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Forecasting power consumptions of integrated electrical, heat or gas network systems is essential in order to operate more efficiently the whole energy network. Multi-energy systems are increasingly seen as a key component of future energy…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-11 Corneliu Arsene , Alessandra Parisio

Neural Networks (NNs) have been widely {used in supervised learning} due to their ability to model complex nonlinear patterns, often presented in high-dimensional data such as images and text. However, traditional NNs often lack the ability…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2022-10-18 Jiayu Huang , Yutian Pang , Yongming Liu , Hao Yan

Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) often result uncalibrated after training, usually tending towards overconfidence. Devising effective calibration methods with low impact in terms of computational complexity is thus of central interest. In…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-08-18 Hector J. Hortua , Luigi Malago , Riccardo Volpi

Hurricanes cause significant economic and human costs, requiring individuals to make critical evacuation decisions under uncertainty and stress. To enhance the understanding of this decision-making process, we propose using Bayesian…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-10-01 Hui Sophie Wang , Nutchanon Yongsatianchot , Stacy Marsella

A Bayesian net (BN) is more than a succinct way to encode a probabilistic distribution; it also corresponds to a function used to answer queries. A BN can therefore be evaluated by the accuracy of the answers it returns. Many algorithms for…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-02-08 Russell Greiner , Adam J. Grove , Dale Schuurmans

Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) were used to classify neural network flows by flow size. After training the neural network was able to predict the size of a flows with 87% accuracy with a Feed Forward Neural Network. This demonstrates…

网络与互联网体系结构 · 计算机科学 2017-07-24 Michael Arnold

Accurate vessel trajectory prediction is crucial for navigational safety, route optimization, traffic management, search and rescue operations, and autonomous navigation. Traditional data-driven models lack real-world physical constraints,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-17 Md Mahbub Alam , Amilcar Soares , José F. Rodrigues-Jr , Gabriel Spadon

Neural networks (NNs) lack measures of "reliability" estimation that would enable reasoning over their predictions. Despite the vital importance, especially in areas of human well-being and health, state-of-the-art uncertainty estimation…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-02-12 Lorena Qendro , Jagmohan Chauhan , Alberto Gil C. P. Ramos , Cecilia Mascolo

While offering a principled framework for uncertainty quantification in deep learning, the employment of Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) is still constrained by their increased computational requirements and the convergence difficulties…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-26 Moule Lin , Shuhao Guan , Weipeng Jing , Goetz Botterweck , Andrea Patane

Neural-network-based machine learning interatomic potentials have emerged as powerful tools for predicting atomic energies and forces, enabling accurate and efficient simulations in atomistic modeling. A key limitation of traditional deep…

化学物理 · 物理学 2025-09-24 Riccardo Farris , Emanuele Telari , Nongnuch Artrith , Konstantin Neyman , Albert Bruix

Fault detection in electric motors is a critical challenge in various industries, where failures can result in significant operational disruptions. This study investigates the use of Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs) and Bayesian Neural…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-17 Waldemar Bauer , Jerzy Baranowski

This paper addresses the need for deep learning models to integrate well-defined constraints into their outputs, driven by their application in surrogate models, learning with limited data and partial information, and scenarios requiring…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-07-02 Rahul Rathnakumar , Jiayu Huang , Hao Yan , Yongming Liu

As the world shifts towards utilizing natural resources for electricity generation, there is need to enhance forecasting systems to guarantee a stable electricity provision and to incorporate the generated power into the network systems.…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-11-24 Ismum Ul Hossain , Mohammad Nahidul Islam

Accurate renewable energy production forecasting has become a priority as the share of intermittent energy sources on the grid increases. Recent work has shown that convolutional deep learning models can successfully be applied to forecast…

图像与视频处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-01-24 Sebastian Bosma , Negar Nazari

Reliable dynamic sea level forecasts are hindered by numerous sources of uncertainty on daily-to-seasonal timescales (1-180 days) due to atmospheric boundary conditions and internal ocean variability. Studies have demonstrated that certain…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-07-22 Andrew Brettin , Laure Zanna , Elizabeth A. Barnes

Convolutional neural networks (CNNs) work well on large datasets. But labelled data is hard to collect, and in some applications larger amounts of data are not available. The problem then is how to use CNNs with small data -- as CNNs…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-01-19 Yarin Gal , Zoubin Ghahramani

Bayesian neural networks utilize probabilistic layers that capture uncertainty over weights and activations, and are trained using Bayesian inference. Since these probabilistic layers are designed to be drop-in replacement of their…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-28 Daniel T. Chang

Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) have recently regained a significant amount of attention in the deep learning community due to the development of scalable approximate Bayesian inference techniques. There are several advantages of using…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-05-28 Aliaksandr Hubin , Geir Storvik

Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) place distributions over the weights of a neural network to model uncertainty in the data and the network's prediction. We consider the problem of verifying safety when running a Bayesian neural network…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-11-08 Mathias Lechner , Đorđe Žikelić , Krishnendu Chatterjee , Thomas A. Henzinger

This study is devoted to the inference problem of extracting the nuclear matter properties directly from a set of mass-radius observations. We employ Bayesian neural networks (BNNs), which is a probabilistic model capable of estimating the…

核理论 · 物理学 2024-09-27 Valéria Carvalho , Márcio Ferreira , Constança Providência