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Gaussian process regression (GPR) has been a well-known machine learning method for various applications such as uncertainty quantifications (UQ). However, GPR is inherently a data-driven method, which requires sufficiently large dataset.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-03 Cheng Chang , Tieyong Zeng

Predicting the dependencies between observations from multiple time series is critical for applications such as anomaly detection, financial risk management, causal analysis, or demand forecasting. However, the computational and numerical…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-10-28 David Salinas , Michael Bohlke-Schneider , Laurent Callot , Roberto Medico , Jan Gasthaus

This paper introduces a novel meta-learning algorithm for time series forecast model performance prediction. We model the forecast error as a function of time series features calculated from the historical time series with an efficient…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-07-11 Thiyanga S. Talagala , Feng Li , Yanfei Kang

Gaussian Processes (GPs), as a nonparametric learning method, offer flexible modeling capabilities and calibrated uncertainty quantification for function approximations. Additionally, GPs support online learning by efficiently incorporating…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-18 Zewen Yang , Dongfa Zhang , Xiaobing Dai , Fengyi Yu , Chi Zhang , Bingkun Huang , Hamid Sadeghian , Sami Haddadin

Despite the growing availability of sensing and data in general, we remain unable to fully characterise many in-service engineering systems and structures from a purely data-driven approach. The vast data and resources available to capture…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-09-20 Elizabeth J Cross , Timothy J Rogers , Daniel J Pitchforth , Samuel J Gibson , Matthew R Jones

Few-shot relational learning for static knowledge graphs (KGs) has drawn greater interest in recent years, while few-shot learning for temporal knowledge graphs (TKGs) has hardly been studied. Compared to KGs, TKGs contain rich temporal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-25 Zifeng Ding , Bailan He , Yunpu Ma , Zhen Han , Volker Tresp

Weather forecasting plays a vital role in numerous sectors, but accurately capturing the complex dynamics of weather systems remains a challenge for traditional statistical models. Apart from Auto Regressive time forecasting models like…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2023-11-27 Anuvab Sen , Arul Rhik Mazumder , Dibyarup Dutta , Udayon Sen , Pathikrit Syam , Sandipan Dhar

Equipping a deep model the abaility of few-shot learning, i.e., learning quickly from only few examples, is a core challenge for artificial intelligence. Gradient-based meta-learning approaches effectively address the challenge by learning…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-09 Baoquan Zhang , Chuyao Luo , Demin Yu , Huiwei Lin , Xutao Li , Yunming Ye , Bowen Zhang

To validate the safety of automated vehicles (AV), scenario-based testing aims to systematically describe driving scenarios an AV might encounter. In this process, continuous inputs such as velocities result in an infinite number of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-12-08 Max Winkelmann , Mike Kohlhoff , Hadj Hamma Tadjine , Steffen Müller

Multi-task regression attempts to exploit the task similarity in order to achieve knowledge transfer across related tasks for performance improvement. The application of Gaussian process (GP) in this scenario yields the non-parametric yet…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-09-21 Haitao Liu , Jiaqi Ding , Xinyu Xie , Xiaomo Jiang , Yusong Zhao , Xiaofang Wang

Many control tasks can be formulated as a tracking problem of a known or unknown reference signal. Examples are movement compensation in collaborative robotics, the synchronisation of oscillations for power systems or reference tracking of…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2019-11-26 Janine Matschek , Andreas Himmel , Kai Sundmacher , Rolf Findeisen

Complex computer codes are often too time expensive to be directly used to perform uncertainty, sensitivity, optimization and robustness analyses. A widely accepted method to circumvent this problem consists in replacing cpu-time expensive…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-04-25 Bertrand Iooss , Amandine Marrel

Deep graph generative modeling has gained enormous attraction in recent years due to its impressive ability to directly learn the underlying hidden graph distribution. Despite their initial success, these techniques, like much of the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-15 Sahil Manchanda , Shubham Gupta , Sayan Ranu , Srikanta Bedathur

Gaussian processes (GPs) provide a framework for Bayesian inference that can offer principled uncertainty estimates for a large range of problems. For example, if we consider regression problems with Gaussian likelihoods, a GP model enjoys…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-12-21 Felix Leibfried , Vincent Dutordoir , ST John , Nicolas Durrande

For a learning task, Gaussian process (GP) is interested in learning the statistical relationship between inputs and outputs, since it offers not only the prediction mean but also the associated variability. The vanilla GP however struggles…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-09-01 Haitao Liu , Yew-Soon Ong , Xiaomo Jiang , Xiaofang Wang

Modeling multivariate time series has long been a subject that has attracted researchers from a diverse range of fields including economics, finance, and traffic. A basic assumption behind multivariate time series forecasting is that its…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-05-26 Zonghan Wu , Shirui Pan , Guodong Long , Jing Jiang , Xiaojun Chang , Chengqi Zhang

Modelling robot dynamics accurately is essential for control, motion optimisation and safe human-robot collaboration. Given the complexity of modern robotic systems, dynamics modelling remains non-trivial, mostly in the presence of…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2022-05-11 David Jorge , Gabriella Pizzuto , Michael Mistry

The kernel function and its hyperparameters are the central model selection choice in a Gaussian proces (Rasmussen and Williams, 2006). Typically, the hyperparameters of the kernel are chosen by maximising the marginal likelihood, an…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-11-07 Vidhi Lalchand , Wessel P. Bruinsma , David R. Burt , Carl E. Rasmussen

Gaussian process regression is a well-established Bayesian machine learning method. We propose a new approach to Gaussian process regression using quantum kernels based on parameterized quantum circuits. By employing a hardware-efficient…

量子物理 · 物理学 2024-02-06 Frederic Rapp , Marco Roth

Model selection in Gaussian processes scales prohibitively with the size of the training dataset, both in time and memory. While many approximations exist, all incur inevitable approximation error. Recent work accounts for this error in the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-08 Jonathan Wenger , Kaiwen Wu , Philipp Hennig , Jacob R. Gardner , Geoff Pleiss , John P. Cunningham