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Cyber incidents can have a wide range of cause from a simple connection loss to an insistent attack. Once a potential cyber security incidents and system failures have been identified, deciding how to proceed is often complex. Especially,…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2020-07-16 Sandro Passarelli , Cem Gündogan , Lars Stiemert , Matthias Schopp , Peter Hillmann

We deliver a call to arms for probabilistic numerical methods: algorithms for numerical tasks, including linear algebra, integration, optimization and solving differential equations, that return uncertainties in their calculations. Such…

数值分析 · 数学 2016-02-17 Philipp Hennig , Michael A Osborne , Mark Girolami

Risk is part of the fabric of every business; surprisingly, there is little work on establishing best practices for systematic, repeatable risk identification, arguably the first step of any risk management process. In this paper, we…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2015-10-29 Jochen L. Leidner

Development of sustainable insurance for cyber risks, with associated benefits, inter alia requires reduction of ambiguity of the risk. Considering cyber risk, and data breaches in particular, as a man-made catastrophe clarifies the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-05-17 Spencer Wheatley , Annette Hofmann , Didier Sornette

Cyber-physical systems posit a complex number of security challenges due to interconnection of heterogeneous devices having limited processing, communication, and power capabilities. Additionally, the conglomeration of both physical and…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2020-12-03 Prerit Datta , Natalie Lodinger , Akbar Siami Namin , Keith S. Jones

Cloud infrastructures are being increasingly utilized in critical infrastructures such as banking/finance, transportation and utility management. Sophistication and resources used in recent security breaches including those on critical…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2018-10-30 Satvik Jain , Arun Balaji Buduru , Anshuman Chhabra

We introduce a game-theoretic model to investigate the strategic interaction between a cyber insurance policyholder whose premium depends on her self-reported security level and an insurer with the power to audit the security level upon…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2019-08-15 Sakshyam Panda , Daniel W Woods , Aron Laszka , Andrew Fielder , Emmanouil Panaousis

In today's rapidly evolving digital landscape, organisations face escalating cyber threats that can disrupt operations, compromise sensitive data, and inflict financial and reputational harm. A key reason for this lies in the organisations'…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2025-04-08 Lasini Liyanage , Nalin Arachchilage , Giovanni Russello

Cybersecurity threat and risk analysis (RA) approaches are used to identify and mitigate security risks early-on in the software development life-cycle. Existing approaches automate only parts of the analysis procedure, leaving key…

软件工程 · 计算机科学 2022-08-04 Katja Tuma , Romy Van Der Lee

Large language models (LLMs) are demonstrating increasing prowess in cybersecurity applications, creating creating inherent risks alongside their potential for strengthening defenses. In this position paper, we argue that current efforts to…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2025-02-04 Kamilė Lukošiūtė , Adam Swanda

The paper provides a comprehensive overview of modeling and pricing cyber insurance and includes clear and easily understandable explanations of the underlying mathematical concepts. We distinguish three main types of cyber risks:…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2022-12-06 Kerstin Awiszus , Thomas Knispel , Irina Penner , Gregor Svindland , Alexander Voß , Stefan Weber

The role of mathematics in a complex system such as the Internet has yet to be deeply explored. In this paper, we summarize some of the important and pressing problems in cyber security from the viewpoint of open science environments. We…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2009-04-13 Juan Meza , Scott Campbell , David Bailey

In the last year more than 70,000 people have been brought to the UK hospitals with serious injuries. Each time a clinician has to urgently take a patient through a screening procedure to make a reliable decision on the trauma treatment.…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2008-05-27 L. Jakaite , V. Schetinin

With the growing digital transformation of the worldwide economy, cyber risk has become a major issue. As 1 % of the world's GDP (around $1,000 billion) is allegedly lost to cybercrime every year, IT systems continue to get increasingly…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-11-28 Alexandre Boumezoued , Yousra Cherkaoui , Caroline Hillairet

Research in information security has generally focused on providing a comprehensive interpretation of threats, vulnerabilities, and attacks, in particular to evaluate their danger and prioritize responses accordingly. Most of the current…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2014-11-04 Gustavo Gonzalez-Granadillo , Christophe Ponchel , Gregory Blanc , Hervé Debar

Traffic microscopic simulation applications are a common tool in road transportation analysis and several attempts to perform road safety assessments have recently been carried out. However, these approaches often ignore causal…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2018-10-12 Carlos Lima Azevedo , João L. Cardoso , Moshe E. Ben-Akiva

Due to the variety of cyber-attacks or threats, the cybersecurity community enhances the traditional security control mechanisms to an advanced level so that automated tools can encounter potential security threats. Very recently, Cyber…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-11-15 Md Imran Hossen , Ashraful Islam , Farzana Anowar , Eshtiak Ahmed , Mohammad Masudur Rahman , Xiali , Hei

This paper investigates the stakes of introducing probabilistic approaches for the management of power system's security. In real-time operation, the aim is to arbitrate in a rational way between preventive and corrective control, while…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2016-02-18 Efthymios Karangelos , Patrick Panciatici , Louis Wehenkel

Security risk assessment is essential in establishing the trustworthiness and reliability of modern systems. While various security risk assessment approaches exist, prevalent applications are "pen and paper" implementations that -- even if…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2025-09-23 Avi Shaked

Solving cybersecurity issues requires a holistic understanding of components, factors, structures and their interactions in cyberspace, but conventional modeling approaches view the field of cybersecurity by their boundaries so that we are…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2020-01-17 Dingyu Yan