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相关论文: Counterfactual (Non-)identifiability of Learned St…

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In this work, we present sequence-driven structural causal models (SD-SCMs), a framework for specifying causal models with user-defined structure and language-model-defined mechanisms. We characterize how an SD-SCM enables sampling from…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2025-09-24 Lucius E. J. Bynum , Kyunghyun Cho

We propose an importance sampling method for tractable and efficient estimation of counterfactual expressions in general settings, named Exogenous Matching. By minimizing a common upper bound of counterfactual estimators, we transform the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-14 Yikang Chen , Dehui Du , Lili Tian

Deep Generative Models (DGMs) are versatile tools for learning data representations while adequately incorporating domain knowledge such as the specification of conditional probability distributions. Recently proposed DGMs tackle the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-30 Romain Lopez , Jan-Christian Huetter , Ehsan Hajiramezanali , Jonathan Pritchard , Aviv Regev

We propose a novel formalism for describing Structural Causal Models (SCMs) as fixed-point problems on causally ordered variables, eliminating the need for Directed Acyclic Graphs (DAGs), and establish the weakest known conditions for their…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-16 Meyer Scetbon , Joel Jennings , Agrin Hilmkil , Cheng Zhang , Chao Ma

We consider the problem of answering observational, interventional, and counterfactual queries in a causally sufficient setting where only observational data and the causal graph are available. Utilizing the recent developments in diffusion…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-10-11 Patrick Chao , Patrick Blöbaum , Sapan Patel , Shiva Prasad Kasiviswanathan

Causal modeling has been recognized as a potential solution to many challenging problems in machine learning (ML). Here, we describe how a recently proposed counterfactual approach developed to deconfound linear structural causal models can…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-11-23 Elias Chaibub Neto

This paper investigates $\sim_{\mathcal{L}_3}$-identifiability, a form of complete counterfactual identifiability within the Pearl Causal Hierarchy (PCH) framework, ensuring that all Structural Causal Models (SCMs) satisfying the given…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-06 Yikang Chen , Dehui Du

A structural causal model is made of endogenous (manifest) and exogenous (latent) variables. We show that endogenous observations induce linear constraints on the probabilities of the exogenous variables. This allows to exactly map a causal…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2020-08-04 Marco Zaffalon , Alessandro Antonucci , Rafael Cabañas

Structural causal models (SCMs) are widely used in various disciplines to represent causal relationships among variables in complex systems. Unfortunately, the underlying causal structure is often unknown, and estimating it from data…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-17 Tianyu Chen , Kevin Bello , Bryon Aragam , Pradeep Ravikumar

Linear structural causal models (SCMs) are used to express and analyse the relationships between random variables. Direct causal effects are represented as directed edges and confounding factors as bidirected edges. Identifying the causal…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-03-06 Aaryan Gupta , Markus Bläser

Here we introduce Partially Observed Structural Causal Models (POSCMs) that formalize causal systems where latent contexts co-determine both the interaction structure and downstream mechanisms on observed variables. POSCMs provide an…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-06 Turan Orujlu , Jordan Matelsky , Martin V. Butz , Charley M. Wu , Konrad P. Kording

Structural Causal Models (SCMs) offer a principled framework to reason about interventions and support out-of-distribution generalization, which are key goals in scientific discovery. However, the task of learning SCMs from observed data…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-06 Divyat Mahajan , Jannes Gladrow , Agrin Hilmkil , Cheng Zhang , Meyer Scetbon

Estimating causal effects from observational data remains a fundamental challenge in causal inference, especially in the presence of latent confounders. This paper focuses on estimating causal effects in Gaussian Linear Structural Causal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-09 Aurghya Maiti , Prateek Jain

Although deep learning models have been successfully applied to a variety of tasks, due to the millions of parameters, they are becoming increasingly opaque and complex. In order to establish trust for their widespread commercial use, it is…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-11-13 Tanmayee Narendra , Anush Sankaran , Deepak Vijaykeerthy , Senthil Mani

In the field of causal modeling, potential outcomes (PO) and structural causal models (SCMs) stand as the predominant frameworks. However, these frameworks face notable challenges in practically modeling counterfactuals, formalized as…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-03-26 Heyang Gong , Chaochao Lu , Yu Zhang

Inference of causal structures from observational data is a key component of causal machine learning; in practice, this data may be incompletely observed. Prior work has demonstrated that adversarial perturbations of completely observed…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-01 Deniz Koyuncu , Alex Gittens , Bülent Yener , Moti Yung

Causal generative modeling is essential for developing reliable and transparent AI systems capable of counterfactual reasoning. While existing approaches focus on integrating causal constraints during the training of generative models, they…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-25 Aneesh Komanduri , Xintao Wu

Variational autoencoders (VAEs) and other generative methods have garnered growing interest not just for their generative properties but also for the ability to dis-entangle a low-dimensional latent variable space. However, few existing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-14 Sunay Bhat , Jeffrey Jiang , Omead Pooladzandi , Gregory Pottie

Counterfactual inference is a useful tool for comparing outcomes of interventions on complex systems. It requires us to represent the system in form of a structural causal model, complete with a causal diagram, probabilistic assumptions on…

Causal reasoning provides a language to ask important interventional and counterfactual questions beyond purely statistical association. In medical imaging, for example, we may want to study the causal effect of genetic, environmental, or…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2022-08-24 Rajat Rasal , Daniel C. Castro , Nick Pawlowski , Ben Glocker