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Real-time nonlinear Bayesian filtering algorithms are overwhelmed by data volume, velocity and increasing complexity of computational models. In this paper, we propose a novel ensemble based nonlinear Bayesian filtering approach which only…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-06-05 Xiao Lin , Gabriel Terejanu

Bayesian coresets have emerged as a promising approach for implementing scalable Bayesian inference. The Bayesian coreset problem involves selecting a (weighted) subset of the data samples, such that the posterior inference using the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-03-01 Jacky Y. Zhang , Rajiv Khanna , Anastasios Kyrillidis , Oluwasanmi Koyejo

In a variety of problems, the number and state of multiple moving targets are unknown and are subject to be inferred from their measurements obtained by a sensor with limited sensing ability. This type of problems is raised in a variety of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2015-01-13 Haojun Li

The robust estimation of dynamically changing features, such as the position of prey, is one of the hallmarks of perception. On an abstract, algorithmic level, nonlinear Bayesian filtering, i.e. the estimation of temporally changing signals…

神经元与认知 · 定量生物学 2022-01-05 Anna Kutschireiter , Simone Carlo Surace , Henning Sprekeler , Jean-Pascal Pfister

Bayesian methods are actively used for parameter identification and uncertainty quantification when solving nonlinear inverse problems with random noise. However, there are only few theoretical results justifying the Bayesian approach.…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-02-04 Vladimir Spokoiny

We propose a novel approach for density estimation called histogram trend filtering. Our estimator arises from looking at surrogate Poisson model for counts of observations in a partition of the support of the data. We begin by showing…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-02-09 Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla , James G. Scott

Popular Bayes filters typically rely on linearization techniques such as Taylor series expansion and stochastic linear regression to use the structure of standard Kalman filter. These techniques may introduce large estimation errors in…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-07-17 Wenhan Cao , Tianyi Zhang , Shengbo Eben Li

Bayesian filtering is a cornerstone of state estimation in complex systems such as aerospace systems, yet exact solutions are available only for linear Gaussian models. In practice,nonlinear systems are handled through tractable…

Predictive dynamical models for marine ecosystems are used for a variety of needs. Due to sparse measurements and limited understanding of the myriad of ocean processes, there is however significant uncertainty. There is model uncertainty…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2023-06-06 Abhinav Gupta , Pierre F. J. Lermusiaux

The Kalman filter is extensively used for state estimation for linear systems under Gaussian noise. When non-Gaussian L\'evy noise is present, the conventional Kalman filter may fail to be effective due to the fact that the non-Gaussian…

动力系统 · 数学 2013-03-12 Xu Sun , Jinqiao Duan , Xiaofan Li , Xiangjun Wang

Bayesian field theory denotes a nonparametric Bayesian approach for learning functions from observational data. Based on the principles of Bayesian statistics, a particular Bayesian field theory is defined by combining two models: a…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2007-05-23 J. C. Lemm

This paper studies a nonlinear filtering problem over an infinite time interval. The signal to be estimated is driven by a stochastic partial differential equation involves unknown parameters. Based on discrete observation, strongly…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-07-12 Qizhu Liang , Jie Xiong , Xingqiu Zhao

This article considers the application of particle filtering to continuous-discrete optimal filtering problems, where the system model is a stochastic differential equation, and noisy measurements of the system are obtained at discrete…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2008-04-29 Simo Särkkä , Tommi Sottinen

To minimize the average of a set of log-convex functions, the stochastic Newton method iteratively updates its estimate using subsampled versions of the full objective's gradient and Hessian. We contextualize this optimization problem as…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-08-22 Michael C. Burkhart

Dynamical system state estimation and parameter calibration problems are ubiquitous across science and engineering. Bayesian approaches to the problem are the gold standard as they allow for the quantification of uncertainties and enable…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2024-11-12 Kairui Hao , Ilias Bilionis

Generative Bayesian Filtering (GBF) provides a powerful and flexible framework for performing posterior inference in complex nonlinear and non-Gaussian state-space models. Our approach extends Generative Bayesian Computation (GBC) to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-07 Edoardo Marcelli , Sean O'Hagan , Veronika Rockova

Estimation of a dynamical system's latent state subject to sensor noise and model inaccuracies remains a critical yet difficult problem in robotics. While Kalman filters provide the optimal solution in the least squared sense for linear and…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2022-02-10 Fahira Afzal Maken , Fabio Ramos , Lionel Ott

Bayesian methods are a popular choice for statistical inference in small-data regimes due to the regularization effect induced by the prior. In the context of density estimation, the standard nonparametric Bayesian approach is to target the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-02-21 Sahra Ghalebikesabi , Chris Holmes , Edwin Fong , Brieuc Lehmann

Bayesian estimation strategies represent the most fundamental formulation of the state estimation problem available, and apply readily to nonlinear systems with non-Gaussian uncertainties. The present paper introduces a novel method for…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2013-01-22 T R Bewley , A S Sharma

We propose a method for optimal Bayesian filtering with deterministic particles. In order to avoid particle degeneration, the filter step is not performed at once. Instead, the particles progressively flow from prior to posterior. This is…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-03-07 Uwe D. Hanebeck