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Recent advances in statistical learning theory have revealed profound connections between mutual information (MI) bounds, PAC-Bayesian theory, and Bayesian nonparametrics. This work introduces a novel mutual information bound for…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-08-18 El Mahdi Khribch , Pierre Alquier

When I first encountered PAC-Bayesian concentration inequalities they seemed to me to be rather disconnected from good old-fashioned results like Hoeffding's and Bernstein's inequalities. But, at least for one flavour of the PAC-Bayesian…

机器学习 · 统计学 2014-05-08 Tim van Erven

An important yet underexplored question in the PAC-Bayes literature is how much tightness we lose by restricting the posterior family to factorized Gaussian distributions when optimizing a PAC-Bayes bound. We investigate this issue by…

The Probably Approximately Correct (PAC) Bayes framework (McAllester, 1999) can incorporate knowledge about the learning algorithm and (data) distribution through the use of distribution-dependent priors, yielding tighter generalization…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-04-22 Gintare Karolina Dziugaite , Daniel M. Roy

Generalization is a central concept in machine learning theory, yet for quantum models, it is predominantly analyzed through uniform bounds that depend on a model's overall capacity rather than the specific function learned. These…

Current PAC-Bayes generalisation bounds are restricted to scalar metrics of performance, such as the loss or error rate. However, one ideally wants more information-rich certificates that control the entire distribution of possible…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-12-10 Reuben Adams , John Shawe-Taylor , Benjamin Guedj

Group-invariant probability distributions appear in many data-generative models in machine learning, such as graphs, point clouds, and images. In practice, one often needs to estimate divergences between such distributions. In this work, we…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-05 Behrooz Tahmasebi , Stefanie Jegelka

Symmetries are known to improve the empirical performance of machine learning models, yet theoretical guarantees explaining these gains remain limited. Prior work has focused mainly on compact group symmetries and often assumes that the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-21 Armin Beck , Peter Ochs

We present a unified framework for deriving PAC-Bayesian generalization bounds. Unlike most previous literature on this topic, our bounds are anytime-valid (i.e., time-uniform), meaning that they hold at all stopping times, not only for a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-01-04 Ben Chugg , Hongjian Wang , Aaditya Ramdas

PAC-Bayes bounds have been proposed to get risk estimates based on a training sample. In this paper the PAC-Bayes approach is combined with stability of the hypothesis learned by a Hilbert space valued algorithm. The PAC-Bayes setting is…

Bayesian inference typically requires the computation of an approximation to the posterior distribution. An important requirement for an approximate Bayesian inference algorithm is to output high-accuracy posterior mean and uncertainty…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-10-03 Jonathan H. Huggins , Trevor Campbell , Mikołaj Kasprzak , Tamara Broderick

Inductive Conformal Prediction (ICP) provides a practical and effective approach for equipping deep learning models with uncertainty estimates in the form of set-valued predictions which are guaranteed to contain the ground truth with high…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-11 Apoorva Sharma , Sushant Veer , Asher Hancock , Heng Yang , Marco Pavone , Anirudha Majumdar

Variational inference (VI) is widely used for approximate inference in Bayesian machine learning. In addition to this practical success, generalization bounds for variational inference and related algorithms have been developed, mostly…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-19 Yadi Wei , Roni Khardon

The families of $f$-divergences (e.g. the Kullback-Leibler divergence) and Integral Probability Metrics (e.g. total variation distance or maximum mean discrepancies) are widely used to quantify the similarity between probability…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-06-08 Rohit Agrawal , Thibaut Horel

Understanding the source of the superior generalization ability of NNs remains one of the most important problems in ML research. There have been a series of theoretical works trying to derive non-vacuous bounds for NNs. Recently, the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-03-07 Zifeng Wang , Shao-Lun Huang , Ercan E. Kuruoglu , Jimeng Sun , Xi Chen , Yefeng Zheng

Empirically, the PAC-Bayesian analysis is known to produce tight risk bounds for practical machine learning algorithms. However, in its naive form, it can only deal with stochastic predictors while such predictors are rarely used and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-11-22 Kohei Miyaguchi

PAC-Bayesian bounds are known to be tight and informative when studying the generalization ability of randomized classifiers. However, they require a loose and costly derandomization step when applied to some families of deterministic…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-09-19 Paul Viallard , Pascal Germain , Amaury Habrard , Emilie Morvant

Control policies from imitation learning can often fail to generalize to novel environments due to imperfect demonstrations or the inability of imitation learning algorithms to accurately infer the expert's policies. In this paper, we…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2020-12-04 Allen Z. Ren , Sushant Veer , Anirudha Majumdar

In this work, we undertake a comprehensive reformulation, modification, and extension of Smith and Spiegelhalter's (1980) and (1982) Bayes Factor work within the evolving subject of Objective Bayes Factors. Our primary focus centers on…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-02-12 Richard Clare

We present a new family of information-theoretic generalization bounds, in which the training loss and the population loss are compared through a jointly convex function. This function is upper-bounded in terms of the disintegrated,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-03-28 Fredrik Hellström , Giuseppe Durisi