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Machine Learning explainability techniques have been proposed as a means of `explaining' or interrogating a model in order to understand why a particular decision or prediction has been made. Such an ability is especially important at a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-02-28 Matthew J. Vowels

The study of causal relationships between emotions and causes in texts has recently received much attention. Most works focus on extracting causally related clauses from documents. However, none of these works has considered that the causal…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2023-11-29 Xinhong Chen , Zongxi Li , Yaowei Wang , Haoran Xie , Jianping Wang , Qing Li

We investigate the problem of inferring the causal predictors of a response $Y$ from a set of $d$ explanatory variables $(X^1,\dots,X^d)$. Classical ordinary least squares regression includes all predictors that reduce the variance of $Y$.…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-05-29 Niklas Pfister , Peter Bühlmann , Jonas Peters

Nonlinear machine-learning models are increasingly used to discover causal relationships in time-series data, yet the interpretation of their outputs remains poorly understood. In particular, causal scores produced by regularized neural…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-27 Valentina Kuskova , Dmitry Zaytsev , Michael Coppedge

Uncovering causal relationships in data is a major objective of data analytics. Causal relationships are normally discovered with designed experiments, e.g. randomised controlled trials, which, however are expensive or infeasible to be…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2016-11-01 Jiuyong Li , Saisai Ma , Thuc Duy Le , Lin Liu , Jixue Liu

The causal (belief) network is a well-known graphical structure for representing independencies in a joint probability distribution. The exact methods and the approximation methods, which perform probabilistic inference in causal networks,…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-04-05 Richard E. Neapolitan , James Kenevan

Inferring the causal structure that links n observables is usually based upon detecting statistical dependences and choosing simple graphs that make the joint measure Markovian. Here we argue why causal inference is also possible when only…

统计理论 · 数学 2008-04-24 Dominik Janzing , Bernhard Schoelkopf

The capacity of distant parties to send signals to one another is a fundamental requirement in many information-processing tasks. Such ability is determined by the causal structure connecting the parties, and more generally, by the…

量子物理 · 物理学 2022-08-31 Simon Milz , Jessica Bavaresco , Giulio Chiribella

In general relativity, the causal structure between events is dynamical, but it is definite and observer-independent; events are point-like and the membership of an event A in the future or past light-cone of an event B is an…

量子物理 · 物理学 2020-07-13 Philippe Allard Guérin , Časlav Brukner

This paper deals with the problem of estimating the probability that one event was a cause of another in a given scenario. Using structural-semantical definitions of the probabilities of necessary or sufficient causation (or both), we show…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-01-18 Jin Tian , Judea Pearl

Causal effect identification typically requires a fully specified causal graph, which can be difficult to obtain in practice. We provide a sufficient criterion for identifying causal effects from a candidate set of Markov equivalence…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-19 Kai Z. Teh , Kayvan Sadeghi , Terry Soo

Game-theoretic upper expectations are joint (global) probability models that mathematically describe the behaviour of uncertain processes in terms of supermartingales; capital processes corresponding to available betting strategies.…

概率论 · 数学 2021-07-14 Natan T'Joens , Jasper De Bock , Gert de Cooman

Geometry of networks endowed with a causal structure is discussed using the conventional framework of equilibrium statistical mechanics. The popular growing network models appear as particular causal models. We focus on a class of tree…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-07 P. Bialas , Z. Burda , J. Jurkiewicz , A. Krzywicki

We ground the asymmetry of causal relations in the internal physical states of a special kind of open and irreversible physical system, a causal agent. A causal agent is an autonomous physical system, maintained in a steady state, far from…

物理学史与哲学 · 物理学 2023-06-05 G. J. Milburn , S. Shrapnel , P. W. Evans

Researchers have long been aiming to understand how the characteristics of Quantum Theory and General Relativity combine to account for regimes in their interface. One reason why this is a hard task is how differently the theories approach…

量子物理 · 物理学 2023-10-05 Bruna Sahdo

Thanks to technological advances leading to near-continuous time observations, emerging multivariate point process data offer new opportunities for causal discovery. However, a key obstacle in achieving this goal is that many relevant…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-12-15 Xu Wang , Ali Shojaie

Causal Bayesian networks are 'causal' models since they make predictions about interventional distributions. To connect such causal model predictions to real-world outcomes, we must determine which actions in the world correspond to which…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-02-04 Frederik Hytting Jørgensen , Luigi Gresele , Sebastian Weichwald

Causal identification is at the core of the causal inference literature, where complete algorithms have been proposed to identify causal queries of interest. The validity of these algorithms hinges on the restrictive assumption of having…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-30 Sina Akbari , Fateme Jamshidi , Ehsan Mokhtarian , Matthew J. Vowels , Jalal Etesami , Negar Kiyavash

In modeling multivariate time series for either forecast or policy analysis, it would be beneficial to have figured out the cause-effect relations within the data. Regression analysis, however, is generally for correlation relation, and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-11-23 Xingwei Hu

Outcome-dependent sampling designs are common in many different scientific fields including epidemiology, ecology, and economics. As with all observational studies, such designs often suffer from unmeasured confounding, which generally…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-10-13 Erin E. Gabriel , Michael C. Sachs , Arvid Sjölander
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