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This paper presents PDx, an adaptive, machine learning operations (MLOps) driven decision system for forecasting credit risk using probability of default (PD) modeling in digital lending. While conventional PD models prioritize predictive…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-30 Sultan Amed , Chan Yu Hang , Sayantan Banerjee

Inherent risk scoring is an important function in anti-money laundering, used for determining the riskiness of an individual during onboarding $\textit{before}$ fraudulent transactions occur. It is, however, often fraught with two…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-12-02 W. Ronny Huang , Miguel A. Perez

Deploying machine learning in regulated financial environments -- credit risk, fraud detection, and anti-money laundering -- exposes critical vulnerabilities in algorithmic reproducibility. While early financial ML addressed statistical…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-05-28 Ruizhe Zhou , Xiaoyang Liu , Gaoyuan Du , Yi Zheng , Shouxi Ren , Deepayan Chakrabarti , Dengdu Jiang

Creating impact in real-world settings requires artificial intelligence techniques to span the full pipeline from data, to predictive models, to decisions. These components are typically approached separately: a machine learning model is…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-11-22 Bryan Wilder , Bistra Dilkina , Milind Tambe

A biologically plausible method for training an Artificial Neural Network (ANN) involves treating each unit as a stochastic Reinforcement Learning (RL) agent, thereby considering the network as a team of agents. Consequently, all units can…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-07-26 Stephen Chung

Machine learning algorithms are used to construct a mathematical model for a system based on training data. Such a model is capable of making highly accurate predictions without being explicitly programmed to do so. These techniques have a…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2022-02-22 Cato Pauling , Michael Gimson , Muhammed Qaid , Ahmad Kida , Basel Halak

It is not, in general, possible to have access to all variables that determine the behavior of a system. Having identified a number of variables whose values can be accessed, there may still be hidden variables which influence the dynamics…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2018-04-30 Rui Ligeiro , R. Vilela Mendes

In this paper, we present a robust adaptive model predictive control (MPC) scheme for linear systems subject to parametric uncertainty and additive disturbances. The proposed approach provides a computationally efficient formulation with…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-03-12 Johannes Köhler , Elisa Andina , Raffaele Soloperto , Matthias A. Müller , Frank Allgöwer

In the financial risk domain, particularly in credit default prediction and fraud detection, accurate identification of high-risk class instances is paramount, as their occurrence can have significant economic implications. Although machine…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-09-17 Xu Sun , Zixuan Qin , Shun Zhang , Yuexian Wang , Li Huang

Dropout Regularization, serving to reduce variance, is nearly ubiquitous in Deep Learning models. We explore the relationship between the dropout rate and model complexity by training 2,000 neural networks configured with random…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-08-30 Christopher Sun , Jai Sharma , Milind Maiti

Credit is an essential component of financial wellbeing in America, and unequal access to it is a large factor in the economic disparities between demographic groups that exist today. Today, machine learning algorithms, sometimes trained on…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-10-07 I. Elizabeth Kumar , Keegan E. Hines , John P. Dickerson

Machine learning classification tasks often benefit from predicting a set of possible labels with confidence scores to capture uncertainty. However, existing methods struggle with the high-dimensional nature of the data and the lack of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-08 Rui Luo , Zhixin Zhou

Complementary-label learning is a weakly supervised learning problem in which each training example is associated with one or multiple complementary labels indicating the classes to which it does not belong. Existing consistent approaches…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-14 Wei Wang , Takashi Ishida , Yu-Jie Zhang , Gang Niu , Masashi Sugiyama

Credit risk modelling is an integral part of the global financial system. While there has been great attention paid to neural network models for credit default prediction, such models often lack the required interpretation mechanisms and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-06-18 Rendani Mbuvha , Illyes Boulkaibet , Tshilidzi Marwala

We study the robustness of conformal prediction, a powerful tool for uncertainty quantification, to label noise. Our analysis tackles both regression and classification problems, characterizing when and how it is possible to construct…

Monotonicity is a key qualitative prediction of a wide array of economic models derived via robust comparative statics. It is therefore important to design effective and practical econometric methods for testing this prediction in empirical…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-07-10 Denis Chetverikov

This study conducts a benchmarking study, comparing 23 different statistical and machine learning methods in a credit scoring application. In order to do so, the models' performance is evaluated over four different data sets in combination…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2019-07-31 Anna Stelzer

The existence of adversarial data examples has drawn significant attention in the deep-learning community; such data are seemingly minimally perturbed relative to the original data, but lead to very different outputs from a deep-learning…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-11-12 Bai Li , Changyou Chen , Wenlin Wang , Lawrence Carin

The cost of error in many high-stakes settings is asymmetric: misdiagnosing pneumonia when absent is an inconvenience, but failing to detect it when present can be life-threatening. Because of this, artificial intelligence (AI) models used…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2025-11-12 David Autor , Andrew Caplin , Daniel Martin , Philip Marx

Due to the outstanding capability of capturing underlying data distributions, deep learning techniques have been recently utilized for a series of traditional database problems. In this paper, we investigate the possibilities of utilizing…

数据库 · 计算机科学 2021-09-27 Yaoshu Wang , Chuan Xiao , Jianbin Qin , Xin Cao , Yifang Sun , Wei Wang , Makoto Onizuka