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相关论文: Model Selection in Variational Mixed Effects Model…

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Covariance matrix estimation arises in multivariate problems including multivariate normal sampling models and regression models where random effects are jointly modeled, e.g. random-intercept, random-slope models. A Bayesian analysis of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-07-14 Ignacio Alvarez , Jarad Niemi , Matt Simpson

We study the problem of model selection in causal inference, specifically for conditional average treatment effect (CATE) estimation. Unlike machine learning, there is no perfect analogue of cross-validation for model selection as we do not…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-30 Divyat Mahajan , Ioannis Mitliagkas , Brady Neal , Vasilis Syrgkanis

Linear mixed models are widely used for analyzing hierarchically structured data involving missingness and unbalanced study designs. We consider a Bayesian clustering method that combines linear mixed models and predictive projections. For…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-07-07 Yinan Mao , David J. Nott

Variational AutoEncoder (VAE) has been extended as a representative nonlinear method for collaborative filtering. However, the bottleneck of VAE lies in the softmax computation over all items, such that it takes linear costs in the number…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-05-31 Jin Chen , Defu Lian , Binbin Jin , Xu Huang , Kai Zheng , Enhong Chen

We develop a Bayesian framework for variable selection in linear regression with autocorrelated errors, accommodating lagged covariates and autoregressive structures. This setting occurs in time series applications where responses depend on…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-18 Alokesh Manna , Sujit K. Ghosh

Aim: The Akaike information Criterion (AIC) is widely used science to make predictions about complex phenomena based on an entire set of models weighted by Akaike weights. This approach (AIC model averaging; hereafter AvgAICc) is often…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2018-07-13 Eliecer E. Gutierrez , Neander M. Heming

Instrumental variables (IVs) are often continuous, arising in diverse fields such as economics, epidemiology, and the social sciences. Existing approaches for continuous IVs typically impose strong parametric models or assume homogeneous…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-17 Mei Dong , Lin Liu , Dingke Tang , Geoffrey Liu , Wei Xu , Linbo Wang

We discuss efficient Bayesian estimation of dynamic covariance matrices in multivariate time series through a factor stochastic volatility model. In particular, we propose two interweaving strategies (Yu and Meng, Journal of Computational…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-08-07 Gregor Kastner , Sylvia Frühwirth-Schnatter , Hedibert Freitas Lopes

Previous work on causal inference has primarily focused on averages and conditional averages of treatment effects, with significantly less attention on variability and uncertainty in individual treatment responses. In this paper, we…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-10 Liyuan Xu , Bijan Mazaheri

For many important problems the quantity of interest is an unknown function of the parameters, which is a random vector with known statistics. Since the dependence of the output on this random vector is unknown, the challenge is to identify…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-04-28 Themistoklis P. Sapsis

Missing data persists as a major barrier to data analysis across numerous applications. Recently, deep generative models have been used for imputation of missing data, motivated by their ability to capture highly non-linear and complex…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-10-03 Breeshey Roskams-Hieter , Jude Wells , Sara Wade

We use Bayesian model selection paradigms, such as group least absolute shrinkage and selection operator priors, to facilitate generalized additive model selection. Our approach allows for the effects of continuous predictors to be…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-09-29 Virginia X. He , Matt P. Wand

Bayesian methods are particularly effective for addressing inverse problems due to their ability to manage uncertainties inherent in the inference process. However, employing these methods with costly forward models poses significant…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2025-10-30 G. Robalo Rei , C. P. Schmidt , J. Nitzler , M. Dinkel , W. A. Wall

Variational Bayes (VB) has been used to facilitate the calculation of the posterior distribution in the context of Bayesian inference of the parameters of nonlinear models from data. Previously an analytical formulation of VB has been…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-07-06 Michael A. Chappell , Martin S. Craig , Mark W. Woolrich

In discriminative settings such as regression and classification there are two random variables at play, the inputs X and the targets Y. Here, we demonstrate that the Variational Information Bottleneck can be viewed as a compromise between…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-11-18 Alexander A Alemi , Warren R Morningstar , Ben Poole , Ian Fischer , Joshua V Dillon

Using theoretical and numerical results, we document the accuracy of commonly applied variational Bayes methods across a range of state space models. The results demonstrate that, in terms of accuracy on fixed parameters, there is a clear…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-02-25 David T. Frazier , Ruben Loaiza-Maya , Gael M. Martin

Network estimation and variable selection have been extensively studied in the statistical literature, but only recently have those two challenges been addressed simultaneously. In this paper, we seek to develop a novel method to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-06-11 Nathan Osborne , Christine B. Peterson , Marina Vannucci

We develop a Coordinate Ascent Variational Inference (CAVI) algorithm for Bayesian Mixed Data Sampling (MIDAS) regression with linear weight parameterizations. The model separates impact coeffcients from weighting function parameters…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-24 Luigi Simeone

Variable selection is an important statistical problem. This problem becomes more challenging when the candidate predictors are of mixed type (e.g. continuous and binary) and impact the response variable in nonlinear and/or non-additive…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-12-30 Chuji Luo , Michael J. Daniels

This article describes a full Bayesian treatment for simultaneous fixed-effect selection and parameter estimation in high-dimensional generalized linear mixed models. The approach consists of using a Bayesian adaptive Lasso penalty for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-08-31 Dao Thanh Tung , Minh-Ngoc Tran , Tran Manh Cuong