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Machine Learning has invariantly found its way into various Credit Risk applications. Due to the intrinsic nature of Credit Risk, quantifying the uncertainty of the predicted risk metrics is essential, and applying uncertainty-aware deep…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2023-12-12 Ashish Dhiman

Uncertainty quantification is at the core of the reliability and robustness of machine learning. In this paper, we provide a theoretical framework to dissect the uncertainty, especially the \textit{epistemic} component, in deep learning…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-21 Ziyi Huang , Henry Lam , Haofeng Zhang

Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) is a booming discipline for complex computational models based on the analysis of robustness, reliability and credibility. UQ analysis for nonlinear crash models with high dimensional outputs presents…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2021-03-31 Marc Rocas , Alberto García-González , Xabier Larrayoz , Pedro Díez

Despite the strong predictive performance of deep learning models for traffic prediction, their widespread deployment in real-world intelligent transportation systems has been restrained by a lack of interpretability. Uncertainty…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2023-08-14 Alexander Timans , Nina Wiedemann , Nishant Kumar , Ye Hong , Martin Raubal

This paper explores Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) in SVM predictions, particularly for regression and forecasting tasks. Unlike the Neural Network, the SVM solutions are typically more stable, sparse, optimal and interpretable. However,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-05-22 Pritam Anand

Machine learning (ML) is often viewed as a powerful data analysis tool that is easy to learn because of its black-box nature. Yet this very nature also makes it difficult to quantify confidence in predictions extracted from ML models, and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-30 Paul Patrone , Anthony Kearsley

Applications, ranging from tracking molecular motion within cells to analyzing complex animal foraging behavior, require algorithms for associating a collection of spot-like particles in one image with particles contained in another image.…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2013-04-23 Alexander Mont , Aubrey V. Wiegel , Diego Krapf , Christopher P. Calderon

The availability of large-scale datasets on which to train, benchmark and test algorithms has been central to the rapid development of machine learning as a discipline and its maturity as a research discipline. Despite considerable…

量子物理 · 物理学 2021-08-17 Elija Perrier , Akram Youssry , Chris Ferrie

An accurate description of information is relevant for a range of problems in atomistic machine learning (ML), such as crafting training sets, performing uncertainty quantification (UQ), or extracting physical insights from large datasets.…

材料科学 · 物理学 2025-05-02 Daniel Schwalbe-Koda , Sebastien Hamel , Babak Sadigh , Fei Zhou , Vincenzo Lordi

Large language models (LLMs) have shown remarkable achievements in natural language processing tasks, producing high-quality outputs. However, LLMs still exhibit limitations, including the generation of factually incorrect information. In…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2023-11-17 Sridevi Wagle , Sai Munikoti , Anurag Acharya , Sara Smith , Sameera Horawalavithana

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) plays a critical role in verifying and validating forward integrated computational materials engineering (ICME) models. Among numerous ICME models, the crystal plasticity finite element method (CPFEM) is a…

材料科学 · 物理学 2023-01-27 Anh Tran , Pieterjan Robbe , Tim Wildey , David Montes de Oca Zapiain , Hojun Lim

In scientific applications, predictive modeling is often of limited use without accurate uncertainty quantification (UQ) to indicate when a model may be extrapolating or when more data needs to be collected. Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs)…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-26 Scott Koermer , Natalie Klein

Large language Models (LLMs) have achieved significant breakthroughs across diverse domains; however, they can still produce unreliable or misleading outputs. For responsible LLM application, Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) techniques are…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-15 Qihao Wen , Jiahao Wang , Yang Nan , Pengfei He , Ravi Tandon , Han Xu

Reliable Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) and failure prediction remain open challenges for Vision-Language Models (VLMs). We introduce ViLU, a new Vision-Language Uncertainty quantification framework that contextualizes uncertainty…

This work demonstrates the ability to produce readily interpretable statistical metrics for model fit, fixed effects covariance coefficients, and prediction confidence. Importantly, this work compares 4 suitable and commonly applied…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-11-30 Alex Treacher , Kevin Nguyen , Dylan Owens , Daniel Heitjan , Albert Montillo

The full acceptance of Deep Learning (DL) models in the clinical field is rather low with respect to the quantity of high-performing solutions reported in the literature. Particularly, end users are reluctant to rely on the rough…

图像与视频处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-10-11 Benjamin Lambert , Florence Forbes , Alan Tucholka , Senan Doyle , Harmonie Dehaene , Michel Dojat

Large Language Models (LLMs) have become indispensable tools across various applications, making it more important than ever to ensure the quality and the trustworthiness of their outputs. This has led to growing interest in uncertainty…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2025-09-26 Roman Vashurin , Maiya Goloburda , Preslav Nakov , Maxim Panov

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) is critical for assessing the reliability of machine learning interatomic potentials (MLIPs) in molecular dynamics (MD) simulations, identifying extrapolation regimes and enabling uncertainty-aware workflows…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-06 Zhongyao Wang , Taoyong Cui , Jiawen Zou , Shufei Zhang , Bo Yan , Wanli Ouyang , Weimin Tan , Mao Su

Large Language Diffusion Models (LLDMs) are emerging as an alternative to autoregressive models, offering faster inference through higher parallelism. Similar to autoregressive LLMs, they remain prone to hallucinations, making reliable…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2026-05-15 Artem Vazhentsev , Vladislav Smirnov , David Li , Maxim Panov , Timothy Baldwin , Artem Shelmanov

Defects are unavoidable in casting production owing to the complexity of the casting process. While conventional human-visual inspection of casting products is slow and unproductive in mass productions, an automatic and reliable defect…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2021-07-27 Maryam Habibpour , Hassan Gharoun , AmirReza Tajally , Afshar Shamsi , Hamzeh Asgharnezhad , Abbas Khosravi , Saeid Nahavandi
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