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Obtaining valid treatment effect inference remains a challenging problem when dealing with numerous instruments and non-sparse control variables. In this paper, we propose a novel ridge regularization-based instrumental variables method for…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-10-17 Xiduo Chen , Xingdong Feng , Antonio F. Galvao , Yeheng Ge

Despite decades of research and recent progress in adaptive control and reinforcement learning, there remains a fundamental lack of understanding in designing controllers that provide robustness to inherent non-asymptotic uncertainties…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-08-13 Benjamin Gravell , Tyler Summers

We consider the challenging problem of estimating causal effects from purely observational data in the bi-directional Mendelian randomization (MR), where some invalid instruments, as well as unmeasured confounding, usually exist. To address…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-07-15 Feng Xie , Zhen Yao , Lin Xie , Yan Zeng , Zhi Geng

Knowing the features of a complex system that are highly relevant to a particular target variable is of fundamental interest in many areas of science. Existing approaches are often limited to linear settings, sometimes lack guarantees, and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-07-06 Francesco Quinzan , Ashkan Soleymani , Patrick Jaillet , Cristian R. Rojas , Stefan Bauer

Agent-Based Model (ABM) validation is crucial as it helps ensuring the reliability of simulations, and causal discovery has become a powerful tool in this context. However, current causal discovery methods often face accuracy and robustness…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-24 Gene Yu , Ce Guo , Wayne Luk

Variable selection plays a fundamental role in high-dimensional data analysis. Various methods have been developed for variable selection in recent years. Well-known examples are forward stepwise regression (FSR) and least angle regression…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-02-01 Siliang Gong , Kai Zhang , Yufeng Liu

Instrumental variable (IV) and control function (CF) methods are powerful tools for causal effect estimation in the presence of unmeasured confounding, yet most existing approaches target only mean effects and/or demand substantial fitting…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-08 Geping Chen , Chunlin Li , Tianzhong Yang , Zhengyuan Zhu , Jing Zhou

The linear instrumental variable (IV) model is widely used in observational studies, yet its validity hinges on strong assumptions. Classical specification tests such as the Sargan-Hansen J test are limited to overidentified settings and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-21 Cyrill Scheidegger , Malte Londschien , Peter Bühlmann

This paper investigates causal effect identification in latent variable Linear Non-Gaussian Acyclic Models (lvLiNGAM) using higher-order cumulants, addressing two prominent setups that are challenging in the presence of latent confounding:…

Causal inference is known to be very challenging when only observational data are available. Randomized experiments are often costly and impractical and in instrumental variable regression the number of instruments has to exceed the number…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-06-19 Dominik Rothenhäusler , Peter Bühlmann , Nicolai Meinshausen

Deep learning vulnerability detection has shown promising results in recent years. However, an important challenge that still blocks it from being very useful in practice is that the model is not robust under perturbation and it cannot…

软件工程 · 计算机科学 2024-01-17 Md Mahbubur Rahman , Ira Ceka , Chengzhi Mao , Saikat Chakraborty , Baishakhi Ray , Wei Le

Querying causal effects from time-series data is important across various fields, including healthcare, economics, climate science, and epidemiology. However, this task becomes complex in the existence of time-varying latent confounders,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-28 Debo Cheng , Ziqi Xu , Jiuyong Li , Lin Liu , Thuc duy Le , Xudong Guo , Shichao Zhang

Causal inference is a statistical paradigm for quantifying causal effects using observational data. It is a complex process, requiring multiple steps, iterations, and collaborations with domain experts. Analysts often rely on visualizations…

人机交互 · 计算机科学 2023-03-02 Grace Guo , Ehud Karavani , Alex Endert , Bum Chul Kwon

Missing outcome data is one of the principal threats to the validity of treatment effect estimates from randomized trials. The outcome distributions of participants with missing and observed data are often different, which increases the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-04-06 Iván Díaz , Mark J. van der Laan

This paper presents a simple method for carrying out inference in a wide variety of possibly nonlinear IV models under weak assumptions. The method is non-asymptotic in the sense that it provides a finite sample bound on the difference…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2018-09-12 Joel L. Horowitz

The problem of identifying the most discriminating features when performing supervised learning has been extensively investigated. In particular, several methods for variable selection in model-based classification have been proposed.…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-12-16 Andrea Cappozzo , Francesca Greselin , Thomas Brendan Murphy

Bridging the gap between internal and external validity is crucial for heterogeneous treatment effect estimation. Randomised controlled trials (RCTs), favoured for their internal validity due to randomisation, often encounter challenges in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-03 Evangelos Dimitriou , Edwin Fong , Jens Magelund Tarp , Karla Diaz-Ordaz , Brieuc Lehmann

Functional logistic regression is a popular model to capture a linear relationship between binary response and functional predictor variables. However, many methods used for parameter estimation in functional logistic regression are…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-15 Berkay Akturk , Ufuk Beyaztas , Han Lin Shang

In some causal inference scenarios, the treatment variable is measured inaccurately, for instance in epidemiology or econometrics. Failure to correct for the effect of this measurement error can lead to biased causal effect estimates.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-09-13 Antti Pöllänen , Pekka Marttinen

This paper considers inference in a linear instrumental variable regression model with many potentially weak instruments, in the presence of heterogeneous treatment effects. I first show that existing test procedures, including those that…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-04-24 Luther Yap