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An important task in microbiome studies is to test the existence of and give characterization to differences in the microbiome composition across groups of samples. Important challenges of this problem include the large within-group…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-05-07 Jialiang Mao , Yuhan Chen , Li Ma

Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART) is a tree-based machine learning method that has been successfully applied to regression and classification problems. BART assumes regularisation priors on a set of trees that work as weak learners…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-06-07 Estevão B. Prado , Rafael A. Moral , Andrew C. Parnell

We provide a microeconomic framework for decision trees: a popular machine learning method. Specifically, we show how decision trees represent a non-compensatory decision protocol known as disjunctions-of-conjunctions and how this protocol…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-11-15 Timothy Brathwaite , Akshay Vij , Joan L. Walker

Random discrete distributions, say $F,$ known as species sampling models, represent a rich class of models for classification and clustering, in Bayesian statistics and machine learning. They also arise in various areas of probability and…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-08-21 Lanelot F. James

Given overlapping subsets of a set of taxa (e.g. species), and posterior distributions on phylogenetic tree topologies for each of these taxon sets, how can we infer a posterior distribution on phylogenetic tree topologies for the entire…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2021-04-23 Michael Karcher , Cheng Zhang , Frederick A Matsen

Linear mixed effects models are highly flexible in handling a broad range of data types and are therefore widely used in applications. A key part in the analysis of data is model selection, which often aims to choose a parsimonious model…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-06-12 Samuel Müller , J. L. Scealy , A. H. Welsh

Binary search trees (BST) are a popular type of data structure when dealing with ordered data. Indeed, they enable one to access and modify data efficiently, with their height corresponding to the worst retrieval time. From a probabilistic…

概率论 · 数学 2025-01-28 Benoît Corsini , Victor Dubach , Valentin Féray

We propose a Machine Learning approach for optimal macroeconomic density forecasting in a high-dimensional setting where the underlying model exhibits a known group structure. Our approach is general enough to encompass specific forecasting…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-11-18 Matteo Mogliani , Anna Simoni

This paper presents a new approach for trees-based regression, such as simple regression tree, random forest and gradient boosting, in settings involving correlated data. We show the problems that arise when implementing standard…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-08-09 Assaf Rabinowicz , Saharon Rosset

Estimating dependence relationships between variables is a crucial issue in many applied domains, such as medicine, social sciences and psychology. When several variables are entertained, these can be organized into a network which encodes…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-01-01 Federico Castelletti

Bayesian model selection is premised on the assumption that the data are generated from one of the postulated models. However, in many applications, all of these models are incorrect (that is, there is misspecification). When the models are…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-12-10 Jonathan H. Huggins , Jeffrey W. Miller

We revisit the model of the ballistic deposition studied in \cite{bdeposition} and prove several combinatorial properties of the random tree structure formed by the underlying stochastic process. Our results include limit theorems for the…

概率论 · 数学 2019-10-02 Toufik Mansour , Reza Rastegar , Alexander Roitershtein

Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART) is a flexible machine learning algorithm capable of capturing nonlinearities between an outcome and covariates and interaction among covariates. We extend BART to a semiparametric regression…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-06-13 Bret Zeldow , Vincent Lo Re , Jason Roy

Decision Trees are some of the most popular machine learning models today due to their out-of-the-box performance and interpretability. Often, Decision Trees models are constructed greedily in a top-down fashion via heuristic search…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-16 Colin Sullivan , Mo Tiwari , Sebastian Thrun , Chris Piech

Random forests have become an established tool for classification and regression, in particular in high-dimensional settings and in the presence of complex predictor-response relationships. For bounded outcome variables restricted to the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-01-21 Leonie Weinhold , Matthias Schmid , Marvin N. Wright , Moritz Berger

We consider a Bayesian approach to variable selection in the presence of high dimensional covariates based on a hierarchical model that places prior distributions on the regression coefficients as well as on the model space. We adopt the…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-07-28 Naveen Naidu Narisetty , Xuming He

We introduce an extension of the P\'olya tree approach for constructing distributions on the space of probability measures. By using optional stopping and optional choice of splitting variables, the construction gives rise to random…

统计理论 · 数学 2010-10-05 Wing H. Wong , Li Ma

Inferring individualised treatment effects from observational data can unlock the potential for targeted interventions. It is, however, hard to infer these effects from observational data. One major problem that can arise is covariate shift…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-25 Damian Machlanski , Spyros Samothrakis , Paul Clarke

Bayesian networks faithfully represent the symmetric conditional independences existing between the components of a random vector. Staged trees are an extension of Bayesian networks for categorical random vectors whose graph represents…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-03-10 Manuele Leonelli , Gherardo Varando

Motivated by a neuroscience application we study the problem of statistical estimation of a high-dimensional covariance matrix with a block structure. The block model embeds a structural assumption: the population of items (neurons) can be…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-03 Yunran Chen , Surya T Tokdar , Jennifer M Groh