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Causal structure learning has been a challenging task in the past decades and several mainstream approaches such as constraint- and score-based methods have been studied with theoretical guarantees. Recently, a new approach has transformed…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-11-19 Ignavier Ng , Shengyu Zhu , Zhitang Chen , Zhuangyan Fang

Causal Graph Discovery (CGD) is the process of estimating the underlying probabilistic graphical model that represents joint distribution of features of a dataset. CGD-algorithms are broadly classified into two categories: (i)…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2024-10-01 Payel Bhattacharjee , Ravi Tandon

We consider the problem of predicting perturbation effects via causal models. In many applications, it is a priori unknown which mechanisms of a system are modified by an external perturbation, even though the features of the perturbation…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-02 Nora Schneider , Lars Lorch , Niki Kilbertus , Bernhard Schölkopf , Andreas Krause

Targeted and uniform interventions to a system are crucial for unveiling causal relationships. While several methods have been developed to leverage interventional data for causal structure learning, their practical application in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-20 Mathieu Chevalley , Patrick Schwab , Arash Mehrjou

This paper considers the problem of estimating the unknown intervention targets in a causal directed acyclic graph from observational and interventional data. The focus is on soft interventions in linear structural equation models (SEMs).…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-11-16 Burak Varici , Karthikeyan Shanmugam , Prasanna Sattigeri , Ali Tajer

Causal structure discovery from observational data is fundamental to the causal understanding of autonomous systems such as medical decision support systems, advertising campaigns and self-driving cars. This is essential to solve well-known…

Causality has been combined with machine learning to produce robust representations for domain generalization. Most existing methods of this type require massive data from multiple domains to identify causal features by cross-domain…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-01 Yang Chen , Yitao Liang , Zhouchen Lin

We introduce CausaLab, a scalable environment for evaluating interactive causal discovery by LLM agents. Unlike prior evaluations, CausaLab evaluates both whether an agent can solve a problem using causal evidence and whether its answer is…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-05-29 Junlin Yang , Dylan Zhang , Xiangchen Song , Qirun Dai , Xiao Liu , Yuen Chen , Aniket Vashishtha , Jing Shi , Chenhao Tan , Hao Peng

Kernel selection plays a central role in determining the performance of Gaussian Process (GP) models, as the chosen kernel determines both the inductive biases and prior support of functions under the GP prior. This work addresses the…

Matching in causal inference from observational data aims to construct treatment and control groups with similar distributions of covariates, thereby reducing confounding and ensuring an unbiased estimation of treatment effects. This…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-04-15 Sahil Shikalgar , Md. Noor-E-Alam

Real world systems evolve in continuous-time according to their underlying causal relationships, yet their dynamics are often unknown. Existing approaches to learning such dynamics typically either discretize time -- leading to poor…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-17 Nicholas Tagliapietra , Katharina Ensinger , Christoph Zimmer , Osman Mian

Causal discovery algorithms aim at untangling complex causal relationships from data. Here, we study causal discovery and inference methods based on staged tree models, which can represent complex and asymmetric causal relationships between…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-03-02 Manuele Leonelli , Gherardo Varando

The goal of Causal Discovery is to find automated search methods for learning causal structures from observational data. In some cases all variables of the interested causal mechanism are measured, and the task is to predict the effects one…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-01-11 Shuyan Wang

Causal discovery combines data with knowledge provided by experts to learn the DAG representing the causal relationships between a given set of variables. When data are scarce, bagging is used to measure our confidence in an average DAG…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-11-19 Alessio Zanga , Marco Scutari , Fabio Stella

Causal discovery is increasingly applied to large-scale telemetry data to estimate the effects of user-facing interventions, yet its reliability for decision-making in feedback-driven systems with strong self-selection remains unclear. In…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-02-10 Hoang Dang , Luan Pham , Minh Nguyen

We consider the problem of inferring the directed, causal graph from observational data, assuming no hidden confounders. We take an information theoretic approach, and make three main contributions. First, we show how through algorithmic…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-09-07 Alexander Marx , Jilles Vreeken

The increasing availability of interventional data offers new opportunities for causal discovery, with gene perturbation studies providing a prominent example. Such data are typically count-valued and subject to substantial measurement…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-30 Yijiao Zhang , Hongzhe Li

The inaccessibility of controlled randomized trials due to inherent constraints in many fields of science has been a fundamental issue in causal inference. In this paper, we focus on distinguishing the cause from effect in the bivariate…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-02-23 Jean-Francois Ton , Dino Sejdinovic , Kenji Fukumizu

In this paper, we take a preliminary step towards solving the problem of causal discovery in knowledge tracing, i.e., finding the underlying causal relationship among different skills from real-world student response data. This problem is…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-07-20 Nischal Ashok Kumar , Wanyong Feng , Jaewook Lee , Hunter McNichols , Aritra Ghosh , Andrew Lan

We present GO-CBED, a goal-oriented Bayesian framework for sequential causal experimental design. Unlike conventional approaches that select interventions aimed at inferring the full causal model, GO-CBED directly maximizes the expected…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-11 Zheyu Zhang , Jiayuan Dong , Jie Liu , Xun Huan