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Time series forecasting has widespread applications in urban life ranging from air quality monitoring to traffic analysis. However, accurate time series forecasting is challenging because real-world time series suffer from the distribution…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-07-15 Wenying Duan , Xiaoxi He , Lu Zhou , Lothar Thiele , Hong Rao

Automated machine learning aims to automate the whole process of machine learning, including model configuration. In this paper, we focus on automated hyperparameter optimization (HPO) based on sequential model-based optimization (SMBO).…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-09-11 Ying Wei , Peilin Zhao , Huaxiu Yao , Junzhou Huang

Systems are commonly monitored for health and security through collection and streaming of multivariate time series. Advances in time series forecasting due to adoption of multilayer recurrent neural network architectures make it possible…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-03-10 Oshri Barazani , David Tolpin

We study adaptive pooling under predictive heterogeneity in high-dimensional multivariate time series forecasting, where global models improve statistical efficiency but may fail to capture heterogeneous predictive structure, while naive…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-16 Ziling Ma , Ángel López Oriona , Hernando Ombao , Ying Sun

Metafeatures, or dataset characteristics, have been shown to improve the performance of hyperparameter optimization (HPO). Conventionally, metafeatures are precomputed and used to measure the similarity between datasets, leading to a better…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-02-09 Hadi S. Jomaa , Lars Schmidt-Thieme , Josif Grabocka

Ads demand forecasting for Walmart's ad products plays a critical role in enabling effective resource planning, allocation, and management of ads performance. In this paper, we introduce a comprehensive demand forecasting system that…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-20 Zhengchao Yang , Mithun Ghosh , Anish Saha , Dong Xu , Konstantin Shmakov , Kuang-chih Lee

One of the biggest bottlenecks in a machine learning workflow is waiting for models to train. Depending on the available computing resources, it can take days to weeks to train a neural network on a large dataset with many classes such as…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-06-13 Sam Shleifer , Eric Prokop

Hierarchical time-series forecasting (HTSF) is an important problem for many real-world business applications where the goal is to simultaneously forecast multiple time-series that are related to each other via a hierarchical relation.…

Multivariate time series forecasting with hierarchical structure is widely used in real-world applications, e.g., sales predictions for the geographical hierarchy formed by cities, states, and countries. The hierarchical time series (HTS)…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-10 Fan Zhou , Chen Pan , Lintao Ma , Yu Liu , Shiyu Wang , James Zhang , Xinxin Zhu , Xuanwei Hu , Yunhua Hu , Yangfei Zheng , Lei Lei , Yun Hu

The paper discusses the challenge of evaluating the prognosis quality of machine health index (HI) data. Many existing solutions in machine health forecasting involve visually assessing the quality of predictions to roughly gauge the…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-02-14 Daniel Kuzio , Radosław Zimroz , Agnieszka Wyłomańska

While Deep Learning (DL) experts often have prior knowledge about which hyperparameter settings yield strong performance, only few Hyperparameter Optimization (HPO) algorithms can leverage such prior knowledge and none incorporate priors…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-12 Soham Basu , Frank Hutter , Danny Stoll

Progress in language model development is often driven by comparative decisions: which architecture to adopt, which pretraining corpus to use, or which training recipe to apply. Making these decisions well requires reliable performance…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2026-05-19 Arkil Patel , Siva Reddy , Marius Mosbach , Dzmitry Bahdanau

Statistical static timing analysis deals with the increasing variations in manufacturing processes to reduce the pessimism in the worst case timing analysis. Because of the correlation between delays of circuit components, timing model…

硬件体系结构 · 计算机科学 2017-05-16 Bing Li , Ning Chen , Manuel Schmidt , Walter Schneider , Ulf Schlichtmann

We investigate a narrow but common failure mode of GRPO-style reinforcement learning in the context of sparse verifiable rewards: early updates contain more responses with negative advantages than those with positive advantages, while…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-29 Mohamed Sana , Nicola Piovesan , Antonio De Domenico , Fadhel Ayed , Haozhe Zhang

The Progressive-X algorithm, Prog-X in short, is proposed for geometric multi-model fitting. The method interleaves sampling and consolidation of the current data interpretation via repetitive hypothesis proposal, fast rejection, and…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2019-06-07 Daniel Barath , Jiri Matas

In this letter, we propose a model parameter identification method via a hyperparameter optimization scheme (MI-HPO). Our method adopts an efficient explore-exploit strategy to identify the parameters of dynamic models in a data-driven…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2023-08-08 Hyunki Seong , Chanyoung Chung , David Hyunchul Shim

Hyperparameter (HP) optimization of deep learning (DL) is essential for high performance. As DL often requires several hours to days for its training, HP optimization (HPO) of DL is often prohibitively expensive. This boosted the emergence…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-30 Shuhei Watanabe

There is a consensus that focusing only on accuracy in searching for optimal machine learning models amplifies biases contained in the data, leading to unfair predictions and decision supports. Recently, multi-objective hyperparameter…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-05-19 Antonio Candelieri , Andrea Ponti , Francesco Archetti

Point-supervised Temporal Action Localization (PSTAL) is an emerging research direction for label-efficient learning. However, current methods mainly focus on optimizing the network either at the snippet-level or the instance-level,…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-01-30 Huaxin Zhang , Xiang Wang , Xiaohao Xu , Zhiwu Qing , Changxin Gao , Nong Sang

Aligning large language models (LLMs) with human values is an increasingly critical step in post-training. Direct Preference Optimization (DPO) has emerged as a simple, yet effective alternative to reinforcement learning from human feedback…