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A pervasive phenomenon in machine learning applications is distribution shift, where training and deployment conditions for a machine learning model differ. As distribution shift typically results in a degradation in performance, much…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-01-23 Philip Amortila , Tongyi Cao , Akshay Krishnamurthy

In this work, we introduce statistical testing under distributional shifts. We are interested in the hypothesis $P^* \in H_0$ for a target distribution $P^*$, but observe data from a different distribution $Q^*$. We assume that $P^*$ is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-05-03 Nikolaj Thams , Sorawit Saengkyongam , Niklas Pfister , Jonas Peters

We study the problem of learning fair prediction models for unseen test sets distributed differently from the train set. Stability against changes in data distribution is an important mandate for responsible deployment of models. The domain…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-01-26 Harvineet Singh , Rina Singh , Vishwali Mhasawade , Rumi Chunara

Distribution shifts introduce uncertainty that undermines the robustness and generalization capabilities of machine learning models. While conventional wisdom suggests that learning causal-invariant representations enhances robustness to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-28 Abbavaram Gowtham Reddy , Celia Rubio-Madrigal , Rebekka Burkholz , Krikamol Muandet

We consider robustness to distribution shifts in the context of diagnostic models in healthcare, where the prediction target $Y$, e.g., the presence of a disease, is causally upstream of the observations $X$, e.g., a biomarker. Distribution…

Confidence calibration for classification models is vital in safety-critical decision-making scenarios and has received extensive attention. General confidence calibration methods assume training and test data are independent and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-22 Jinzong Dong , Zhaohui Jiang , Bo Yang

A fundamental issue for statistical classification models in a streaming environment is that the joint distribution between predictor and response variables changes over time (a phenomenon also known as concept drifts), such that their…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-02-11 Shujian Yu , Zubin Abraham , Heng Wang , Mohak Shah , Yantao Wei , José C. Príncipe

Consider a scenario where we have access to train data with both covariates and outcomes while test data only contains covariates. In this scenario, our primary aim is to predict the missing outcomes of the test data. With this objective in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-10-29 Masahiro Kato , Kota Matsui , Ryo Inokuchi

Covariate distribution shifts and adversarial perturbations present robustness challenges to the conventional statistical learning framework: mild shifts in the test covariate distribution can significantly affect the performance of the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-05-21 Tengyuan Liang

In the covariate shift learning scenario, the training and test covariate distributions differ, so that a predictor's average loss over the training and test distributions also differ. In this work, we explore the potential of extreme…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-03-13 Fulton Wang , Cynthia Rudin

Novelty detection, i.e., identifying whether a given sample is drawn from outside the training distribution, is essential for reliable machine learning. To this end, there have been many attempts at learning a representation well-suited for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-10-22 Jihoon Tack , Sangwoo Mo , Jongheon Jeong , Jinwoo Shin

Proposition. Let $f$ be a predictor trained on a distribution $P$ and evaluated on a shifted distribution $Q$. Under verifiable regularity and complexity constraints, the excess risk under shift admits an explicit upper bound determined by…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-23 Chandrasekhar Gokavarapu , Sudhakar Gadde , Y. Rajasekhar , S. R. Bhargava

In many real applications of statistical learning, collecting sufficiently many training data is often expensive, time-consuming, or even unrealistic. In this case, a transfer learning approach, which aims to leverage knowledge from a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-02-26 Baozhen Wang , Xingye Qiao

We revisit the fundamental problem of learning with distribution shift, in which a learner is given labeled samples from training distribution $D$, unlabeled samples from test distribution $D'$ and is asked to output a classifier with low…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2024-05-22 Adam R. Klivans , Konstantinos Stavropoulos , Arsen Vasilyan

Varying domains and biased datasets can lead to differences between the training and the target distributions, known as covariate shift. Current approaches for alleviating this often rely on estimating the ratio of training and target…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-10-27 Bijan Mazaheri , Siddharth Jain , Jehoshua Bruck

We propose a simple, statistically principled, and theoretically justified method to improve supervised learning when the training set is not representative, a situation known as covariate shift. We build upon a well-established methodology…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-03-12 Maximilian Autenrieth , David A. van Dyk , Roberto Trotta , David C. Stenning

Covariate shift in the test data is a common practical phenomena that can significantly downgrade both the accuracy and the fairness performance of the model. Ensuring fairness across different sensitive groups under covariate shift is of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-09 Shreyas Havaldar , Jatin Chauhan , Karthikeyan Shanmugam , Jay Nandy , Aravindan Raghuveer

We consider the problem of function estimation in the case where the data distribution may shift between training and test time, and additional information about it may be available at test time. This relates to popular scenarios such as…

机器学习 · 统计学 2013-06-05 Bernhard Schölkopf , Dominik Janzing , Jonas Peters , Kun Zhang

Classifier predictions often rely on the assumption that new observations come from the same distribution as training data. When the underlying distribution changes, so does the optimal classification rule, and performance may degrade. We…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-09-01 Ciaran Evans , Max G'Sell

Expected shortfall is defined as the average over the tail below (or above) a certain quantile of a probability distribution. Expected shortfall regression provides powerful tools for learning the relationship between a response variable…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-01-03 Shushu Zhang , Xuming He , Kean Ming Tan , Wen-Xin Zhou