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相关论文: Time Series Causal Link Estimation under Hidden Co…

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Estimating the individual treatment effect (ITE) from observational data is meaningful and practical in healthcare. Existing work mainly relies on the strong ignorability assumption that no hidden confounders exist, which may lead to bias…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-12-16 Ruoqi Liu , Changchang Yin , Ping Zhang

Long-term causal inference is an important but challenging problem across various scientific domains. To solve the latent confounding problem in long-term observational studies, existing methods leverage short-term experimental data.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-23 Weilin Chen , Ruichu Cai , Yuguang Yan , Zhifeng Hao , José Miguel Hernández-Lobato

This paper studies the cumulative causal effects of sequential treatments in the presence of unmeasured confounders. It is a critical issue in sequential decision-making scenarios where treatment decisions and outcomes dynamically evolve…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-15 Yingrong Wang , Anpeng Wu , Baohong Li , Ziyang Xiao , Ruoxuan Xiong , Qing Han , Kun Kuang

Controllable data generation aims to synthesize data by specifying values for target concepts. Achieving this reliably requires modeling the underlying generative factors and their relationships. In real-world scenarios, these factors…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-21 Qilong Zhao , Shiyu Wang , Zeeshan Memon , Yang Qiao , Guangji Bai , Bo Pan , Zhaohui Qin , Liang Zhao

Currently, machine learning is widely used across various domains, including time series data analysis. However, some machine learning models function as black boxes, making interpretability a critical concern. One approach to address this…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-01 Keita Kinjo

Due to the non-stationary nature, the distribution of real-world multivariate time series (MTS) changes over time, which is known as distribution drift. Most existing MTS forecasting models greatly suffer from distribution drift and degrade…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-03 Hui He , Qi Zhang , Kun Yi , Kaize Shi , Zhendong Niu , Longbing Cao

Confounding seriously impairs our ability to learn about causal relations from observational data. Confounding can be defined as a statistical association between two variables due to inputs from a common source (the confounder). For…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-05-17 Anders Ledberg

Causal discovery is the subfield of causal inference concerned with estimating the structure of cause-and-effect relationships in a system of interrelated variables, as opposed to quantifying the strength or describing the form of causal…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-26 Rebecca F. Supple , Hannah Worthington , Ben Swallow

Estimating treatment effects plays a crucial role in causal inference, having many real-world applications like policy analysis and decision making. Nevertheless, estimating treatment effects in the longitudinal setting in the presence of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-22 Defu Cao , James Enouen , Yan Liu

Variational autoencoders (VAE) are powerful generative models that learn the latent representations of input data as random variables. Recent studies show that VAE can flexibly learn the complex temporal dynamics of time series and achieve…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-14 Borui Cai , Shuiqiao Yang , Longxiang Gao , Yong Xiang

We investigate the estimation of the causal effect of a treatment variable on an outcome in the presence of a latent confounder. We first show that the causal effect is identifiable under certain conditions when data is available from…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-06-16 Yaroslav Kivva , Sina Akbari , Saber Salehkaleybar , Negar Kiyavash

Inferring causal effects of continuous-valued treatments from observational data is a crucial task promising to better inform policy- and decision-makers. A critical assumption needed to identify these effects is that all confounding…

One of the fundamental challenges in causal inference is to estimate the causal effect of a treatment on its outcome of interest from observational data. However, causal effect estimation often suffers from the impacts of confounding bias…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-23 Debo Cheng , Ziqi Xu , Jiuyong Li , Lin Liu , Thuc Duy Le , Jixue Liu

We propose a method to distinguish causal influence from hidden confounding in the following scenario: given a target variable Y, potential causal drivers X, and a large number of background features, we propose a novel criterion for…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-02-07 You-Lin Chen , Lenon Minorics , Dominik Janzing

Analysis of observational studies increasingly confronts the challenge of determining which of a possibly high-dimensional set of available covariates are required to satisfy the assumption of ignorable treatment assignment for estimation…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-03-23 Chanmin Kim , Mauricio Tec , Corwin M Zigler

A central challenge in statistical inference is the presence of confounding variables that may distort observed associations between treatment and outcome. Conventional "causal" methods, grounded in assumptions such as ignorability, exclude…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-09 Ellis Scharfenaker , Duncan K. Foley

Estimating the causal effects of an intervention from high-dimensional observational data is difficult due to the presence of confounding. The task is often complicated by the fact that we may have a systematic missingness in our data at…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-03-02 Sonali Parbhoo , Mario Wieser , Aleksander Wieczorek , Volker Roth

This paper proposes two methods for causal additive models with unobserved variables (CAM-UV). CAM-UV assumes that the causal functions take the form of generalized additive models and that latent confounders are present. First, we propose…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-19 Takashi Nicholas Maeda , Shohei Shimizu

Estimating the causal effects of an intervention in the presence of confounding is a frequently occurring problem in applications such as medicine. The task is challenging since there may be multiple confounding factors, some of which may…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-11-28 Sonali Parbhoo , Mario Wieser , Volker Roth

Mining genuine mechanisms underlying the complex data generation process in real-world systems is a fundamental step in promoting interpretability of, and thus trust in, data-driven models. Therefore, we propose a variation-based cause…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2022-11-23 Mohamed Amine ben Salem , Karim Said Barsim , Bin Yang