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An efficient method for finding a better maximizer of computationally extensive probability distributions is proposed on the basis of a Bayesian optimization technique. A key idea of the proposed method is to use extreme values of…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2018-03-14 Ryo Tamura , Koji Hukushima

Binary regression models represent a popular model-based approach for binary classification. In the Bayesian framework, computational challenges in the form of the posterior distribution motivate still-ongoing fruitful research. Here, we…

统计计算 · 统计学 2023-09-06 Augusto Fasano , Niccolò Anceschi , Beatrice Franzolini , Giovanni Rebaudo

The skew-normal and the skew-$t$ distributions are parametric families which are currently under intense investigation since they provide a more flexible formulation compared to the classical normal and $t$ distributions by introducing a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-03-13 Adelchi Azzalini , Reinaldo B. Arellano-Valle

Exponential random graph models (ERGMs) are a widely used framework for network data, enabling hypothesis testing on the structural mechanisms underlying observed networks. Bayesian ERGMs provide principled uncertainty quantification and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-26 Alberto Caimo , Isabella Gollini

We present an approach called Q-probing to adapt a pre-trained language model to maximize a task-specific reward function. At a high level, Q-probing sits between heavier approaches such as finetuning and lighter approaches such as few shot…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-04 Kenneth Li , Samy Jelassi , Hugh Zhang , Sham Kakade , Martin Wattenberg , David Brandfonbrener

Regularization is used in many different areas of optimization when solutions are sought which not only minimize a given function, but also possess a certain degree of regularity. Popular applications are image denoising, sparse regression…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-11-15 Bennet Gebken , Katharina Bieker , Sebastian Peitz

Regularized Markov Decision Processes serve as models of sequential decision making under uncertainty wherein the decision maker has limited information processing capacity and/or aversion to model ambiguity. With functional approximation,…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-02-11 Jiachen Xi , Alfredo Garcia , Petar Momcilovic

Bayesian optimization is a sequential method for minimizing objective functions that are expensive to evaluate and about which few assumptions can be made. By using all gathered data to train a Gaussian process model for the function and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-07 Jesse Schneider , William J. Welch

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) is crucial for deploying machine learning models in high-stakes applications, where overconfident predictions can lead to serious consequences. An effective UQ method must balance computational efficiency…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-23 Taeseong Yoon , Heeyoung Kim

Bayesian quadrature optimization (BQO) maximizes the expectation of an expensive black-box integrand taken over a known probability distribution. In this work, we study BQO under distributional uncertainty in which the underlying…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-01-22 Thanh Tang Nguyen , Sunil Gupta , Huong Ha , Santu Rana , Svetha Venkatesh

Latent variable models are a fundamental modeling tool in machine learning applications, but they present significant computational and analytical challenges. The popular EM algorithm and its variants, is a much used algorithmic tool; yet…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2015-12-08 Xinyang Yi , Constantine Caramanis

Bayesian predictive inference analyzes a dataset to make predictions about new observations. When a model does not match the data, predictive accuracy suffers. We develop population empirical Bayes (POP-EB), a hierarchical framework that…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-06-10 Alp Kucukelbir , David M. Blei

In applications of Bayesian procedures, once a class of priors has been chosen, it may be tempting to fix the prior's hyperparameters from the data, in an empirical Bayes (EB) fashion, usually by their maximum marginal likelihood estimates…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-04-14 Stefano Rizzelli , Judith Rousseau , Sonia Petrone

There are two major routes to address the ubiquitous family of inverse problems appearing in signal and image processing, such as denoising or deblurring. A first route relies on Bayesian modeling, where prior probabilities are used to…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-03-24 Rémi Gribonval , Mila Nikolova

Sparse estimation methods are aimed at using or obtaining parsimonious representations of data or models. They were first dedicated to linear variable selection but numerous extensions have now emerged such as structured sparsity or kernel…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2011-11-24 Francis Bach , Rodolphe Jenatton , Julien Mairal , Guillaume Obozinski

In our previous work, we introduced the rule-based Bayesian Regression, a methodology that leverages two concepts: (i) Bayesian inference, for the general framework and uncertainty quantification and (ii) rule-based systems for the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-03-01 Themistoklis Botsas , Lachlan R. Mason , Omar K. Matar , Indranil Pan

The expectation-maximization (EM) algorithm and its variants are widely used in statistics. In high-dimensional mixture linear regression, the model is assumed to be a finite mixture of linear regression and the number of predictors is much…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-07-24 Ning Wang , Xin Zhang , Qing Mai

Given a multivariate function taking deterministic and uncertain inputs, we consider the problem of estimating a quantile set: a set of deterministic inputs for which the probability that the output belongs to a specific region remains…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-07-25 Romain Ait Abdelmalek-Lomenech , Julien Bect , Emmanuel Vazquez

This paper concerns the use of the expectation-maximisation (EM) algorithm for inference in partially observed diffusion processes. In this context, a well known problem is that all except a few diffusion processes lack closed-form…

统计理论 · 数学 2010-08-18 Jimmy Olsson , Jonas Ströjby

The Poisson distribution arises naturally when dealing with data involving counts, and it has found many applications in inverse problems and imaging. In this work, we develop an approximate Bayesian inference technique based on expectation…

数值分析 · 数学 2019-09-04 Chen Zhang , Simon Arridge , Bangti Jin