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相关论文: Multimodal Neural Network For Demand Forecasting

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Time series forecasting is ubiquitous in the modern world. Applications range from health care to astronomy, and include climate modelling, financial trading and monitoring of critical engineering equipment. To offer value over this range…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-10-26 Bernardo Pérez Orozco , Gabriele Abbati , Stephen Roberts

Demand forecasting is a crucial component of demand management. While shortening the forecasting horizon allows for more recent data and less uncertainty, this frequently means lower data aggregation levels and a more significant data…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-03-26 Jože M. Rožanec , Dunja Mladenić

One of the primal challenges faced by utility companies is ensuring efficient supply with minimal greenhouse gas emissions. The advent of smart meters and smart grids provide an unprecedented advantage in realizing an optimised supply of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-07-19 Adithya Ramachandran , Satyaki Chatterjee , Siming Bayer , Andreas Maier , Thorkil Flensmark

The relationship between electricity demand and weather is well established in power systems, along with the importance of behavioral and social aspects such as holidays and significant events. This study explores the link between…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2024-01-31 Yun Bai , Simon Camal , Andrea Michiorri

Accurate demand forecasting in the retail industry is a critical determinant of financial performance and supply chain efficiency. As global markets become increasingly interconnected, businesses are turning towards advanced prediction…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-08-24 Md Sabbirul Haque , Md Shahedul Amin , Jonayet Miah

Probabilistic forecasts are essential for various downstream applications such as business development, traffic planning, and electrical grid balancing. Many of these probabilistic forecasts are performed on time series data that contain…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-07 Benedikt Heidrich , Kaleb Phipps , Oliver Neumann , Marian Turowski , Ralf Mikut , Veit Hagenmeyer

Integration of renewable energy sources and emerging loads like electric vehicles to smart grids brings more uncertainty to the distribution system management. Demand Side Management (DSM) is one of the approaches to reduce the uncertainty.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-09-28 Elahe Khoshbakhti Vaygan , Roozbeh Rajabi , Abouzar Estebsari

Neural Ordinary Differential Equations (NODEs) have proven to be a powerful modeling tool for approximating (interpolation) and forecasting (extrapolation) irregularly sampled time series data. However, their performance degrades…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-04-29 Hammad A. Ayyubi , Yi Yao , Ajay Divakaran

Producing probabilistic forecasts for large collections of similar and/or dependent time series is a practically relevant and challenging task. Classical time series models fail to capture complex patterns in the data, and multivariate…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-05-30 Yuyang Wang , Alex Smola , Danielle C. Maddix , Jan Gasthaus , Dean Foster , Tim Januschowski

Consumer demand forecasting is of high importance for many e-commerce applications, including supply chain optimization, advertisement placement, and delivery speed optimization. However, reliable time series sales forecasting for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-24 Dan Kalifa , Uriel Singer , Ido Guy , Guy D. Rosin , Kira Radinsky

Multistage stochastic programming provides a modeling framework for sequential decision-making problems that involve uncertainty. One typically overlooked aspect of this methodology is how uncertainty is incorporated into modeling.…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-09-24 Juyoung Wang , Mucahit Cevik , Merve Bodur

Time series forecasting plays an increasingly important role in modern business decisions. In today's data-rich environment, people often aim to choose the optimal forecasting model for their data. However, identifying the optimal model…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-12-17 Xixi Li , Fotios Petropoulos , Yanfei Kang

For any financial organization, computing accurate quarterly forecasts for various products is one of the most critical operations. As the granularity at which forecasts are needed increases, traditional statistical time series models may…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-01-28 Allison Koenecke , Amita Gajewar

Deep Learning (DL) models can be used to tackle time series analysis tasks with great success. However, the performance of DL models can degenerate rapidly if the data are not appropriately normalized. This issue is even more apparent when…

In online internet advertising, machine learning models are widely used to compute the likelihood of a user engaging with product related advertisements. However, the performance of traditional machine learning models is often impacted due…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2018-06-22 Marcelo Tallis , Pranjul Yadav

Intermittent demand, where demand occurrences appear sporadically in time, is a common and challenging problem in forecasting. In this paper, we first make the connections between renewal processes, and a collection of current models used…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-11-26 Ali Caner Turkmen , Yuyang Wang , Tim Januschowski

Deep learning has been actively applied to time series forecasting, leading to a deluge of new methods, belonging to the class of historical-value models. Yet, despite the attractive properties of time-index models, such as being able to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-18 Gerald Woo , Chenghao Liu , Doyen Sahoo , Akshat Kumar , Steven Hoi

Time series forecasting is often fundamental to scientific and engineering problems and enables decision making. With ever increasing data set sizes, a trivial solution to scale up predictions is to assume independence between interacting…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-01-18 Kashif Rasul , Abdul-Saboor Sheikh , Ingmar Schuster , Urs Bergmann , Roland Vollgraf

Seasonal forecasting remains challenging due to the inherent chaotic nature of atmospheric dynamics. This paper introduces DeepSeasons, a novel deep learning approach designed to enhance the accuracy and reliability of seasonal forecasts.…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-09-16 A. Navarra , G. G. Navarra

Neural activity forecasting is central to understanding neural systems and enabling closed-loop control. While deep learning has recently advanced the state-of-the-art in the time series forecasting literature, its application to neural…