strong parametric models or assume homogeneous…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-17 Mei Dong , Lin Liu , Dingke Tang , Geoffrey Liu , Wei Xu , Linbo Wang

This methodological review examines the use of the causal forest method by applied researchers across 133 peer-reviewed papers. It shows that the emerging best practice relies heavily on the approach and tools created by the original…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-12-24 Patrick Rehill

Within the field of causal inference, we consider the problem of estimating heterogeneous treatment effects from data. We propose and validate a novel approach for learning feature representations to aid the estimation of the conditional…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-06-23 Michael C. Burkhart , Gabriel Ruiz

Causal effect estimation is important for many tasks in the natural and social sciences. We design algorithms for the continuous partial identification problem: bounding the effects of multivariate, continuous treatments when unmeasured…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-05-18 Kirtan Padh , Jakob Zeitler , David Watson , Matt Kusner , Ricardo Silva , Niki Kilbertus

Bayesian approaches have become increasingly popular in causal inference problems due to their conceptual simplicity, excellent performance and in-built uncertainty quantification ('posterior credible sets'). We investigate Bayesian…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-09-27 Kolyan Ray , Botond Szabo

We enumerate factorisations of the complete graph into spanning regular graphs in several cases, including when the degrees of all the factors except for one or two are small. The resulting asymptotic behaviour is seen to generalise the…

组合数学 · 数学 2022-06-28 Mahdieh Hasheminezhad , Brendan D. McKay

Unobserved confounding is one of the main challenges when estimating causal effects. We propose a causal reduction method that, given a causal model, replaces an arbitrary number of possibly high-dimensional latent confounders with a single…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-02-24 Maximilian Ilse , Patrick Forré , Max Welling , Joris M. Mooij

We derive new variance formulas for inference on a general class of estimands of causal average treatment effects in a Randomized Control Trial (RCT). We generalize Robins (1988) and show that when the estimand of interest is the Sample…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-10-19 Jasjeet S. Sekhon , Yotam Shem-Tov

The concept of causality has a controversial history. The question of whether it is possible to represent and address causal problems with probability theory, or if fundamentally new mathematics such as the do calculus is required has been…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-12-13 Finnian Lattimore , David Rohde

Scatter plots carry an implicit if subtle message about causality. Whether we look at functions of one variable in pure mathematics, plots of experimental measurements as a function of the experimental conditions, or scatter plots of…

人机交互 · 计算机科学 2018-09-26 Carl T. Bergstrom , Jevin D. West

We study a new model where the potential outcomes, corresponding to the values of a (possibly continuous) treatment, are linked through common factors. The factors can be estimated using a panel of regressors. We propose a procedure to…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-01-09 Jad Beyhum

We consider identifying a conditional causal effect when a graph is known up to a maximally oriented partially directed acyclic graph (MPDAG). An MPDAG represents an equivalence class of graphs that is restricted by background knowledge and…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-07-22 Sara LaPlante , Emilija Perković

Conducting experiments to estimate total effects can be challenging due to cost, ethical concerns, or practical limitations. As an alternative, researchers often rely on causal graphs to determine whether these effects can be identified…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-20 Charles K. Assaad
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