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Deep Gaussian processes (DGPs) upgrade ordinary GPs through functional composition, in which intermediate GP layers warp the original inputs, providing flexibility to model non-stationary dynamics. Two DGP regimes have emerged in recent…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-08-16 Annie Sauer , Andrew Cooper , Robert B. Gramacy

Deep Gaussian Processes (DGPs) are powerful surrogate models known for their flexibility and ability to capture complex functions. However, extending them to multi-output settings remains challenging due to the need for efficient dependency…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-08-25 Chun-Yi Chang , Chih-Li Sung

We introduce Deep Sigma Point Processes, a class of parametric models inspired by the compositional structure of Deep Gaussian Processes (DGPs). Deep Sigma Point Processes (DSPPs) retain many of the attractive features of (variational)…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-12-29 Martin Jankowiak , Geoff Pleiss , Jacob R. Gardner

Gaussian processes (GP) provide a prior over functions and allow finding complex regularities in data. Gaussian processes are successfully used for classification/regression problems and dimensionality reduction. In this work we consider…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2016-11-21 Pavel Izmailov , Dmitry Kropotov

Planning is a powerful approach to control problems with known environment dynamics. In unknown environments the agent needs to learn a model of the system dynamics to make planning applicable. This is particularly challenging when the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-05-11 Nathanael Bosch , Jan Achterhold , Laura Leal-Taixé , Jörg Stückler

The correlation length-scale next to the noise variance are the most used hyperparameters for the Gaussian processes. Typically, stationary covariance functions are used, which are only dependent on the distances between input points and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-10-30 Kevin Cremanns , Dirk Roos

Gaussian process tomography (GPT) is a method used for obtaining real-time tomographic reconstructions of the plasma emissivity profile in a tokamak, given some model for the underlying physical processes involved. GPT can also be used,…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2020-12-02 Francisco Matos , Jakob Svensson , Andrea Pavone , Tomas Odstrcil , Frank Jenko

Gaussian processes (GPs) are nonparametric Bayesian models that have been applied to regression and classification problems. One of the approaches to alleviate their cubic training cost is the use of local GP experts trained on subsets of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-02-16 Samuel Cohen , Rendani Mbuvha , Tshilidzi Marwala , Marc Peter Deisenroth

When the dynamics of systems are unknown, supervised machine learning techniques are commonly employed to infer models from data. Gaussian process (GP) regression is a particularly popular learning method for this purpose due to the…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-05-16 Xiaobing Dai , Armin Lederer , Zewen Yang , Sandra Hirche

Gaussian processes (GPs) are a powerful tool for probabilistic inference over functions. They have been applied to both regression and non-linear dimensionality reduction, and offer desirable properties such as uncertainty estimates,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2014-10-01 Yarin Gal , Mark van der Wilk , Carl E. Rasmussen

The accurate prediction of time-changing variances is an important task in the modeling of financial data. Standard econometric models are often limited as they assume rigid functional relationships for the variances. Moreover, function…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-02-14 Yue Wu , Jose Miguel Hernandez Lobato , Zoubin Ghahramani

A neural network (NN) is a parameterised function that can be tuned via gradient descent to approximate a labelled collection of data with high precision. A Gaussian process (GP), on the other hand, is a probabilistic model that defines a…

We propose a method (TT-GP) for approximate inference in Gaussian Process (GP) models. We build on previous scalable GP research including stochastic variational inference based on inducing inputs, kernel interpolation, and structure…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-01-18 Pavel Izmailov , Alexander Novikov , Dmitry Kropotov

Many applications in speech, robotics, finance, and biology deal with sequential data, where ordering matters and recurrent structures are common. However, this structure cannot be easily captured by standard kernel functions. To model such…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-10-06 Maruan Al-Shedivat , Andrew Gordon Wilson , Yunus Saatchi , Zhiting Hu , Eric P. Xing

Modeling sequential data has become more and more important in practice. Some applications are autonomous driving, virtual sensors and weather forecasting. To model such systems, so called recurrent models are frequently used. In this paper…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-10-01 Roman Föll , Bernard Haasdonk , Markus Hanselmann , Holger Ulmer

Collecting operationally realistic data to inform machine learning models can be costly. Before collecting new data, it is helpful to understand where a model is deficient. For example, object detectors trained on images of rare objects may…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-12-24 Anna R. Flowers , Christopher T. Franck , Robert B. Gramacy , Justin A. Krometis

Global sensitivity analysis of complex numerical simulators is often limited by the small number of model evaluations that can be afforded. In such settings, surrogate models built from a limited set of simulations can substantially reduce…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-01-21 Guerlain Lambert , Céline Helbert , Claire Lauvernet

Active learning methods for emulating complex computer models that rely on stationary Gaussian processes tend to produce design points that uniformly fill the entire experimental region, which can be wasteful for functions which vary only…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-16 Shangkun Wang , V. Roshan Joseph

Deep Gaussian Processes (DGPs) combine the expressiveness of Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) with quantified uncertainty of Gaussian Processes (GPs). Expressive power and intractable inference both result from the non-Gaussian distribution over…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-02-26 Chi-Ken Lu , Scott Cheng-Hsin Yang , Xiaoran Hao , Patrick Shafto

Many real-world applications demand accurate and fast predictions, as well as reliable uncertainty estimates. However, quantifying uncertainty on high-dimensional predictions is still a severely under-investigated problem, especially when…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2025-02-04 Saurabh Deshpande , Hussein Rappel , Mark Hobbs , Stéphane P. A. Bordas , Jakub Lengiewicz