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Maximum likelihood estimates (MLEs) are asymptotically normally distributed, and this property is used in meta-analyses to test the heterogeneity of estimates, either for a single cluster or for several sub-groups. More recently, MLEs for…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-02-28 Anthony J. Webster

As a technique to investigate link-level loss rates of a computer network with low operational cost, loss tomography has received considerable attentions in recent years. A number of parameter estimation methods have been proposed for loss…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-10-27 Ke Deng , Yang Li , Weiping Zhu , Jun S. Liu

In Bayesian statistics, many problems can be expressed as the evaluation of the expectation of a quantity of interest with respect to the posterior distribution. Standard Monte Carlo method is often not applicable because the encountered…

统计计算 · 统计学 2011-10-11 James L. Beck , Konstantin M. Zuev

Inferring parameter distributions of complex industrial systems from noisy time series data requires methods to deal with the uncertainty of the underlying data and the used simulation model. Bayesian inference is well suited for these…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-06-18 David N. John , Livia Stohrer , Claudia Schillings , Michael Schick , Vincent Heuveline

The most important aspect of any classifier is its error rate, because this quantifies its predictive capacity. Thus, the accuracy of error estimation is critical. Error estimation is problematic in small-sample classifier design because…

机器学习 · 统计学 2013-11-13 Amin Zollanvari , Edward R. Dougherty

Consider a Bayesian situation in which we observe $Y \sim p_{\theta}$, where $\theta \in \Theta$, and we have a family $\{ \nu_h, \, h \in \mathcal{H} \}$ of potential prior distributions on $\Theta$. Let $g$ be a real-valued function of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-07-09 Hani Doss , Yeonhee Park

The use of the Bayesian tools in system identification and model updating paradigms has been increased in the last ten years. Usually, the Bayesian techniques can be implemented to incorporate the uncertainties associated with measurements…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2017-10-27 M. Sherri , I. Boulkaibet , T. Marwala , M. I. Friswell

Estimating model parameters of a general family of cure models is always a challenging task mainly due to flatness and multimodality of the likelihood function. In this work, we propose a fully Bayesian approach in order to overcome these…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-08-20 Panagiotis Papastamoulis , Fotios Milienos

Estimation of permutation entropy (PE) using Bayesian statistical methods is presented for systems where the ordinal pattern sampling follows an independent, multinomial distribution. It is demonstrated that the PE posterior distribution is…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2022-02-09 Douglas J. Little , Joshua P. Toomey , Deb M. Kane

In the estimation of the causal effect under linear Structural Causal Models (SCMs), it is common practice to first identify the causal structure, estimate the probability distributions, and then calculate the causal effect. However, if the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-03-16 Shunsuke Horii

Given a multivariate function taking deterministic and uncertain inputs, we consider the problem of estimating a quantile set: a set of deterministic inputs for which the probability that the output belongs to a specific region remains…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-07-25 Romain Ait Abdelmalek-Lomenech , Julien Bect , Emmanuel Vazquez

The Exponentially Weighted Moving Average (EWMA) and Cumulative Sum (CUSUM) control charts have been used in profile monitoring to track drift shifts that occur in a monitored process. We construct Bayesian EWMA and Bayesian CUSUM charts…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-07-21 Chelsea Mitchell , Abdel-Salam Abdel-Salam , D'Arcy Mays

We study the excess mean square error (EMSE) above the minimum mean square error (MMSE) in large linear systems where the posterior mean estimator (PME) is evaluated with a postulated prior that differs from the true prior of the input…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2015-05-18 Yanting Ma , Dror Baron , Ahmad Beirami

This paper discusses the efficient Bayesian estimation of a multivariate factor stochastic volatility (Factor MSV) model with leverage. We propose a novel approach to construct the sampling schemes that converges to the posterior…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-06-14 David Gunawan , Chris Carter , Robert Kohn

We propose a multilevel Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method for the Bayesian inference of random field parameters in PDEs using high-resolution data. Compared to existing multilevel MCMC methods, we additionally consider level-dependent…

数值分析 · 数学 2025-08-19 Pieter Vanmechelen , Geert Lombaert , Giovanni Samaey

RNA-Seq data characteristically exhibits large variances, which need to be appropriately accounted for in the model. We first explore the effects of this variability on the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) of the overdispersion parameter…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-12-03 Luis Leon-Novelo , Claudio Fuentes , Sarah Emerson

The expectation-maximization (EM) algorithm is an iterative computational method to calculate the maximum likelihood estimators (MLEs) from the sample data. It converts a complicated one-time calculation for the MLE of the incomplete data…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-08-08 Lingyao Meng

An efficient method for finding a better maximizer of computationally extensive probability distributions is proposed on the basis of a Bayesian optimization technique. A key idea of the proposed method is to use extreme values of…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2018-03-14 Ryo Tamura , Koji Hukushima

We present a nonparametric method for estimating the value and several derivatives of an unknown, sufficiently smooth real-valued function of real-valued arguments from a finite sample of points, where both the function arguments and the…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2012-04-16 Jobst Heitzig

The reconstruction of the structure of biological tissue using electromyographic data is a non-invasive imaging method with diverse medical applications. Mathematically, this process is an inverse problem. Furthermore, electromyographic…

数值分析 · 数学 2021-05-26 Anna Rörich , Tim A. Werthmann , Dominik Göddeke , Lars Grasedyck