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Forecasting the behaviour of complex dynamical systems such as interconnected sensor networks characterized by high-dimensional multivariate time series(MTS) is of paramount importance for making informed decisions and planning for the…

This work addresses the challenge of short-term precipitation forecasting by applying Convolutional Long Short-Term Memory (ConvLSTM) neural networks to weather radar data from the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI). The…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-05 Petros Demetrakopoulos

Modern decision-making in fixed income asset management benefits from intelligent systems, which involve the use of state-of-the-art machine learning models and appropriate methodologies. We conduct the first study of bond yield forecasting…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2020-05-06 Manuel Nunes , Enrico Gerding , Frank McGroarty , Mahesan Niranjan

Accurate demand forecasting is critical for brick-and-mortar retailers to optimize inventory management and minimize costs. This study evaluates statistical baselines, tree-based ensembles (XGBoost and LightGBM), and deep learning…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-12 Luka Hobor , Mario Brcic , Lidija Polutnik , Ante Kapetanovic

As the energy landscape changes quickly, grid operators face several challenges, especially when integrating renewable energy sources with the grid. The most important challenge is to balance supply and demand because the solar and wind…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-24 Kamal Sarkar

Encoder-decoder-based recurrent neural network (RNN) has made significant progress in sequence-to-sequence learning tasks such as machine translation and conversational models. Recent works have shown the advantage of this type of network…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-10 Jing Xiong , Pengyang Zhou , Alan Chen , Yu Zhang

Time series prediction can be generalized as a process that extracts useful information from historical records and then determines future values. Learning long-range dependencies that are embedded in time series is often an obstacle for…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2018-10-25 Yuxiu Hua , Zhifeng Zhao , Rongpeng Li , Xianfu Chen , Zhiming Liu , Honggang Zhang

Electricity load forecasting for buildings and campuses is becoming increasingly important as the penetration of distributed energy resources (DERs) grows. Efficient operation and dispatch of DERs require reasonably accurate predictions of…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-12-20 Sakshi Mishra , Stephen M. Frank , Anya Petersen , Robert Buechler , Michelle Slovensky

With the expected rise in behind-the-meter solar penetration within the distribution networks, there is a need to develop time-series forecasting methods that can reliably predict the net-load, accurately quantifying its uncertainty and…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-03-10 Deepthi Sen , Indrasis Chakraborty , Soumya Kundu , Andrew P. Reiman , Ian Beil , Andy Eiden

In the financial sector, a reliable forecast the future financial performance of a company is of great importance for investors' investment decisions. In this paper we compare long-term short-term memory (LSTM) networks to temporal…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2020-10-13 Lars Elend , Sebastian A. Tideman , Kerstin Lopatta , Oliver Kramer

We propose a neural network approach to produce probabilistic weather forecasts from a deterministic numerical weather prediction. Our approach is applied to operational surface temperature outputs from the Global Deterministic Prediction…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-04-07 David Landry , Anastase Charantonis , Claire Monteleoni

This work presents a hybrid and hierarchical deep learning model for mid-term load forecasting. The model combines exponential smoothing (ETS), advanced Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) and ensembling. ETS extracts dynamically the main…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-04-02 Grzegorz Dudek , Paweł Pełka , Slawek Smyl

In this paper we compare traditional machine learning and deep learning models trained on a malware dataset when subjected to adversarial attack based on label-flipping. Specifically, we investigate the robustness of Support Vector Machines…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-23 Sarvagya Bhargava , Mark Stamp

Traffic prediction plays an important role in evaluating the performance of telecommunication networks and attracts intense research interests. A significant number of algorithms and models have been put forward to analyse traffic data and…

网络与互联网体系结构 · 计算机科学 2018-04-04 Yuxiu Hua , Zhifeng Zhao , Rongpeng Li , Xianfu Chen , Zhiming Liu , Honggang Zhang

Time series analysis is critical for emerging net- work intelligent control and management functions. However, existing statistical-based and shallow machine learning models have shown limited prediction capabilities on multivariate time…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-13 Yufeng Xin , Ethan Fan

Integrated energy systems (IESs) are complex systems consisting of diverse operating units spanning multiple domains. To address its operational challenges, we propose a physics-informed hybrid time-series neural network (NN) surrogate to…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-10-08 Long Wu , Xunyuan Yin , Lei Pan , Jinfeng Liu

Accurate prediction of price behavior in the foreign exchange market is crucial. This paper proposes a novel approach that leverages technical indicators and deep neural networks. The proposed architecture consists of a Long Short-Term…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-02 Sahabeh Saadati , Mohammad Manthouri

Purpose: Trading on electricity markets occurs such that the price settlement takes place before delivery, often day-ahead. In practice, these prices are highly volatile as they largely depend upon a range of variables such as electricity…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-05-19 Christof Naumzik , Stefan Feuerriegel

Accurate and reliable forecasting of total cloud cover (TCC) is vital for many areas such as astronomy, energy demand and production, or agriculture. Most meteorological centres issue ensemble forecasts of TCC, however, these forecasts are…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-05-03 Ágnes Baran , Sebastian Lerch , Mehrez El Ayari , Sándor Baran

Net load forecasting is crucial for energy planning and facilitating informed decision-making regarding trade and load distributions. However, evaluating forecasting models' performance against benchmark models remains challenging, thereby…

人机交互 · 计算机科学 2025-03-13 Kaustav Bhattacharjee , Soumya Kundu , Indrasis Chakraborty , Aritra Dasgupta