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Modern deep learning methods constitute incredibly powerful tools to tackle a myriad of challenging problems. However, since deep learning methods operate as black boxes, the uncertainty associated with their predictions is often…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-06-06 Laurent Valentin Jospin , Wray Buntine , Farid Boussaid , Hamid Laga , Mohammed Bennamoun

Backpropagation with gradient descent is a common optimization strategy employed by most neural network architectures in machine learning. However, finding optimal hyperparameters to guide training has proven challenging. While it is widely…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-20 Vy Bui , Hang Yu , Karthik Kantipudi , Ziv Yaniv , Stefan Jaeger

We propose stochastic, non-parametric activation functions that are fully learnable and individual to each neuron. Complexity and the risk of overfitting are controlled by placing a Gaussian process prior over these functions. The result is…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-12-01 Sebastian Urban , Marcus Basalla , Patrick van der Smagt

Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) have recently regained a significant amount of attention in the deep learning community due to the development of scalable approximate Bayesian inference techniques. There are several advantages of using a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-05-02 Aliaksandr Hubin , Geir Storvik

Neural networks have achieved remarkable performance across various problem domains, but their widespread applicability is hindered by inherent limitations such as overconfidence in predictions, lack of interpretability, and vulnerability…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-09-29 Julyan Arbel , Konstantinos Pitas , Mariia Vladimirova , Vincent Fortuin

We take a Bayesian perspective to illustrate a connection between training speed and the marginal likelihood in linear models. This provides two major insights: first, that a measure of a model's training speed can be used to estimate its…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-10-28 Clare Lyle , Lisa Schut , Binxin Ru , Yarin Gal , Mark van der Wilk

Learning Bayesian networks from raw data can help provide insights into the relationships between variables. While real data often contains a mixture of discrete and continuous-valued variables, many Bayesian network structure learning…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2018-09-19 Yi-Chun Chen , Tim Allan Wheeler , Mykel John Kochenderfer

We apply recent methods in stochastic data analysis for discovering a set of few stochastic variables that represent the relevant information on a multivariate stochastic system, used as input for artificial neural networks models for air…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2015-06-16 Ana Russo , Frank Raischel , Pedro G. Lind

Stochastic processes offer a flexible mathematical formalism to model and reason about systems. Most analysis tools, however, start from the premises that models are fully specified, so that any parameters controlling the system's dynamics…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2017-01-11 Luca Bortolussi , Guido Sanguinetti

Computing the exact likelihood of data in large Bayesian networks consisting of thousands of vertices is often a difficult task. When these models contain many deterministic conditional probability tables and when the observed values are…

统计计算 · 统计学 2012-06-26 Ydo Wexler , Dan Geiger

The key distinguishing property of a Bayesian approach is marginalization, rather than using a single setting of weights. Bayesian marginalization can particularly improve the accuracy and calibration of modern deep neural networks, which…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-03-31 Andrew Gordon Wilson , Pavel Izmailov

Bayesian inference has theoretical attractions as a principled framework for reasoning about beliefs. However, the motivations of Bayesian inference which claim it to be the only 'rational' kind of reasoning do not apply in practice. They…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-11-14 Sebastian Farquhar

Considering a probability distribution over parameters is known as an efficient strategy to learn a neural network with non-differentiable activation functions. We study the expectation of a probabilistic neural network as a predictor by…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-04-17 Louis Fortier-Dubois , Gaël Letarte , Benjamin Leblanc , François Laviolette , Pascal Germain

Stochastic binary hidden units in a multi-layer perceptron (MLP) network give at least three potential benefits when compared to deterministic MLP networks. (1) They allow to learn one-to-many type of mappings. (2) They can be used in…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-04-10 Tapani Raiko , Mathias Berglund , Guillaume Alain , Laurent Dinh

We present a survey of some of our recent results on Bayesian nonparametric inference for a multitude of stochastic processes. The common feature is that the prior distribution in the cases considered is on suitable sets of piecewise…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-06-04 Denis Belomestny , Frank van der Meulen , Peter Spreij

Background: Bayesian Networks (BNs) are probabilistic graphical models that leverage Bayes' theorem to portray dependencies and cause-and-effect relationships between variables. These networks have gained prominence in the field of health…

Bayesian Networks (BN) provide robust probabilistic methods of reasoning under uncertainty, but despite their formal grounds are strictly based on the notion of conditional dependence, not much attention has been paid so far to their use in…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-01-30 Luigi Portinale , Andrea Bobbio

Bayesian networks are probabilistic graphical models often used in big data analytics. The problem of exact structure learning is to find a network structure that is optimal under certain scoring criteria. The problem is known to be NP-hard…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2017-03-22 Subhadeep Karan , Jaroslaw Zola

Approximate Bayesian Computation is widely used in systems biology for inferring parameters in stochastic gene regulatory network models. Its performance hinges critically on the ability to summarize high-dimensional system responses such…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-04-13 Mattias Åkesson , Prashant Singh , Fredrik Wrede , Andreas Hellander

To model combinatorial decision problems involving uncertainty and probability, we introduce stochastic constraint programming. Stochastic constraint programs contain both decision variables (which we can set) and stochastic variables…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2009-03-09 Toby Walsh