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Local climate information is crucial for impact assessment and decision-making, yet coarse global climate simulations cannot capture small-scale phenomena. Current statistical downscaling methods infer these phenomena as temporally…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-24 Jonathan Schmidt , Luca Schmidt , Felix Strnad , Nicole Ludwig , Philipp Hennig

Recent state-of-the-art forecasting methods are trained on collections of time series. These methods, often referred to as global models, can capture common patterns in different time series to improve their generalization performance.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-30 Vitor Cerqueira , Nuno Moniz , Ricardo Inácio , Carlos Soares

Energy systems modeling frequently relies on time series data, whether observed or forecast. This is particularly the case, for example, in capacity planning models that use hourly production and load data forecast to occur over the coming…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-02-13 Kelly Wang , Steven O. Kimbrough

The optimization-based design of renewable energy systems is a computationally demanding task because of the high temporal fluctuation of supply and demand time series. In order to reduce these time series, the aggregation of typical…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2018-02-01 Leander Kotzur , Peter Markewitz , Martin Robinius , Detlef Stolten

Machine learning models have shown great success in predicting weather up to two weeks ahead, outperforming process-based benchmarks. However, existing approaches mostly focus on the prediction task, and do not incorporate the necessary…

The growth in variable renewables such as solar and wind is increasing the impact of climate uncertainty in energy system planning. Addressing this ideally requires high-resolution time series spanning at least a few decades. However,…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-10-18 Adriaan P Hilbers , David J Brayshaw , Axel Gandy

Spatial fields in the Earth and environmental sciences are often available at multiple scales or resolutions. While coarse-scale data (e.g., from global circulation models) are often abundant, they lack the local detail provided by…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-01 Alejandro Calle-Saldarriaga , Paul F. V. Wiemann , Matthias Katzfuss

This paper presents a novel data-driven approach for predicting the number of vegetation-related outages that occur in power distribution systems on a monthly basis. In order to develop an approach that is able to successfully fulfill this…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-03-07 Milad Doostan , Reza Sohrabi , Badrul Chowdhury

Soil moisture is an important component of precision agriculture as it directly impacts the growth and quality of vegetation. Forecasting soil moisture is essential to schedule the irrigation and optimize the use of water. Physics based…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-05-17 Anoushka Vyas , Sambaran Bandyopadhyay

Given a set of synchronous time series, each associated with a sensor-point in space and characterized by inter-series relationships, the problem of spatiotemporal forecasting consists of predicting future observations for each point.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-11 Ivan Marisca , Cesare Alippi , Filippo Maria Bianchi

Data assimilation is a central problem in many geophysical applications, such as weather forecasting. It aims to estimate the state of a potentially large system, such as the atmosphere, from sparse observations, supplemented by prior…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-24 Matthieu Blanke , Ronan Fablet , Marc Lelarge

Hierarchical forecasting is a key problem in many practical multivariate forecasting applications - the goal is to simultaneously predict a large number of correlated time series that are arranged in a pre-specified aggregation hierarchy.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-10-13 Biswajit Paria , Rajat Sen , Amr Ahmed , Abhimanyu Das

Implementing insect monitoring systems provides an excellent opportunity to create accurate interventions for insect control. However, selecting the appropriate time for an intervention is still an open question due to the inherent…

While Internet of Things (IoT) devices and sensors create continuous streams of information, Big Data infrastructures are deemed to handle the influx of data in real-time. One type of such a continuous stream of information is time series…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-05-05 Elyas Sabeti , Peter X. K. Song , Alfred O. Hero

The evolutionary processes of complex systems contain critical information regarding their functional characteristics. The generation time of edges provides insights into the historical evolution of various networked complex systems, such…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-01-14 En Xu , Can Rong , Jingtao Ding , Yong Li

This is a relevant problem because the design of most cities prioritizes the use of motorized vehicles, which has degraded air quality in recent years, having a negative effect on urban health. Modeling, predicting, and forecasting ambient…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2020-10-07 Jamal Toutouh

The standard procedures for analysing hierarquical or grouped data are by (non)linear mixed models or generalized mixed models. However, the generalized additive models for location, scale and shape (GAMLSSs) also allow different types of…

Farmers frequently assess plant growth and performance as basis for making decisions when to take action in the field, such as fertilization, weed control, or harvesting. The prediction of plant growth is a major challenge, as it is…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2023-12-07 Lukas Drees , Laura Verena Junker-Frohn , Jana Kierdorf , Ribana Roscher

Climate change is posing new challenges to crop-related concerns including food insecurity, supply stability and economic planning. As one of the central challenges, crop yield prediction has become a pressing task in the machine learning…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-01-25 Joshua Fan , Junwen Bai , Zhiyun Li , Ariel Ortiz-Bobea , Carla P. Gomes

Generative modeling of spatio-temporal fields is crucial for a variety of applications, including stochastic weather generators and climate-model surrogates. However, many such fields exhibit complex dependence structures that vary across…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-06 Carrie J. Lei-Cramer , Jian Cao , Matthias Katzfuss
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