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Personalized interventions in social services, education, and healthcare leverage individual-level causal effect predictions in order to give the best treatment to each individual or to prioritize program interventions for the individuals…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-06-05 Nathan Kallus , Angela Zhou

Learning individualized treatment rules (ITRs) is an important topic in precision medicine. Current literature mainly focuses on deriving ITRs from a single source population. We consider the observational data setting when the source…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-07-04 Rui Chen , Jared D. Huling , Guanhua Chen , Menggang Yu

Data-driven individualized decision making has recently received increasing research interests. Most existing methods rely on the assumption of no unmeasured confounding, which unfortunately cannot be ensured in practice especially in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-12-26 Zhengling Qi , Rui Miao , Xiaoke Zhang

Off-policy evaluation provides an essential tool for evaluating the effects of different policies or treatments using only observed data. When applied to high-stakes scenarios such as medical diagnosis or financial decision-making, it is…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-10-30 Ziyang Tang , Yihao Feng , Na Zhang , Jian Peng , Qiang Liu

A choice of optimization objective is immensely pivotal in the design of a recommender system as it affects the general modeling process of a user's intent from previous interactions. Existing approaches mainly adhere to three categories of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-02 Hyunsoo Chung , Jungtaek Kim , Hyungeun Jo , Hyungwon Choi

Randomized controlled trials typically analyze the effectiveness of treatments with the goal of making treatment recommendations for patient subgroups. With the advance of electronic health records, a great variety of data has been…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-03-31 Zhiliang Wu , Yinchong Yang , Yunpu Ma , Yushan Liu , Rui Zhao , Michael Moor , Volker Tresp

In the absence of data from a randomized trial, researchers often aim to use observational data to draw causal inference about the effect of a treatment on a time-to-event outcome. In this context, interest often focuses on the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-06-15 Ted Westling , Alex Luedtke , Peter Gilbert , Marco Carone

With advances in estimating heterogeneous treatment effects, firms can personalize and target individuals at a granular level. However, feasibility constraints limit full personalization. In practice, firms choose segments of individuals…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-07-02 Walter W. Zhang , Sanjog Misra

We address the personalized policy learning problem using longitudinal mobile health application usage data. Personalized policy represents a paradigm shift from developing a single policy that may prescribe personalized decisions by…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-01-13 Xinyu Hu , Min Qian , Bin Cheng , Ying Kuen Cheung

Many clinical risk scores are deployed as additive rules with nonnegative integer points assigned to relevant binary predictive features. These integer weights not only make the score easier to use in practice but also promote sparsity in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-20 Ying Cui , Albert M Li , Vivek Charu , Yeon-Mi Hwang , Tina Hernandez-Boussard , Lu Tian

Randomized experimentation (also known as A/B testing or bucket testing) is widely used in the internet industry to measure the metric impact obtained by different treatment variants. A/B tests identify the treatment variant showing the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-12-23 Ye Tu , Kinjal Basu , Cyrus DiCiccio , Romil Bansal , Preetam Nandy , Padmini Jaikumar , Shaunak Chatterjee

Propensity score methods are widely used for estimating treatment effects from observational studies. A popular approach is to estimate propensity scores by maximum likelihood based on logistic regression, and then apply inverse probability…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-10-24 Zhiqiang Tan

Because different patients may response quite differently to the same drug or treatment, there is increasing interest in discovering individualized treatment rule. In particular, people are eager to find the optimal individualized treatment…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-04-14 Wei Xiao , Hao Helen Zhang , Wenbin Lu

An individualized treatment rule (ITR) is a decision rule that recommends treatments for patients based on their individual feature variables. In many practices, the ideal ITR for the primary outcome is also expected to cause minimal harm…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-05-24 Daiqi Gao , Yuanjia Wang , Donglin Zeng

There is intense interest in applying machine learning to problems of causal inference in fields such as healthcare, economics and education. In particular, individual-level causal inference has important applications such as precision…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-05-17 Uri Shalit , Fredrik D. Johansson , David Sontag

Estimating treatment effects from observational data is of central interest across numerous application domains. Individual treatment effect offers the most granular measure of treatment effect on an individual level, and is the most useful…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-08-06 Hengrui Cai , Huaqing Jin , Lexin Li

Real-world scenarios frequently involve multi-objective data-driven optimization problems, characterized by unknown problem coefficients and multiple conflicting objectives. Traditional two-stage methods independently apply a machine…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-04 Peng Li , Lixia Wu , Chaoqun Feng , Haoyuan Hu , Lei Fu , Jieping Ye

Understanding treatment effect heterogeneity has become increasingly important in many fields. In this paper we study distributions and quantiles of individual treatment effects to provide a more comprehensive and robust understanding of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-31 Zhe Chen , Xinran Li

For any class of one-sided $1-\alpha$ confidence intervals with a certain monotonicity ordering on the random confidence limit, the smallest interval, in the sense of the set inclusion for the difference of two proportions of two…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-11-19 Weizhen Wang

Univariate isotonic regression (IR) has been used for nonparametric estimation in dose-response and dose-finding studies. One undesirable property of IR is the prevalence of piecewise-constant stretches in its estimates, whereas the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-01-24 Assaf P. Oron , Nancy Flournoy