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As opaque black-box predictive models become more prevalent, the need to develop interpretations for these models is of great interest. The concept of variable importance and Shapley values are interpretability measures that applies to any…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-03-10 Zexuan Sun , Garvesh Raskutti

Model interpretability is one of the most intriguing problems in most of the Machine Learning models, particularly for those that are mathematically sophisticated. Computing Shapley Values are arguably the best approach so far to find the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-04-15 Indranil Basu , Subhadip Maji

We propose a determinant-free approach for simulation-based Bayesian inference in high-dimensional Gaussian models. We introduce auxiliary variables with covariance equal to the inverse covariance of the model. The joint probability of the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-09-12 Louis Ellam , Heiko Strathmann , Mark Girolami , Iain Murray

Shapley values have become one of the go-to methods to explain complex models to end-users. They provide a model agnostic post-hoc explanation with foundations in game theory: what is the worth of a player (in machine learning, a feature…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-21 Joran Michiels , Maarten De Vos , Johan Suykens

In the era of "big data", it is becoming more of a challenge to not only build state-of-the-art predictive models, but also gain an understanding of what's really going on in the data. For example, it is often of interest to know which, if…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-05-15 Brandon M. Greenwell , Bradley C. Boehmke , Andrew J. McCarthy

The complex nature of artificial neural networks raises concerns on their reliability, trustworthiness, and fairness in real-world scenarios. The Shapley value -- a solution concept from game theory -- is one of the most popular explanation…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-29 Jacopo Teneggi , Beepul Bharti , Yaniv Romano , Jeremias Sulam

Instance-dependent cost-sensitive (IDCS) classifiers offer a promising approach to improving cost-efficiency in credit scoring by tailoring loss functions to instance-specific costs. However, the impact of such loss functions on the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-03 Matteo Ballegeer , Matthias Bogaert , Dries F. Benoit

Simulation-based inference (SBI) is the preferred framework for estimating parameters of intractable models in science and engineering. A significant challenge in this context is the large computational cost of simulating data from complex…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-02-18 Ayush Bharti , Daolang Huang , Samuel Kaski , François-Xavier Briol

This paper presents a novel method for statistical inference in high-dimensional binary models with unspecified structure, where we leverage a (potentially misspecified) sparsity-constrained working generalized linear model (GLM) to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-03 Xiaotian Hou , Peng Wang , Minge Xie , Linjun Zhang

With wide application of Artificial Intelligence (AI), it has become particularly important to make decisions of AI systems explainable and transparent. In this paper, we proposed a new Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) method…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-04-01 Chi Zhao , Jing Liu , Elena Parilina

The growing adoption of machine learning models for biological sequences has intensified the need for interpretable predictions, with Shapley values emerging as a theoretically grounded standard for model explanation. While effective for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-23 Darin Tsui , Aryan Musharaf , Yigit Efe Erginbas , Justin Singh Kang , Amirali Aghazadeh

Inductive Conformal Prediction (ICP) is a set of distribution-free and model agnostic algorithms devised to predict with a user-defined confidence with coverage guarantee. Instead of having point predictions, i.e., a real number in the case…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-07-05 Martim Sousa

There is a growing interest in the so-called Bayesian Predictive Inference approach, which allows to perform Bayesian inference without specifying the likelihood and prior of the model, or the need of any MCMC. Instead, only a sequence of…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-09-30 Marco Battiston , Lorenzo Cappello

Variable selection or importance measurement of input variables to a machine learning model has become the focus of much research. It is no longer enough to have a good model, one also must explain its decisions. This is why there are so…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-08-01 Vincent Lemaire , Fabrice Clérot , Marc Boullé

Risk scores are widely used for clinical decision making and commonly generated from logistic regression models. Machine-learning-based methods may work well for identifying important predictors, but such 'black box' variable selection…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-31 Yilin Ning , Siqi Li , Marcus Eng Hock Ong , Feng Xie , Bibhas Chakraborty , Daniel Shu Wei Ting , Nan Liu

Recent advances in machine learning have greatly expanded the repertoire of predictive methods for medical imaging. However, the interpretability of complex models remains a challenge, which limits their utility in medical applications.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-08-13 Joseph Paillard , Antoine Collas , Denis A. Engemann , Bertrand Thirion

We propose probabilistic Shapley inference (PSI), a novel probabilistic framework to model and infer sufficient statistics of feature attributions in flexible predictive models, via latent random variables whose mean recovers Shapley…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-09 Mert Ketenci , Iñigo Urteaga , Victor Alfonso Rodriguez , Noémie Elhadad , Adler Perotte

Despite their ubiquitous use, Shapley value feature attributions can be misleading due to feature interaction in both model and data. We propose an alternative attribution approach, Shapley Sets, which awards value to sets of features.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-07-06 Torty Sivill , Peter Flach

Detecting influential features in non-linear and/or high-dimensional data is a challenging and increasingly important task in machine learning. Variable selection methods have thus been gaining much attention as well as post-selection…

Incomplete covariate vectors are known to be problematic for estimation and inferences on model parameters, but their impact on prediction performance is less understood. We develop an imputation-free method that builds on a random…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-05-31 Matthew J. Heiner , Garritt L. Page , Fernando Andrés Quintana