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相关论文: Causal Models, Prediction, and Extrapolation in Ce…

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A major challenge for causal inference from time-series data is the trade-off between computational feasibility and accuracy. Motivated by process motifs for lagged covariance in an autoregressive model with slow mean-reversion, we propose…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-09-30 Alice C. Schwarze , Sara M. Ichinaga , Bingni W. Brunton

Machine learning practice is often impacted by confounders. Confounding can be particularly severe in remote digital health studies where the participants self-select to enter the study. While many different confounding adjustment…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-11-14 Elias Chaibub Neto , Meghasyam Tummalacherla , Lara Mangravite , Larsson Omberg

Prediction models based on deep neural networks are increasingly gaining attention for fast and accurate virtual screening systems. For decision makings in virtual screening, researchers find it useful to interpret an output of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-03-18 Soojung Yang , Kyung Hoon Lee , Seongok Ryu

How should we intervene on an unknown structural equation model to maximize a downstream variable of interest? This setting, also known as causal Bayesian optimization (CBO), has important applications in medicine, ecology, and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-03-13 Scott Sussex , Anastasiia Makarova , Andreas Krause

Predicting and enhancing inherent properties based on molecular structures is paramount to design tasks in medicine, materials science, and environmental management. Most of the current machine learning and deep learning approaches have…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-08 Zachary R. Fox , Ayana Ghosh

This tutorial provides a concise introduction to modern causal modeling by integrating potential outcomes and graphical methods. We motivate causal questions such as counterfactual reasoning under interventions and define binary treatments…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-27 Gauranga Kumar Baishya

Training models on uncurated Text Embeddings (TEs) derived from raw tabular data can lead to a severe failure mode known as model collapse, where predictions converge to a single class regardless of input. By comparing models trained with…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-24 Lucas Mattioli , Youness Ait Hadichou , Sabrina Chaouche , Martin Gonzalez

Computational models and simulations are not just appealing because of their intrinsic characteristics across spatiotemporal scales, scalability, and predictive power, but also because the set of problems in cancer biomedicine that can be…

组织与器官 · 定量生物学 2023-11-01 Nicolò Cogno , Cristian Axenie , Roman Bauer , Vasileios Vavourakis

Causal discovery from time series data encompasses many existing solutions, including those based on deep learning techniques. However, these methods typically do not endorse one of the most prevalent paradigms in deep learning: End-to-end…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-15 Gideon Stein , Maha Shadaydeh , Joachim Denzler

Radiation therapy is one of the most common cancer treatments, and dose optimization and targeting of radiation are crucial since both cancerous and healthy cells are affected. Different mathematical and computational approaches have been…

生物物理 · 物理学 2025-11-07 Mirko Bagnarol , Gianluca Lattanzi , Jan Åström , Mikko Karttunen

Perturbation-based explanations are widely utilized to enhance the transparency of machine-learning models in practice. However, their reliability is often compromised by the unknown model behavior under the specific perturbations used.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-14 Thomas Decker , Volker Tresp , Florian Buettner

This paper proposes an approach to analyze an event log of a business process in order to generate case-level recommendations of treatments that maximize the probability of a given outcome. Users classify the attributes in the event log…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-09-04 Zahra Dasht Bozorgi , Irene Teinemaa , Marlon Dumas , Marcello La Rosa , Artem Polyvyanyy

Predicting cancer dynamics under treatment is challenging due to high inter-patient heterogeneity, lack of predictive biomarkers, and sparse and noisy longitudinal data. Mathematical models can summarize cancer dynamics by a few…

In this paper we study the problems of estimating heterogeneity in causal effects in experimental or observational studies and conducting inference about the magnitude of the differences in treatment effects across subsets of the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-06-08 Susan Athey , Guido Imbens

In-context learning for tabular data sets strong predictive standards in observational settings; it however primarily relies on correlational structure, which becomes unreliable under distribution shift or intervention. While established…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-22 Sascha Xu , Sarah Mameche , Jilles Vreeken

In the realm of stock prediction, machine learning models encounter considerable obstacles due to the inherent low signal-to-noise ratio and the nonstationary nature of financial markets. These challenges often result in spurious…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2025-03-28 Songci Xu , Qiangqiang Cheng , Chi-Guhn Lee

A treatment policy defines when and what treatments are applied to affect some outcome of interest. Data-driven decision-making requires the ability to predict what happens if a policy is changed. Existing methods that predict how the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-21 Çağlar Hızlı , ST John , Anne Juuti , Tuure Saarinen , Kirsi Pietiläinen , Pekka Marttinen

Perturbation screens hold the potential to systematically map regulatory processes at single-cell resolution, yet modeling and predicting transcriptome-wide responses to perturbations remains a major computational challenge. Existing…

分子网络 · 定量生物学 2026-01-26 Lars Lorch , Jiaqi Zhang , Charlotte Bunne , Andreas Krause , Bernhard Schölkopf , Caroline Uhler

Signaling pathways are responsible for the regulation of cell processes, such as monitoring the external environment, transmitting information across membranes, and making cell fate decisions. Given the increasing amount of biological data…

分子网络 · 定量生物学 2020-04-07 Daniel Inostroza , Cecilia Hernández , Diego Seco , Gonzalo Navarro , Alvaro Olivera-Nappa

This paper extends the class of ordinal regression models with a structured interpretation of the problem by applying a novel treatment of encoded labels. The net effect of this is to transform the underlying problem from an ordinal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-06-03 Niall Twomey , Rafael Poyiadzi , Callum Mann , Raúl Santos-Rodríguez