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When the sample path of a Hawkes process is observed discretely, such that only the total event counts in disjoint time intervals are known, the likelihood function becomes intractable. To overcome the challenge of likelihood-based…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-24 Jason J. Lambe , Feng Chen , Tom Stindl , Tsz-Kit Jeffrey Kwan

Dynamic jumps in the price and volatility of an asset are modelled using a joint Hawkes process in conjunction with a bivariate jump diffusion. A state space representation is used to link observed returns, plus nonparametric measures of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-03-10 Worapree Maneesoonthorn , Catherine S. Forbes , Gael M. Martin

We consider the problem of estimating self-exciting generalized linear models from limited binary observations, where the history of the process serves as the covariate. We analyze the performance of two classes of estimators, namely the…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2017-03-24 Abbas Kazemipour , Min Wu , Behtash Babadi

The relative timing of action potentials in neurons recorded from local cortical networks often shows a non-trivial dependence, which is then quantified by cross-correlation functions. Theoretical models emphasize that such spike train…

神经元与认知 · 定量生物学 2017-06-28 Taskin Deniz , Stefan Rotter

We present a new interpretation for encoding information of the period of input signals into spike-trains in individual sensory neuronal systems. The spike-train could be described as the waveform sample of the input signal which locks…

神经元与认知 · 定量生物学 2007-05-23 Sheng-Jun Wang , Xin-Jian Xu , Ying-Hai Wang

We propose a simulation method for multidimensional Hawkes processes based on superposition theory of point processes. This formulation allows us to design efficient simulations for Hawkes processes with differing exponentially decaying…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-03-14 Kar Wai Lim , Young Lee , Leif Hanlen , Hongbiao Zhao

Hawkes (1971) introduced a powerful multivariate point process model of mutually exciting processes to explain causal structure in data. In this paper it is shown that the Granger causality structure of such processes is fully encoded in…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-05-24 Michael Eichler , Rainer Dahlhaus , Johannes Dueck

We present efficient Bayesian methods for extracting neuronal spiking information from calcium imaging data. The goal of our methods is to sample from the posterior distribution of spike trains and model parameters (baseline concentration,…

神经元与认知 · 定量生物学 2013-11-28 Eftychios A. Pnevmatikakis , Josh Merel , Ari Pakman , Liam Paninski

Extracting the spectral representations of the neural processes that underlie spiking activity is key to understanding how the brain rhythms mediate cognitive functions. While spectral estimation of continuous time-series is well studied,…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2020-12-02 Anuththara Rupasinghe , Behtash Babadi

The Hawkes model is a past-dependent point process, widely used in various fields for modeling temporal clustering of events. Extending this framework, the multidimensional marked Hawkes process incorporates multiple interacting event types…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-20 Anna Bonnet , Charlotte Dion-Blanc , Maya Sadeler-Perrin

A hybrid censoring scheme is a mixture of Type-I and Type-II censoring schemes. We study the estimation of parameters of weighted exponential distribution based on Type-II hybrid censored data. By applying EM algorithm, maximum likelihood…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-03-02 Akram Kohansal , Saeid Rezakhah

An extension of the Hawkes model where the productivity is variable is considered. In particular, the case is considered where each point may have its own productivity and a simple analytic formula is derived for the maximum likelihood…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-03-20 Frederic Paik Schoenberg

Event-driven systems in fields such as neuroscience, social networks, and finance often exhibit dynamics influenced by continuously evolving external covariates. Motivated by these applications, we introduce a new class of multivariate…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-12-02 Maya Sadeler Perrin , Anna Bonnet , Charlotte Dion-Blanc , Adeline Samson

Consider a compound Poisson process with jump measure $\nu$ supported by finitely many positive integers. We propose a method for estimating $\nu$ from a single, equidistantly sampled trajectory and develop associated statistical…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-09-29 Werner Ehm , Benjamin Staude , Stefan Rotter

In this paper, we establish a large deviations principle for a multivariate compound process induced by a multivariate Hawkes process with random marks. Our proof hinges on showing essential smoothness of the limiting cumulant of the…

概率论 · 数学 2023-06-29 Raviar S. Karim , Roger J. A. Laeven , Michel R. H. Mandjes

Multivariate Hawkes Processes (MHPs) are an important class of temporal point processes that have enabled key advances in understanding and predicting social information systems. However, due to their complex modeling of temporal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-03-02 Maximilian Nickel , Matthew Le

Understanding how stimuli and synaptic connectivity in uence the statistics of spike patterns in neural networks is a central question in computational neuroscience. Maximum Entropy approach has been successfully used to characterize the…

生物物理 · 物理学 2016-11-26 Rodrigo Cofre , Bruno Cessac

Analytical expressions are put forward to investigate the forced spiking activity of abstract neuron models such as the driven leaky integrate-and-fire (LIF) model. The method is valid in a wide parameter regime beyond the restraining…

神经元与认知 · 定量生物学 2007-05-23 Michael Schindler , Peter Talkner , Peter Hänggi

A synaptic theory of Working Memory (WM) has been developed in the last decade as a possible alternative to the persistent spiking paradigm. In this context, we have developed a neural mass model able to reproduce exactly the dynamics of…

神经元与认知 · 定量生物学 2025-05-29 Halgurd Taher , Alessandro Torcini , Simona Olmi

We examine the stability and qualitative dynamics of stochastic neuronal networks specified as multivariate nonlinear Hawkes processes and related point-process generalized linear models that incorporate both auto- and cross-history…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2019-12-13 Dmitrii Todorov , Wilson Truccolo