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Recent research in machine learning has given rise to a flourishing literature on the quantification and decomposition of model uncertainty. This information can be very useful during interactions with the learner, such as in active…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-09-13 Arthur Hoarau , Vincent Lemaire

Local Interpretable Model-Agnostic Explanations (LIME) is a popular technique used to increase the interpretability and explainability of black box Machine Learning (ML) algorithms. LIME typically generates an explanation for a single…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-06-26 Muhammad Rehman Zafar , Naimul Mefraz Khan

Local Interpretable Model-Agnostic Explanations (LIME) is a popular method to perform interpretability of any kind of Machine Learning (ML) model. It explains one ML prediction at a time, by learning a simple linear model around the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-09 Giorgio Visani , Enrico Bagli , Federico Chesani

Uncertainty quantification in Artificial Intelligence (AI)-based predictions of material properties is of immense importance for the success and reliability of AI applications in material science. While confidence intervals are commonly…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-01-16 Francesca Tavazza , Brian De Cost , Kamal Choudhary

Handling missing data is a central challenge in data-driven analysis. Modern imputation methods not only aim for accurate reconstruction but also differ in how they represent and quantify uncertainty. Yet, the reliability and calibration of…

数据库 · 计算机科学 2025-11-27 Zarin Tahia Hossain , Mostafa Milani

This paper introduces UncertaintyPlayground, a Python library built on PyTorch and GPyTorch for uncertainty estimation in supervised learning tasks. The library offers fast training for Gaussian and multi-modal outcome distributions through…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-10-25 Ilia Azizi

Confidence estimation infers a probability for whether each model output is correct or not. While predicting such binary correctness is sensible for tasks with exact answers, free-form generation tasks are often more nuanced, with output…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2026-01-14 Chi-Yang Hsu , Alexander Braylan , Yiheng Su , Matthew Lease , Omar Alonso

Scientific inference is often undermined by the vast but rarely explored "multiverse" of defensible modelling choices, which can generate results as variable as the phenomena under study. We introduce RobustiPy, an open-source Python…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-20 Daniel Valdenegro , Jiani Yan , Duiyi Dai , Charles Rahal

QuaPy is an open-source framework for performing quantification (a.k.a. supervised prevalence estimation), written in Python. Quantification is the task of training quantifiers via supervised learning, where a quantifier is a predictor that…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-22 Alejandro Moreo , Andrea Esuli , Fabrizio Sebastiani

Label noise poses a significant challenge in Earth Observation (EO), often degrading the performance and reliability of supervised Machine Learning (ML) models. Yet, given the critical nature of several EO applications, developing robust…

Researchers in explainable artificial intelligence have developed numerous methods for helping users understand the predictions of complex supervised learning models. By contrast, explaining the $\textit{uncertainty}$ of model outputs has…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-11-01 David S. Watson , Joshua O'Hara , Niek Tax , Richard Mudd , Ido Guy

Machine Learning Interatomic Potentials (MLIP) are a novel in silico approach for molecular property prediction, creating an alternative to disrupt the accuracy/speed trade-off of empirical force fields and density functional theory (DFT).…

Uncertainty is a key feature of any machine learning model and is particularly important in neural networks, which tend to be overconfident. This overconfidence is worrying under distribution shifts, where the model performance silently…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-18 Arthur Thuy , Dries F. Benoit

Applying Artificial Intelligence (AI) and Machine Learning (ML) in critical contexts, such as medicine, requires the implementation of safety measures to reduce risks of harm in case of prediction errors. Spotting ML failures is of…

Unreliable predictions can occur when using artificial intelligence (AI) systems with negative consequences for downstream applications, particularly when employed for decision-making. Conformal prediction provides a model-agnostic…

Despite widespread adoption, machine learning models remain mostly black boxes. Understanding the reasons behind predictions is, however, quite important in assessing trust, which is fundamental if one plans to take action based on a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2016-08-10 Marco Tulio Ribeiro , Sameer Singh , Carlos Guestrin

Imbalanced-learn is an open-source python toolbox aiming at providing a wide range of methods to cope with the problem of imbalanced dataset frequently encountered in machine learning and pattern recognition. The implemented…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2016-09-22 Guillaume Lemaitre , Fernando Nogueira , Christos K. Aridas

High-stakes applications require AI-generated models to be interpretable. Current algorithms for the synthesis of potentially interpretable models rely on objectives or regularization terms that represent interpretability only coarsely…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-04-28 Marco Virgolin , Andrea De Lorenzo , Francesca Randone , Eric Medvet , Mattias Wahde

This short study presents an opportunistic approach to a (more) reliable validation method for prediction uncertainty average calibration. Considering that variance-based calibration metrics (ZMS, NLL, RCE...) are quite sensitive to the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-08-27 Pascal Pernot

We present Manify, an open-source Python library for non-Euclidean representation learning. Leveraging manifold learning techniques, Manify provides tools for learning embeddings in (products of) non-Euclidean spaces, performing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-18 Philippe Chlenski , Kaizhu Du , Dylan Satow , Raiyan R. Khan , Itsik Pe'er