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Motivated by the study of pollution trends in the city of Bergen, we introduce a flexible statistical framework for modeling multivariate air pollution data via a nonhomogeneous Hidden Semi-Markov Vector Auto-Regression. The hidden process…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-19 Marco Mingione , Pierfrancesco Alaimo Di Loro , Francesco Lagona , Antonello Maruotti

In this study, we propose a novel application of spatiotemporal clustering in the environmental sciences, with a particular focus on regionalised time series of greenhouse gases (GHGs) emissions from a range of economic sectors. Utilising a…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-03-18 Caterina Morelli , Paolo Maranzano , Philipp Otto

The Global Change Analysis Model (GCAM) simulates complex interactions between the coupled Earth and human systems, providing valuable insights into the co-evolution of land, water, and energy sectors under different future scenarios.…

Modern weather and climate models share a common heritage, and often even components, however they are used in different ways to answer fundamentally different questions. As such, attempts to emulate them using machine learning should…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2022-03-21 Duncan Watson-Parris

Reducing Carbon dioxide (CO2) emission is vital at both global and national levels, given their significant role in exacerbating climate change. CO2 emission, stemming from a variety of industrial and economic activities, are major…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-05-07 Hamed Khosravi , Ahmed Shoyeb Raihan , Farzana Islam , Ashish Nimbarte , Imtiaz Ahmed

Machine learning models (e.g., neural networks) achieve high accuracy in wind power forecasting, but they are usually regarded as black boxes that lack interpretability. To address this issue, the paper proposes a glass-box approach that…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-27 Wenlong Liao , Fernando Porte-Agel , Jiannong Fang , Birgitte Bak-Jensen , Guangchun Ruan , Zhe Yang

This research presents a three-step causal inference framework that integrates correlation analysis, machine learning-based causality discovery, and LLM-driven interpretations to identify socioeconomic factors influencing carbon emissions…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-24 Shan Shan

Progress toward the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) has been hindered by a lack of data on key environmental and socioeconomic indicators, which historically have come from ground surveys with sparse temporal and spatial…

Monitoring the abundance of greenhouse gases (GHGs) such as carbon dioxide (CO$_2$) and methane (CH$_4$) is necessary to quantify their impact on global warming and climate change. Although a number of satellites and ground-based networks…

地球与行星天体物理 · 物理学 2025-09-15 Marcelo Aron Fetzner Keniger , David Armstrong , Matteo Brogi , Siddharth Gandhi , Marina Lafarga

Machine learning (ML) interpretability techniques can reveal undesirable patterns in data that models exploit to make predictions--potentially causing harms once deployed. However, how to take action to address these patterns is not always…

In Earth sciences, unobserved factors exhibit non-stationary spatial distributions, causing the relationships between features and targets to display spatial heterogeneity. In geographic machine learning tasks, conventional statistical…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-02-11 Siqi Du , Hongsheng Huang , Kaixin Shen , Ziqi Liu , Shengjun Tang

Carbon matching aims to improve corporate carbon accounting by tracking emissions rather than energy consumption and production. We present a mathematical derivation of carbon matching using marginal emission rates, where the unit of…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-11-26 Nikky Avila , Hank He , Reza Rastegar , Jamie Tolan , Tobias Tiecke , Brian White

The aim of this project is to develop and test advanced analytical methods to improve the prediction accuracy of Credit Risk Models, preserving at the same time the model interpretability. In particular, the project focuses on applying an…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-08-09 Neus Llop Torrent , Giorgio Visani , Enrico Bagli

As the impact of global climate change intensifies, corporate carbon emissions have become a focal point of global attention. In response to issues such as the lag in climate change knowledge updates within large language models, the lack…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2025-01-07 Zhixuan Cao , Ming Han , Jingtao Wang , Meng Jia

The production, shipping, usage, and disposal of consumer goods have a substantial impact on greenhouse gas emissions and the depletion of resources. Machine Learning (ML) can help to foster sustainable consumption patterns by accounting…

Climate change is a far-reaching, global phenomenon that will impact many aspects of our society, including the global stock market \cite{dietz2016climate}. In recent years, companies have increasingly been aiming to both mitigate their…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2020-11-18 Alexandra Luccioni , Emily Baylor , Nicolas Duchene

It will be difficult to gain the agreement of all the actors on any proposal for climate change management, if universality and fairness are not considered. In this work, a universal measure of emissions to be applied at the international…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2013-09-02 Reza Farrahi Moghaddam , Fereydoun Farrahi Moghaddam , Mohamed Cheriet

There is a need of ensuring machine learning models that are interpretable. Higher interpretability of the model means easier comprehension and explanation of future predictions for end-users. Further, interpretable machine learning models…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-08-17 Gregor Stiglic , Primoz Kocbek , Nino Fijacko , Marinka Zitnik , Katrien Verbert , Leona Cilar

This paper critically examines the AI Act's provisions on climate-related transparency, highlighting significant gaps and challenges in its implementation. We identify key shortcomings, including the exclusion of energy consumption during…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2024-09-13 Nicolas Alder , Kai Ebert , Ralf Herbrich , Philipp Hacker