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Trend change prediction in complex systems with a large number of noisy time series is a problem with many applications for real-world phenomena, with stock markets as a notoriously difficult to predict example of such systems. We approach…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2018-11-30 Ben Moews , J. Michael Herrmann , Gbenga Ibikunle

In an age of exponentially increasing data generation, performing inference tasks by utilizing the available information in its entirety is not always an affordable option. The present paper puts forth approaches to render tracking of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-06-07 Dimitris Berberidis , Georgios B. Giannakis

The knowledge of the movement of animals is important and necessary for ecologists to do further analysis such as exploring the animal migration route. A novel method which is based on the state space modeling has been proposed to track the…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2018-10-17 Hua Bai

Motivated by the Internet-of-things and sensor networks for cyberphysical systems, the problem of dynamic sensor activation for the tracking of a time-varying process is examined. The tradeoff is between energy efficiency, which decreases…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2017-11-30 Arpan Chattopadhyay , Urbashi Mitra

Data assimilation (DA) integrates observations with a dynamical model to estimate states of PDE-governed systems. Model-driven methods (e.g., Kalman, particle) presuppose full knowledge of the true dynamics, which is not always satisfied in…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-06-06 Siyi Chen , Yixuan Jia , Qing Qu , He Sun , Jeffrey A Fessler

Stochastic stability for centralized time-varying Kalman filtering over a wireles ssensor network with correlated fading channels is studied. On their route to the gateway, sensor packets, possibly aggregated with measurements from several…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2013-08-09 Daniel E. Quevedo , Anders Ahlen , Karl H. Johansson

This paper presents an automated machine learning framework designed to assist hydrologists in detecting anomalies in time series data generated by sensors in a research watershed in the northeastern United States critical zone. The…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-07 Ijaz Ul Haq , Byung Suk Lee , Donna M. Rizzo , Julia N Perdrial

This paper considers the problem of distributed estimation in a sensor network, where multiple sensors are deployed to infer the state of a linear time-invariant (LTI) Gaussian system. By proposing a lossless decomposition of Kalman filter,…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-04-19 Jiaqi Yan , Yilin Mo , Hideaki Ishii

The extended Kalman filter is perhaps the most standard tool to estimate in real time the state of a dynamical system from noisy measurements of some function of the system, with extensive practical applications (such as position tracking…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2019-01-04 Yann Ollivier

This paper studies the distributed state estimation in sensor network, where $m$ sensors are deployed to infer the $n$-dimensional state of a linear time-invariant (LTI) Gaussian system. By a lossless decomposition of optimal steady-state…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-04-22 Jiaqi Yan , Xu Yang , Yilin Mo , Keyou You

Reduced-order models based on level-set methods are widely used tools to qualitatively capture and track the nonlinear dynamics of an interface. The aim of this paper is to develop a physics-informed, data-driven, statistically rigorous…

计算物理 · 物理学 2019-09-20 Hans Yu , Matthew P. Juniper , Luca Magri

Data assimilation algorithms are used to estimate the states of a dynamical system using partial and noisy observations. The ensemble Kalman filter has become a popular data assimilation scheme due to its simplicity and robustness for a…

数值分析 · 数学 2021-06-23 Gottfried Hastermann , Maria Reinhardt , Rupert Klein , Sebastian Reich

We examine the problem of time delay estimation, or temporal calibration, in the context of multisensor data fusion. Differences in processing intervals and other factors typically lead to a relative delay between measurement updates from…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-11-18 Jonathan Kelly , Christopher Grebe , Matthew Giamou

Many estimation problems in aerospace navigation and robotics involve measurements that depend on prior states. A prominent example is odometry, which measures the relative change between states over time. Accurately handling these…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2026-05-13 Tara Mina , Lindsey Marinello , John Christian

As autonomous systems increasingly rely on onboard sensing for localization and perception, the parallel tasks of motion planning and state estimation become more strongly coupled. This coupling is well-captured by augmenting the planning…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2020-09-14 Kristoffer M. Frey , Ted J. Steiner , Jonathan P. How

State estimation in multi-layer turbulent flow fields with only a single layer of partial observation remains a challenging yet practically important task. Applications include inferring the state of the deep ocean by exploiting surface…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2025-09-30 Zhongrui Wang , Nan Chen , Di Qi

Researchers collecting intensive longitudinal data (ILD) are increasingly looking to model psychological processes, such as emotional dynamics, that organize and adapt across time in complex and meaningful ways. This is also the case for…

This paper proposes new methodology for sequential state and parameter estimation within the ensemble Kalman filter. The method is fully Bayesian and propagates the joint posterior density of states and parameters over time. In order to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-11-14 Jonathan R. Stroud , Matthias Katzfuss , Christopher K. Wikle

For modelling geophysical systems, large-scale processes are described through a set of coarse-grained dynamical equations while small-scale processes are represented via parameterizations. This work proposes a method for identifying the…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2018-08-01 Manuel Pulido , Pierre Tandeo , Marc Bocquet , Alberto Carrassi , Magdalena Lucini

Ill-posed inverse problems are ubiquitous in applications. Under- standing of algorithms for their solution has been greatly enhanced by a deep understanding of the linear inverse problem. In the applied communities ensemble-based filtering…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-12-08 Marco A. Iglesias , Kui Lin , Shuai Lu , Andrew M. Stuart