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We theoretically analyze the problem of testing for $p$-hacking based on distributions of $p$-values across multiple studies. We provide general results for when such distributions have testable restrictions (are non-increasing) under the…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2022-05-13 Graham Elliott , Nikolay Kudrin , Kaspar Wuthrich

Not all experiments publish their results with a description of the correlations between the data points. This makes it difficult to do hypothesis tests or model fits with that data, since just assuming no correlation can lead to an over-…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2021-06-30 Lukas Koch

This paper focuses on the problem of testing the null hypothesis that the regression functions of several populations are equal under a general nonparametric homoscedastic regression model. It is well known that linear kernel regression…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-09-01 Graciela Boente , Juan Carlos Pardo-Fernández

For a set of dependent random variables, without stationary or the strong mixing assumptions, we derive the asymptotic independence between their sums and maxima. Then we apply this result to high-dimensional testing problems, where we…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-05-12 Long Feng , Tiefeng Jiang , Xiaoyun Li , Binghui Liu

In an observational study, it is common to leverage known null effect to detect bias. One such strategy is to set aside a placebo sample -- a subset of data immune from the hypothesized cause-and-effect relationship. Existence of an effect…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-07-05 Ting Ye , Shuxiao Chen , Bo Zhang

Although precision and recall are standard performance measures for anomaly detection, their statistical properties in sequential detection settings are poorly understood. In this work, we formalize a notion of precision and recall with…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-08-14 Erik Scharwächter , Emmanuel Müller

This article explains, and discusses the merits of, three approaches for analyzing the certainty with which statistical results can be extrapolated beyond the data gathered. Sometimes it may be possible to use more than one of these…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-10-03 Michael Wood

Testing whether the observed data conforms to a purported model (probability distribution) is a basic and fundamental statistical task, and one that is by now well understood. However, the standard formulation, identity testing, fails to…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-05-06 Clément L. Canonne , Karl Wimmer

This paper offers a commentary on the use of notions of statistical significance in choice modelling. We review the reasons for uncertainty in parameter estimates, provide a precise discussion on the computation of measures of uncertainty…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-05-18 Stephane Hess , Andrew Daly , Michiel Bliemer , Angelo Guevara , Ricardo Daziano , Thijs Dekker

This article presents a novel, general, and effective simulation-inspired approach, called {\it repro samples method}, to conduct statistical inference. The approach studies the performance of artificial samples, referred to as {\it repro…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-06-15 Min-ge Xie , Peng Wang

Testing for normality is a widely used procedure in statistics and data analysis, often applied prior to employing methods that rely on the assumption of normally distributed data. While several existing tests target distributional…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-07 Akin Anarat , Holger Schwender

A method for change point detection is proposed. We consider a univariate sequence of independent random variables with piecewise constant expectation and variance, apart from which the distribution may vary periodically. We aim to detect…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-06-23 Michael Messer

When scholars suspect units are dependent on each other within clusters but independent of each other across clusters, they employ cluster-robust standard errors (CRSEs). Nevertheless, what to cluster over is sometimes unknown. For…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-12 Kentaro Fukumoto

Meta-analysis is routinely performed in many scientific disciplines. This analysis is attractive since discoveries are possible even when all the individual studies are underpowered. However, the meta-analytic discoveries may be entirely…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-05-09 Marina Bogomolov , Ruth Heller

Given the well-known and fundamental problems with hypothesis testing via classical (point-form) significance tests, there has been a general move to alternative approaches, often focused on the Bayesian t-test. We show that the Bayesian…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-11-07 Fintan Costello , Paul Watts

The problem of testing for the parametric form of the conditional variance is considered in a fully nonparametric regression model. A test statistic based on a weighted $L_2$-distance between the empirical characteristic functions of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-07-24 Juan Carlos Pardo-Fernandez , M. Dolores Jimenez-Gamero

We study the problem of testing discrete distributions with a focus on the high probability regime. Specifically, given samples from one or more discrete distributions, a property $\mathcal{P}$, and parameters $0< \epsilon, \delta <1$, we…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2020-09-15 Ilias Diakonikolas , Themis Gouleakis , Daniel M. Kane , John Peebles , Eric Price

A dimension reduction-based adaptive-to-model test is proposed for significance of a subset of covariates in the context of a nonparametric regression model. Unlike existing local smoothing significance tests, the new test behaves like a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-11-06 Xuehu Zhu , Lixing Zhu

The hypothesis of randomness is fundamental in statistical machine learning and in many areas of nonparametric statistics; it says that the observations are assumed to be independent and coming from the same unknown probability…

概率论 · 数学 2022-02-08 Vladimir Vovk

We develop a theoretical framework for sample splitting in A/B testing environments, where data for each test are partitioned into two splits to measure methodological performance when the true impacts of tests are unobserved. We show that…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-03-24 Ryan Kessler , James McQueen , Miikka Rokkanen
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