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The main objective of this study is to propose an enhanced wind power forecasting (EWPF) transformer model for handling power grid operations and boosting power market competition. It helps reliable large-scale integration of wind power…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-04-24 Md Rasel Sarkar , Sreenatha G. Anavatti , Tanmoy Dam , Mahardhika Pratama , Berlian Al Kindhi

Short-term load forecasting is one of the crucial sections in smart grid. Precise forecasting enables system operators to make reliable unit commitment and power dispatching decisions. With the advent of big data, a number of artificial…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2018-09-27 Tiantian Li , Bo Wang , Min Zhou , Junzo Watada

Short-term load forecasting (STLF) is essential for the reliable and economic operation of power systems. Though many STLF methods were proposed over the past decades, most of them focused on loads at high aggregation levels only. Thus,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-03-27 Yayu Peng , Yishen Wang , Xiao Lu , Haifeng Li , Di Shi , Zhiwei Wang , Jie Li

This work introduces the Supervised Expectation-Maximization Framework (SEMF), a versatile and model-agnostic approach for generating prediction intervals with any ML model. SEMF extends the Expectation-Maximization algorithm, traditionally…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-09-30 Ilia Azizi , Marc-Olivier Boldi , Valérie Chavez-Demoulin

Sub-seasonal climate forecasting (SSF) is the prediction of key climate variables such as temperature and precipitation on the 2-week to 2-month time horizon. Skillful SSF would have substantial societal value in areas such as agricultural…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2021-10-12 Sijie He , Xinyan Li , Laurie Trenary , Benjamin A Cash , Timothy DelSole , Arindam Banerjee

We present an online stochastic model predictive control framework for demand charge management for a grid-connected consumer with attached electrical energy storage. The consumer we consider must satisfy an inflexible but stochastic…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-07-07 Benjamin Flamm , Guillermo Ramos , Annika Eichler , John Lygeros

Short-term load forecasting is a critical element of power systems energy management systems. In recent years, probabilistic load forecasting (PLF) has gained increased attention for its ability to provide uncertainty information that helps…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-03-27 Qicheng Chang , Yishen Wang , Xiao Lu , Di Shi , Haifeng Li , Jiajun Duan , Zhiwei Wang

In response to the growing demand for accurate demand forecasts, this research proposes a generalized automated sales forecasting pipeline tailored for small- to medium-sized enterprises (SMEs). Unlike large corporations with dedicated data…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-12-31 Thomas Gaertner , Christoph Lippert , Stefan Konigorski

Accurate short-term energy consumption forecasting is essential for efficient power grid management, resource allocation, and market stability. Traditional time-series models often fail to capture the complex, non-linear dependencies and…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2026-01-27 Abhishek Maity , Viraj Tukarul

Recent advancements in multivariate time series forecasting have been propelled by Linear-based, Transformer-based, and Convolution-based models, with Transformer-based architectures gaining prominence for their efficacy in temporal and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-09-27 Chaolv Zeng , Zhanyu Liu , Guanjie Zheng , Linghe Kong

This paper introduces a Multi-modal Diffusion model for Motion Prediction (MDMP) that integrates and synchronizes skeletal data and textual descriptions of actions to generate refined long-term motion predictions with quantifiable…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-06-03 Leo Bringer , Joey Wilson , Kira Barton , Maani Ghaffari

The increasing use of renewable energy sources with variable output, such as solar photovoltaic and wind power generation, calls for Smart Grids that effectively manage flexible loads and energy storage. The ability to forecast consumption…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2014-04-02 Andreas Veit , Christoph Goebel , Rohit Tidke , Christoph Doblander , Hans-Arno Jacobsen

Based on evidence gathered from a newly built large macroeconomic data set for the UK, labeled UK-MD and comparable to similar datasets for the US and Canada, it seems the most promising avenue for forecasting during the pandemic is to…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2021-03-02 Philippe Goulet Coulombe , Massimiliano Marcellino , Dalibor Stevanovic

Time series forecasting (TSF) is an essential branch of machine learning with various applications. Most methods for TSF focus on constructing different networks to extract better information and improve performance. However, practical…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-19 Yanru Sun , Zongxia Xie , Haoyu Xing , Hualong Yu , Qinghua Hu

This paper considers two important problems -- on the supply-side and demand-side respectively and studies both in a unified framework. On the supply side, we study the problem of energy sharing among microgrids with the goal of maximizing…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2019-07-09 Diddigi Raghuram Bharadwaj , Sai Koti Reddy Danda , Krishnasuri Narayanam , Shalabh Bhatnagar

Forecasting electricity demand plays a critical role in ensuring reliable and cost-efficient operation of the electricity supply. With the global transition to distributed renewable energy sources and the electrification of heating and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-31 Konstantin Hopf , Hannah Hartstang , Thorsten Staake

The diversity of time series applications and scarcity of domain-specific data highlight the need for time-series models with strong few-shot learning capabilities. In this work, we propose a novel training scheme and a transformer-based…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-25 Ege Onur Taga , M. Emrullah Ildiz , Samet Oymak

Load forecasting is essential for the efficient, reliable, and cost-effective management of power systems. Load forecasting performance can be improved by learning the similarities among multiple entities (e.g., regions, buildings).…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-02-07 Onintze Zaballa , Verónica Álvarez , Santiago Mazuelas

Automating complex industrial robots requires precise nonlinear control and efficient energy management. This paper introduces a data-driven nonlinear model predictive control (NMPC) framework to optimize control under multiple objectives.…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2024-11-22 Dexian Ma , Bo Zhou

Machine learning (ML) has often been applied to space weather (SW) problems in recent years. SW originates from solar perturbations and is comprised of the resulting complex variations they cause within the systems between the Sun and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-01-07 Richard J. Licata , Piyush M. Mehta