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Uncertainty estimation is essential for robust decision-making in the presence of ambiguous or out-of-distribution inputs. Gaussian Processes (GPs) are classical kernel-based models that offer principled uncertainty quantification and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-04-30 Albert Saiapin , Kim Batselier

This paper investigates the problem of object detection with a focus on improving both the localization accuracy of bounding boxes and explicitly modeling prediction uncertainty. Conventional detectors rely on deterministic bounding box…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-07-22 Xingshu Chen , Sicheng Yu , Chong Cheng , Hao Wang , Ting Tian

Constitutive model discovery refers to the task of identifying an appropriate model structure, usually from a predefined model library, while simultaneously inferring its material parameters. The data used for model discovery are measured…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-27 David Anton , Henning Wessels , Ulrich Römer , Alexander Henkes , Jorge-Humberto Urrea-Quintero

The interdependence between nodes in graphs is key to improve class predictions on nodes and utilized in approaches like Label Propagation (LP) or in Graph Neural Networks (GNN). Nonetheless, uncertainty estimation for non-independent…

Explanation methods help understand the reasons for a model's prediction. These methods are increasingly involved in model debugging, performance optimization, and gaining insights into the workings of a model. With such critical…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-16 Mihir Mulye , Matias Valdenegro-Toro

In many real-world problems, there is a limited set of training data, but an abundance of unlabeled data. We propose a new method, Generative Posterior Networks (GPNs), that uses unlabeled data to estimate epistemic uncertainty in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-01 Melrose Roderick , Felix Berkenkamp , Fatemeh Sheikholeslami , Zico Kolter

Outcomes of data-driven AI models cannot be assumed to be always correct. To estimate the uncertainty in these outcomes, the uncertainty wrapper framework has been proposed, which considers uncertainties related to model fit, input quality,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-01-11 Pascal Gerber , Lisa Jöckel , Michael Kläs

Understanding which concepts models can and cannot represent has been fundamental to many tasks: from effective and responsible use of models to detecting out of distribution data. We introduce Gaussian process probes (GPP), a unified and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-07 Zi Wang , Alexander Ku , Jason Baldridge , Thomas L. Griffiths , Been Kim

In this paper, we investigate and design multiscale simulations for stochastic multiscale PDEs. As for the space, we consider a coarse grid and a known multiscale method, the Generalized Multiscale Finite Element Method (GMsFEM). In order…

数值分析 · 数学 2020-04-10 Zecheng Zhang , Eric Chung , Yalchin Efendiev , Wing Tat Leung

Recent studies have shown that ensemble approaches could not only improve accuracy and but also estimate model uncertainty in deep learning. However, it requires a large number of parameters according to the increase of ensemble models for…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2020-05-25 Hong Joo Lee , Seong Tae Kim , Hakmin Lee , Nassir Navab , Yong Man Ro

The field of explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) attempts to develop methods that provide insight into how complicated machine learning methods make predictions. Many methods of explanation have focused on the concept of feature…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-13 Kurt Butler , Guanchao Feng , Petar M. Djuric

Despite the recent progress in deep neural networks (DNNs), it remains challenging to explain the predictions made by DNNs. Existing explanation methods for DNNs mainly focus on post-hoc explanations where another explanatory model is…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-04 Wei Qian , Chenxu Zhao , Yangyi Li , Fenglong Ma , Chao Zhang , Mengdi Huai

Generative diffusion models, notable for their large parameter count (exceeding 100 million) and operation within high-dimensional image spaces, pose significant challenges for traditional uncertainty estimation methods due to computational…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-06-28 Lucas Berry , Axel Brando , David Meger

Recent advancements in post-hoc and inherently interpretable methods have markedly enhanced the explanations of black box classifier models. These methods operate either through post-analysis or by integrating concept learning during model…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-04-24 Bor-Shiun Wang , Chien-Yi Wang , Wei-Chen Chiu

Machine learning models are increasingly used to predict material properties and accelerate atomistic simulations, but the reliability of their predictions depends on the representativeness of the training data. We present a scalable,…

化学物理 · 物理学 2025-10-20 Daniel Willimetz , Lukáš Grajciar

Many applications of data-driven models demand transparency of decisions, especially in health care, criminal justice, and other high-stakes environments. Modern trends in machine learning research have led to algorithms that are…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-05-09 Zachariah Carmichael , Walter J. Scheirer

Modeling uncertainty in deep neural networks, despite recent important advances, is still an open problem. Bayesian neural networks are a powerful solution, where the prior over network weights is a design choice, often a normal…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-10-29 Raanan Y. Rohekar , Yaniv Gurwicz , Shami Nisimov , Gal Novik

In this work, we present a new class of models, called uncertain-input models, that allows us to treat system-identification problems in which a linear system is subject to a partially unknown input signal. To encode prior information about…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2017-09-12 Riccardo Sven Risuleo , Giulio Bottegal , Håkan Hjalmarsson

While deep neural networks have become the go-to approach in computer vision, the vast majority of these models fail to properly capture the uncertainty inherent in their predictions. Estimating this predictive uncertainty can be crucial,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-04-08 Fredrik K. Gustafsson , Martin Danelljan , Thomas B. Schön

Image reconstruction methods based on deep neural networks have shown outstanding performance, equalling or exceeding the state-of-the-art results of conventional approaches, but often do not provide uncertainty information about the…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2020-12-01 Riccardo Barbano , Željko Kereta , Chen Zhang , Andreas Hauptmann , Simon Arridge , Bangti Jin