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The ability to directly record human face-to-face interactions increasingly enables the development of detailed data-driven models for the spread of directly transmitted infectious diseases at the scale of individuals. Complete coverage of…

The recently published ICH E9 addendum on estimands in clinical trials provides a framework for precisely defining the treatment effect that is to be estimated, but says little about estimation methods. Here we report analyses of a clinical…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-09-25 Camila Olarte Parra , Rhian M. Daniel , David Wright , Jonathan W. Bartlett

We identify the average dose-response function (ADRF) for a continuously valued error-contaminated treatment by a weighted conditional expectation. We then estimate the weights nonparametrically by maximising a local generalised empirical…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-11-30 Wei Huang , Zheng Zhang

A nonparametric procedure to estimate the conditional probability that a nonstationary geostatistical process exceeds a certain threshold value is proposed. The method consists of a bootstrap algorithm that combines conditional simulation…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-04-01 Rubén Fernández-Casal , Sergio Castillo-Páez , Mario Francisco-Fernández

Data fusion techniques integrate information from heterogeneous data sources to improve learning, generalization, and decision making across data sciences. In causal inference, these methods leverage rich observational data to improve…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-02 Quinn Lanners , Cynthia Rudin , Alexander Volfovsky , Harsh Parikh

We study the convergence rates of empirical Bayes posterior distributions for nonparametric and high-dimensional inference. We show that as long as the hyperparameter set is discrete, the empirical Bayes posterior distribution induced by…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-09-10 Fengshuo Zhang , Chao Gao

The vast majority of models for the spread of communicable diseases are parametric in nature and involve underlying assumptions about how the disease spreads through a population. In this article we consider the use of Bayesian…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-06-12 Theodore Kypraios , Philip D. O'Neill

This paper proposes asymptotically distribution-free inference methods for comparing a broad range of welfare indices across dependent samples, including those employed in inequality, poverty, and risk analysis. Two distinct situations are…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-12-29 Jean-Marie Dufour , Tianyu He

Causal effects are often characterized with averages, which can give an incomplete picture of the underlying counterfactual distributions. Here we consider estimating the entire counterfactual density and generic functionals thereof. We…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-02-25 Edward H. Kennedy , Sivaraman Balakrishnan , Larry Wasserman

We present an approach to inform decisions about nonresponse follow-up sampling. The basic idea is (i) to create completed samples by imputing nonrespondents' data under various assumptions about the nonresponse mechanisms, (ii) take…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-09-16 Thais Paiva , Jerry Reiter

Design-based inference, also known as randomization-based or finite-population inference, provides a principled framework for trustworthy statistical inference by attributing randomness solely to the design mechanism (e.g., treatment…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-17 Siyu Heng , Yanxin Shen , Zijian Guo

Managers, employers, policymakers, and others often seek to understand whether decisions are biased against certain groups. One popular analytic strategy is to estimate disparities after adjusting for observed covariates, typically with a…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-01-29 Jongbin Jung , Sam Corbett-Davies , Johann D. Gaebler , Ravi Shroff , Sharad Goel

Principal stratification is a general framework for studying causal mechanisms involving post-treatment variables. When estimating principal causal effects, the principal ignorability assumption is commonly invoked, which we study in detail…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-21 Minxuan Wu , Joseph Antonelli

We propose and analyze estimators for statistical functionals of one or more distributions under nonparametric assumptions. Our estimators are based on the theory of influence functions, which appear in the semiparametric statistics…

Nonresponse is common in surveys. When the response probability of a survey variable $Y$ depends on $Y$ through an observed auxiliary categorical variable $Z$ (i.e., the response probability of $Y$ is conditionally independent of $Y$ given…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2009-03-04 Fang Fang , Quan Hong , Jun Shao

This paper studies the problem of nonparametric estimation of a smooth function with data distributed across multiple machines. We assume an independent sample from a white noise model is collected at each machine, and an estimator of the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-06-26 Yuancheng Zhu , John Lafferty

Inferring causal effects of treatments is a central goal in many disciplines. The potential outcomes framework is a main statistical approach to causal inference, in which a causal effect is defined as a comparison of the potential outcomes…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-01-04 Peng Ding , Fan Li

Statistical inference with nonresponse is quite challenging, especially when the response mechanism is nonignorable. The existing methods often require correct model specifications for both outcome and response models. However, due to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-09-12 Hejian Sang , Kosuke Morikawa

This paper develops semiparametric methods for estimation and inference of widely used inequality measures when survey data are subject to nonignorable nonresponse, a challenging setting in which response probabilities depend on the…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-01-16 Xinyu Wang , Chunlin Wang , Tao Yu , Pengfei Li

In nonparametric regression analysis, errors are possibly correlated in practice, and neglecting error correlation can undermine most bandwidth selection methods. When no prior knowledge or parametric form of the correlation structure is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-29 Sisheng Liu , Xiaoli Kong
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