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Short-term (0-24 hours) precipitation forecasting is highly valuable to socioeconomic activities and public safety. However, the highly complex evolution patterns of precipitation events, the extreme imbalance between precipitation and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-30 Shuangliang Li , Siwei Li , Li Li , Weijie Zou , Jie Yang , Maolin Zhang

As overparameterized models become increasingly prevalent, training loss alone offers limited insight into generalization performance. While smoothness has been linked to improved generalization across various settings, directly enforcing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-30 Yifan Hao , Yanxin Lu , Hanning Zhang , Xinwei Shen , Tong Zhang

We introduce a novel continual learning method based on multifidelity deep neural networks. This method learns the correlation between the output of previously trained models and the desired output of the model on the current training…

数值分析 · 数学 2024-07-01 Amanda Howard , Yucheng Fu , Panos Stinis

Accurate short range weather forecasting has significant implications for various sectors. Machine learning based approaches, e.g., deep learning, have gained popularity in this domain where the existing numerical weather prediction (NWP)…

Obtaining a sufficient forecast lead time for local precipitation is essential in preventing hazardous weather events. Global warming-induced climate change increases the challenge of accurately predicting severe precipitation events, such…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-21 Sojung An , Junha Lee , Jiyeon Jang , Inchae Na , Wooyeon Park , Sujeong You

Deep Learning (DL) based downscaling has become a popular tool in earth sciences recently. Increasingly, different DL approaches are being adopted to downscale coarser precipitation data and generate more accurate and reliable estimates at…

Learning long-term behaviors in chaotic dynamical systems, such as turbulent flows and climate modelling, is challenging due to their inherent instability and unpredictability. These systems exhibit positive Lyapunov exponents, which…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2025-04-02 Xiaoyuan Cheng , Yi He , Yiming Yang , Xiao Xue , Sibo Cheng , Daniel Giles , Xiaohang Tang , Yukun Hu

Extreme precipitation causes severe societal and economic damage, and weather control has long been discussed as a potential mitigation strategy. However, to the best of our knowledge, perturbation-based interventions for weather control…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-15 Ayumu Ueyama , Kazuhiko Kawamoto , Hiroshi Kera

Recent approaches for learning policies to improve caching, target just one out of the prefetching, admission and eviction processes. In contrast, we propose an end to end pipeline to learn all three policies using machine learning. We also…

操作系统 · 计算机科学 2020-09-22 Ayush Mangal , Jitesh Jain , Keerat Kaur Guliani , Omkar Bhalerao

Deep learning has arguably achieved tremendous success in recent years. In simple words, deep learning uses the composition of many nonlinear functions to model the complex dependency between input features and labels. While neural networks…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-04-16 Jianqing Fan , Cong Ma , Yiqiao Zhong

Weather forecasting is essential for various human activities. Recent data-driven models have outperformed numerical weather prediction by utilizing deep learning in forecasting performance. However, challenges remain in efficiently…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-01 Ayumu Ueyama , Kazuhiko Kawamoto , Hiroshi Kera

Modern deep-learning systems are specialized to problem settings in which training occurs once and then never again, as opposed to continual-learning settings in which training occurs continually. If deep-learning systems are applied in a…

Urban downscaling is a link to transfer the knowledge from coarser climate information to city scale assessments. These high-resolution assessments need multiyear climatology of past data and future projections, which are complex and…

Despite the power of deep neural networks for a wide range of tasks, an overconfident prediction issue has limited their practical use in many safety-critical applications. Many recent works have been proposed to mitigate this issue, but…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-08-14 Jooyoung Moon , Jihyo Kim , Younghak Shin , Sangheum Hwang

Accurate quantitative precipitation forecasting (QPF) remains one of the main challenges in numerical weather prediction (NWP), primarily due to the difficulty of representing the full complexity of atmospheric microphysics through…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-06-05 ChangJae Lee , Heecheol Yang , Byeonggwon Kim

Accurate weather forecasting holds significant importance to human activities. Currently, there are two paradigms for weather forecasting: Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) and Deep Learning-based Prediction (DLP). NWP utilizes atmospheric…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2024-01-10 Wenyuan Li , Zili Liu , Keyan Chen , Hao Chen , Shunlin Liang , Zhengxia Zou , Zhenwei Shi

Deep learning techniques have demonstrated significant capacity in modeling some of the most challenging real world problems of high complexity. Despite the popularity of deep models, we still strive to better understand the underlying…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2016-07-11 Yu Zhong , Gil Ettinger

Industrial prognostics focuses on utilizing degradation signals to forecast and continually update the residual useful life of complex engineering systems. However, existing prognostic models for systems with multiple failure modes face…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-15 Yuqi Su , Xiaolei Fang

Deep learning models for flood and wildfire segmentation and object detection enable precise, real-time disaster localization when deployed on embedded drone platforms. However, in natural disaster management, the lack of transparency in…

The success of deep learning techniques over the last decades has opened up a new avenue of research for weather forecasting. Here, we take the novel approach of using a neural network to predict full probability density functions at each…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-01-05 Mariana Clare , Omar Jamil , Cyril Morcrette