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Sources of uncertainty are reviewed for calculated atomic and molecular data that are important for plasma modeling: atomic and molecular structure and cross sections for electron-atom, electron-molecule, and heavy particle collisions. We…

The growing integration of large language models across professional domains transforms how experts make critical decisions in healthcare, education, and law. While significant research effort focuses on getting these systems to communicate…

The importance of uncertainty quantification is increasingly recognized in the diverse field of machine learning. Accurately assessing model prediction uncertainty can help provide deeper understanding and confidence for researchers and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-03 Tianyi Chen , Yingzhou Lu , Nan Hao , Yuanyuan Zhang , Capucine Van Rechem , Jintai Chen , Tianfan Fu

Effectively measuring and modeling the reliability of a trained model is essential to the real-world deployment of monocular depth estimation (MDE) models. However, the intrinsic ill-posedness and ordinal-sensitive nature of MDE pose major…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2023-07-20 Mochu Xiang , Jing Zhang , Nick Barnes , Yuchao Dai

Quantifying the uncertainty of supervised learning models plays an important role in making more reliable predictions. Epistemic uncertainty, which usually is due to insufficient knowledge about the model, can be reduced by collecting more…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-01-27 Xinlei Zhou , Han Liu , Farhad Pourpanah , Tieyong Zeng , Xizhao Wang

Computational molecular modeling and visualization has seen significant progress in recent years with sev- eral molecular modeling and visualization software systems in use today. Nevertheless the molecular biology community lacks…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2016-05-20 Muhibur Rasheed , Nathan Clement , Abhishek Bhowmick , Chandrajit Bajaj

Knowing the uncertainty in a prediction is critical when making expensive investment decisions and when patient safety is paramount, but machine learning (ML) models in drug discovery typically provide only a single best estimate and ignore…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-03 Stanley E. Lazic , Dominic P. Williams

In computational materials science, mechanical properties are typically extracted from simulations by means of analysis routines that seek to mimic their experimental counterparts. However, simulated data often exhibit uncertainties that…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2017-12-07 Paul N. Patrone , Anthony J. Kearsley , Andrew M. Dienstfrey

In a data-scarce field such as healthcare, where models often deliver predictions on patients with rare conditions, the ability to measure the uncertainty of a model's prediction could potentially lead to improved effectiveness of decision…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-05-26 Lotta Meijerink , Giovanni Cinà , Michele Tonutti

Many important computer vision applications are naturally formulated as regression problems. Within medical imaging, accurate regression models have the potential to automate various tasks, helping to lower costs and improve patient…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-08 Fredrik K. Gustafsson , Martin Danelljan , Thomas B. Schön

Rule-based classification models described in the language of logic directly predict boolean values, rather than modeling a probability and translating it into a prediction as done in statistical models. The vast majority of existing…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2022-11-04 Yusik Kim

Uncertainty quantification in automated image analysis is highly desired in many applications. Typically, machine learning models in classification or segmentation are only developed to provide binary answers; however, quantifying the…

Modern autonomous systems with machine learning components often use uncertainty quantification to help produce assurances about system operation. However, there is a lack of consensus in the community on what uncertainty is and how to…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-01-27 Sampada Deglurkar , Haotian Shen , Anish Muthali , Marco Pavone , Dragos Margineantu , Peter Karkus , Boris Ivanovic , Claire J. Tomlin

Molecular dynamics simulation is now a widespread approach for understanding complex systems on the atomistic scale. It finds applications from physics and chemistry to engineering, life and medical science. In the last decade, the approach…

计算物理 · 物理学 2021-04-28 Shunzhou Wan , Robert C. Sinclair , Peter V. Coveney

In this PhD thesis, we propose a novel framework for uncertainty quantification in machine learning, which is based on proper scores. Uncertainty quantification is an important cornerstone for trustworthy and reliable machine learning…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-26 Sebastian G. Gruber

The opaque nature of transformer-based models, particularly in applications susceptible to unethical practices such as dark-patterns in user interfaces, requires models that integrate uncertainty quantification to enhance trust in…

Regression tasks, notably in safety-critical domains, require proper uncertainty quantification, yet the literature remains largely classification-focused. In this light, we introduce a family of measures for total, aleatoric, and epistemic…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-30 Christopher Bülte , Yusuf Sale , Gitta Kutyniok , Eyke Hüllermeier

While recent foundation models have enabled significant breakthroughs in monocular depth estimation, a clear path towards safe and reliable deployment in the real-world remains elusive. Metric depth estimation, which involves predicting…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-01-15 Steven Landgraf , Rongjun Qin , Markus Ulrich

Judging the significance and reproducibility of quantitative research requires a good understanding of relevant uncertainties, but it is often unclear how well these have been evaluated and what they imply. Reported scientific uncertainties…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-01-20 David C. Bailey

Integrated Assessment Models (IAMs) are pivotal tools that synthesize knowledge from climate science, economics, and policy to evaluate the interactions between human activities and the climate system. They serve as essential instruments…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2025-11-04 Yongyang Cai