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We show how text from news articles can be used to predict intraday price movements of financial assets using support vector machines. Multiple kernel learning is used to combine equity returns with text as predictive features to increase…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2009-06-24 Ronny Luss , Alexandre d'Aspremont

Identifying meaningful relationships between the price movements of financial assets is a challenging but important problem in a variety of financial applications. However with recent research, particularly those using machine learning and…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2022-02-21 Rian Dolphin , Barry Smyth , Ruihai Dong

Stock price prediction has been an important research theme both academically and practically. Various methods to predict stock prices have been studied until now. The feature that explains the stock price by a cross-section analysis is…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2020-07-21 Masaya Abe , Kei Nakagawa

Literature highlighted that financial time series data pose significant challenges for accurate stock price prediction, because these data are characterized by noise and susceptibility to news; traditional statistical methodologies made…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2024-09-27 V. Lanzetta

In many pattern recognition problems, a single feature vector is not sufficient to describe an object. In multiple instance learning (MIL), objects are represented by sets (\emph{bags}) of feature vectors (\emph{instances}). This requires…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2018-06-22 Veronika Cheplygina , David M. J. Tax

Analyzing stocks and making higher accurate predictions on where the price is heading continues to become more and more challenging therefore, we designed a new financial algorithm that leverages social media sentiment analysis to enhance…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-11 SriVarsha Mulakala , Umesh Vangapally , Benjamin Larkey , Aidan Henrichs , Corey Wojslaw

Share valuations are known to adjust to new information entering the market, such as regulatory disclosures. We study whether the language of such news items can improve short-term and especially long-term (24 months) forecasts of stock…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-06-27 Stefan Feuerriegel , Julius Gordon

We consider direct modeling of underlying stock value movement sequences over time in the news-driven stock movement prediction. A recurrent state transition model is constructed, which better captures a gradual process of stock movement…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2022-12-19 Xiao Liu , Heyan Huang , Yue Zhang , Changsen Yuan

Stock trend forecasting is a fundamental task of quantitative investment where precise predictions of price trends are indispensable. As an online service, stock data continuously arrive over time. It is practical and efficient to…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2024-04-09 Lifan Zhao , Shuming Kong , Yanyan Shen

We propose STONK (Stock Optimization using News Knowledge), a multimodal framework integrating numerical market indicators with sentiment-enriched news embeddings to improve daily stock-movement prediction. By combining numerical & textual…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-08-20 Sarthak Khanna , Armin Berger , David Berghaus , Tobias Deusser , Lorenz Sparrenberg , Rafet Sifa

This manuscript introduces deep learning models that simultaneously describe the dynamics of several yield curves. We aim to learn the dependence structure among the different yield curves induced by the globalization of financial markets…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-11-20 Ronald Richman , Salvatore Scognamiglio

Index funds are substantially preferred by investors nowadays, and market sensitivities are instrumental in managing index funds. An index fund is a mutual fund aiming to track the returns of a predefined market index (e.g., the S&P 500). A…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2022-12-20 Yoonsik Hong , Yanghoon Kim , Jeonghun Kim , Yongmin Choi

Reinforcement learning (RL) has emerged as a transformative approach for financial trading, enabling dynamic strategy optimization in complex markets. This study explores the integration of sentiment analysis, derived from large language…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2024-11-19 Ananya Unnikrishnan

Using a large-scale Deep Learning approach applied to a high-frequency database containing billions of electronic market quotes and transactions for US equities, we uncover nonparametric evidence for the existence of a universal and…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2018-03-20 Justin Sirignano , Rama Cont

The gargantuan plethora of opinions, facts and tweets on financial business offers the opportunity to test and analyze the influence of such text sources on future directions of stocks. It also creates though the necessity to distill via…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2020-09-23 Junni L. Zhang , Wolfgang Karl Härdle , Cathy Y. Chen , Elisabeth Bommes

The increasing richness in volume, and especially types of data in the financial domain provides unprecedented opportunities to understand the stock market more comprehensively and makes the price prediction more accurate than before.…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2018-05-16 Huiwen Wang , Shan Lu , Jichang Zhao

Changes in market conditions present challenges for investors as they cause performance to deviate from the ranges predicted by long-term averages of means and covariances. The aim of conditional asset allocation strategies is to overcome…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2022-11-03 Reza Bradrania , Davood Pirayesh Neghab

Forecasting stock returns is a challenging problem due to the highly stochastic nature of the market and the vast array of factors and events that can influence trading volume and prices. Nevertheless it has proven to be an attractive…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2021-09-15 Rian Dolphin , Barry Smyth , Yang Xu , Ruihai Dong

In this paper we seek to demonstrate the predictability of stock market returns and explain the nature of this return predictability. To this end, we introduce investors with different investment horizons into the news-driven, analytic,…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2016-03-30 Dimitri Kroujiline , Maxim Gusev , Dmitry Ushanov , Sergey V. Sharov , Boris Govorkov

Predicting stock price movements during Earnings Announcements (EAs) is a significant challenge due to market noise and high-impact price discontinuities. In this study, we evaluate whether pre-announcement news sentiment, firm…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-26 Manuel Noseda , Nathan Soldati , Marco Paina