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It is a well known fact that recovery rates tend to go down when the number of defaults goes up in economic downturns. We demonstrate how the loss given default model with the default and recovery dependent via the latent systematic risk…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2014-11-03 Xiaolin Luo , Pavel V. Shevchenko

Dimension reduction algorithms aim to discover latent variables which describe underlying structures in high-dimensional data. Methods such as factor analysis and principal component analysis have the downside of not offering much…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-12-23 Yong See Foo , Heejung Shim

Ranking is a key aspect of many applications, such as information retrieval, question answering, ad placement and recommender systems. Learning to rank has the goal of estimating a ranking model automatically from training data. In…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2015-02-10 Truyen Tran , Dinh Phung , Svetha Venkatesh

The log Gaussian Cox process is a flexible class of point pattern models for capturing spatial and spatio-temporal dependence for point patterns. Model fitting requires approximation of stochastic integrals which is implemented through…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-12-04 Shinichiro Shirota , Alan E. Gelfand

Recent advancements in graph diffusion models (GDMs) have enabled the synthesis of realistic network structures, yet ensuring fairness in the generated data remains a critical challenge. Existing solutions attempt to mitigate bias by…

We provide a flexible framework for selecting among a class of additive partial linear models that allows both linear and nonlinear additive components. In practice, it is challenging to determine which additive components should be…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-09-20 Seonghyun Jeong , Taeyoung Park , David A. van Dyk

Labelled networks are an important class of data, naturally appearing in numerous applications in science and engineering. A typical inference goal is to determine how the vertex labels (or features) affect the network's structure. In this…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-11-18 Lawrence Tray , Ioannis Kontoyiannis

The functional generalized additive model (FGAM) was recently proposed in McLean et al. (2013) as a more flexible alternative to the common functional linear model (FLM) for regressing a scalar on functional covariates. In this paper, we…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-05-29 Mathew W. McLean , Fabian Scheipl , Giles Hooker , Sonja Greven , David Ruppert

We consider the problem of flexible modeling of higher order hidden Markov models when the number of latent states and the nature of the serial dependence, including the true order, are unknown. We propose Bayesian nonparametric methodology…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-02-06 Abhra Sarkar , David B. Dunson

A key quantity of interest in Bayesian inference are expectations of functions with respect to a posterior distribution. Markov Chain Monte Carlo is a fundamental tool to consistently compute these expectations via averaging samples drawn…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-02-10 Heiko Strathmann , Dino Sejdinovic , Mark Girolami

Sparse Bayesian learning is a state-of-the-art supervised learning algorithm that can choose a subset of relevant samples from the input data and make reliable probabilistic predictions. However, in the presence of high-dimensional data…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-01-10 Bingbing Jiang , Chang Li , Maarten de Rijke , Xin Yao , Huanhuan Chen

This article focuses on inference in logistic regression for high-dimensional binary outcomes. A popular approach induces dependence across the outcomes by including latent factors in the linear predictor. Bayesian approaches are useful for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-23 Lorenzo Mauri , David B. Dunson

The inverse problem of determining parameters in a model by comparing some output of the model with observations is addressed. This is a description for what hat to be done to use the Gauss-Markov-Kalman filter for the Bayesian estimation…

数值分析 · 数学 2016-11-29 Hermann G. Matthies , Alexander Litvinenko , Bojana V. Rosic , Elmar Zander

Phylogenetic inference is an intractable statistical problem on a complex space. Markov chain Monte Carlo methods are the primary tool for Bayesian phylogenetic inference but it is challenging to construct efficient schemes to explore the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-10-11 Luke J. Kelly , Robin J. Ryder , Grégoire Clarté

We introduce a Loss Discounting Framework for model and forecast combination which generalises and combines Bayesian model synthesis and generalized Bayes methodologies. We use a loss function to score the performance of different models…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-03-29 Dawid Bernaciak , Jim E. Griffin

Bayesian inference allows us to define a posterior distribution over the weights of a generic neural network (NN). Exact posteriors are usually intractable, in which case approximations can be employed. One such approximation - variational…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-30 Andrew Millard , Joshua Murphy , Peter Green , Simon Maskell

Ubiquitous linear Gaussian exploratory tools such as principle component analysis (PCA) and factor analysis (FA) remain widely used as tools for: exploratory analysis, pre-processing, data visualization and related tasks. However, due to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-03-02 Adam Farooq , Yordan P. Raykov , Petar Raykov , Max A. Little

The generation of decision-theoretic Bayesian optimal designs is complicated by the significant computational challenge of minimising an analytically intractable expected loss function over a, potentially, high-dimensional design space. A…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-02-07 Antony M. Overstall , James M. McGree , Christopher C. Drovandi

Bayesian nonparametric inferential procedures based on Markov chain Monte Carlo marginal methods typically yield point estimates in the form of posterior expectations. Though very useful and easy to implement in a variety of statistical…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-05-04 Julyan Arbel , Antonio Lijoi , Bernardo Nipoti

In this paper, we propose a novel semi-supervised feature selection framework by mining correlations among multiple tasks and apply it to different multimedia applications. Instead of independently computing the importance of features for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-07-11 Xiaojun Chang , Yi Yang