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Learning models that are robust to distribution shifts is a key concern in the context of their real-life applicability. Invariant Risk Minimization (IRM) is a popular framework that aims to learn robust models from multiple environments.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-04-04 Moulik Choraria , Ibtihal Ferwana , Ankur Mani , Lav R. Varshney

We build a Bayesian contextual classification model using an optimistic score ratio for robust binary classification when there is limited information on the class-conditional, or contextual, distribution. The optimistic score searches for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-07-10 Viet Anh Nguyen , Nian Si , Jose Blanchet

We provide a comprehensive examination of the predictive performance of panel forecasting methods based on individual, pooling, fixed effects, and empirical Bayes estimation, and propose optimal weights for forecast combination schemes. We…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-01-30 M. Hashem Pesaran , Andreas Pick , Allan Timmermann

Item Response Theory (IRT) has been widely used in educational psychometrics to assess student ability, as well as the difficulty and discrimination of test questions. In this context, discrimination specifically refers to how effectively a…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2024-11-06 Ziqi Xu , Sevvandi Kandanaarachchi , Cheng Soon Ong , Eirini Ntoutsi

Empirical Bayes small area estimation based on the well-known Fay-Herriot model may produce unreliable estimates when outlying areas exist. Existing robust methods against outliers or model misspecification are generally inefficient when…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-06-28 Daisuke Kurisu , Takuya Ishihara , Shonosuke Sugasawa

For many important problems the quantity of interest is an unknown function of the parameters, which is a random vector with known statistics. Since the dependence of the output on this random vector is unknown, the challenge is to identify…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-04-28 Themistoklis P. Sapsis

Meta-analysis is a statistical method used in evidence synthesis for combining, analyzing and summarizing studies that have the same target endpoint and aims to derive a pooled quantitative estimate using fixed and random effects models or…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-04-25 Ivette Raices Cruz , Matthias C. M. Troffaes , Johan Lindström , Ullrika Sahlin

This paper studies the finite sample performance of the flexible estimation approach of Farrell, Liang, and Misra (2021a), who propose to use deep learning for the estimation of heterogeneous parameters in economic models, in the context of…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-08-20 Stephan Hetzenecker , Maximilian Osterhaus

The performance of machine learning models can be impacted by changes in data over time. A promising approach to address this challenge is invariant learning, with a particular focus on a method known as invariant risk minimization (IRM).…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-09 Wenlu Tang , Zicheng Liu

Background: Pairwise and network meta-analyses using fixed effect and random effects models are commonly applied to synthesise evidence from randomised controlled trials. The models differ in their assumptions and the interpretation of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-08-04 Shijie Ren , Jeremy E. Oakley , John W. Stevens

The paper considers variable selection in linear regression models where the number of covariates is possibly much larger than the number of observations. High dimensionality of the data brings in many complications, such as (possibly…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-11-29 Haeran Cho , Piotr Fryzlewicz

Making predictions that are fair with regard to protected group membership (race, gender, age, etc.) has become an important requirement for classification algorithms. Existing techniques derive a fair model from sampled labeled data…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-02-09 Ashkan Rezaei , Anqi Liu , Omid Memarrast , Brian Ziebart

The ability to compare between individuals or organisations fairly is important for the development of robust and meaningful quantitative benchmarks. To make fair comparisons, contextual factors must be taken into account, and comparisons…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-11-18 Daniel W. Kennedy , Jessica Cameron , Paul P. -Y. Wu , Kerrie Mengersen

In this work we study the problem of measuring the fairness of a machine learning model under noisy information. Focusing on group fairness metrics, we investigate the particular but common situation when the evaluation requires controlling…

Reward models are central to aligning language models with human preferences via reinforcement learning (RL). As RL is increasingly applied to settings such as verifiable rewards and multi-objective alignment, RMs are expected to encode…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-21 Jiwoo Hong , Shao Tang , Zhipeng Wang

Consider a high-dimensional linear regression problem, where the number of covariates is larger than the number of observations and the interest is in estimating the conditional variance of the response variable given the covariates. A…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-03-29 David Azriel

An individualized treatment rule (ITR) is a decision rule that aims to improve individual patients health outcomes by recommending optimal treatments according to patients specific information. In observational studies, collected data may…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-10-03 Zeyu Bian , Erica EM Moodie , Susan M Shortreed , Sylvie D Lambert , Sahir Bhatnagar

We consider inference on a scalar regression coefficient under a constraint on the magnitude of the control coefficients. A class of estimators based on a regularized propensity score regression is shown to exactly solve a tradeoff between…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-08-11 Timothy B. Armstrong , Michal Kolesár , Soonwoo Kwon

In many applications of causal inference, the treatment received by one unit may influence the outcome of another, a phenomenon referred to as interference. Although there are several frameworks for conducting causal inference in the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-27 Matvey Ortyashov , AmirEmad Ghassami

In several observational contexts where different raters evaluate a set of items, it is common to assume that all raters draw their scores from the same underlying distribution. However, a plenty of scientific works have evidenced the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-09-27 Giuseppe Mignemi , Antonio Calcagnì , Andrea Spoto , Ioanna Manolopoulou