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相关论文: Conformal Off-Policy Prediction in Contextual Band…

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This paper investigates off-policy evaluation in contextual bandits, aiming to quantify the performance of a target policy using data collected under a different and potentially unknown behavior policy. Recently, methods based on conformal…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-07-23 Yilong Wan , Yuqiang Li , Xianyi Wu

Contextual bandit algorithms are ubiquitous tools for active sequential experimentation in healthcare and the tech industry. They involve online learning algorithms that adaptively learn policies over time to map observed contexts $X_t$ to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-08-19 Ian Waudby-Smith , Lili Wu , Aaditya Ramdas , Nikos Karampatziakis , Paul Mineiro

We propose an estimator and confidence interval for computing the value of a policy from off-policy data in the contextual bandit setting. To this end we apply empirical likelihood techniques to formulate our estimator and confidence…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-10-20 Nikos Karampatziakis , John Langford , Paul Mineiro

Off-Policy Prediction (OPP), i.e., predicting the outcomes of a target policy using only data collected under a nominal (behavioural) policy, is a paramount problem in data-driven analysis of safety-critical systems where the deployment of…

多智能体系统 · 计算机科学 2025-04-01 Tom Kuipers , Renukanandan Tumu , Shuo Yang , Milad Kazemi , Rahul Mangharam , Nicola Paoletti

We introduce Conformal Bandits, a novel framework integrating Conformal Prediction (CP) into bandit problems, a classic paradigm for sequential decision-making under uncertainty. Traditional regret-minimisation bandit strategies like…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-11 Simone Cuonzo , Nina Deliu

We study the offline contextual bandit problem, where we aim to acquire an optimal policy using observational data. However, this data usually contains two deficiencies: (i) some variables that confound actions are not observed, and (ii)…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-03-21 Siyu Chen , Yitan Wang , Zhaoran Wang , Zhuoran Yang

We develop confidence bounds that hold uniformly over time for off-policy evaluation in the contextual bandit setting. These confidence sequences are based on recent ideas from martingale analysis and are non-asymptotic, non-parametric, and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-02-19 Nikos Karampatziakis , Paul Mineiro , Aaditya Ramdas

We consider off-policy selection and learning in contextual bandits, where the learner aims to select or train a reward-maximizing policy using data collected by a fixed behavior policy. Our contribution is two-fold. First, we propose a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-15 J. Jon Ryu , Jeongyeol Kwon , Benjamin Koppe , Kwang-Sung Jun

We introduce the cram method as a general statistical framework for evaluating the final learned policy from a multi-armed contextual bandit algorithm, using the dataset generated by the same bandit algorithm. The proposed on-policy…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-16 Zeyang Jia , Kosuke Imai , Michael Lingzhi Li

This paper introduces a new principled approach for off-policy learning in contextual bandits. Unlike previous work, our approach does not derive learning principles from intractable or loose bounds. We analyse the problem through the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-05-30 Otmane Sakhi , Pierre Alquier , Nicolas Chopin

Conformal prediction has emerged as an effective strategy for uncertainty quantification by modifying a model to output sets of labels instead of a single label. These prediction sets come with the guarantee that they contain the true label…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-28 Haosen Ge , Hamsa Bastani , Osbert Bastani

Off-policy evaluation is critical in a number of applications where new policies need to be evaluated offline before online deployment. Most existing methods focus on the expected return, define the target parameter through averaging and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-02-10 Yingying Zhang , Chengchun Shi , Shikai Luo

We study the off-policy evaluation problem---estimating the value of a target policy using data collected by another policy---under the contextual bandit model. We consider the general (agnostic) setting without access to a consistent model…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-11-15 Yu-Xiang Wang , Alekh Agarwal , Miroslav Dudik

Contextual bandit algorithms are increasingly replacing non-adaptive A/B tests in e-commerce, healthcare, and policymaking because they can both improve outcomes for study participants and increase the chance of identifying good or even…

Contextual bandit algorithms have transformed modern experimentation by enabling real-time adaptation for personalized treatment and efficient use of data. Yet these advantages create challenges for statistical inference due to adaptivity.…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-09-23 Yongyi Guo , Ziping Xu

In many applications, e.g. in healthcare and e-commerce, the goal of a contextual bandit may be to learn an optimal treatment assignment policy at the end of the experiment. That is, to minimize simple regret. However, this objective…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-06 Sanath Kumar Krishnamurthy , Ruohan Zhan , Susan Athey , Emma Brunskill

Contextual bandits are widely-used in the study of learning-based control policies for finite action spaces. While the problem is well-studied for bandits with perfectly observed context vectors, little is known about the case of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-02-03 Hongju Park , Mohamad Kazem Shirani Faradonbeh

In recent years, preference-based human feedback mechanisms have become essential for enhancing model performance across diverse applications, including conversational AI systems such as ChatGPT. However, existing approaches often neglect…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-02-14 Raihan Seraj , Lili Meng , Tristan Sylvain

Automated decision-making algorithms drive applications such as recommendation systems and search engines. These algorithms often rely on off-policy contextual bandits or off-policy learning (OPL). Conventionally, OPL selects actions that…

Contextual bandit algorithms are essential for solving many real-world interactive machine learning problems. Despite multiple recent successes on statistically and computationally efficient methods, the practical behavior of these…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-06-08 Alberto Bietti , Alekh Agarwal , John Langford
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